Archive | August 27, 2011

0830 UTC August 27, 2011 TY Nanmadol and TS Talas Video Update

This is our latest video update for Typhoon Nanmadol (Bagyong Mina), Tropical Storm Talas, and Hurricane Irene.

Nanmadol’s center has exited Luzon after making landfall there, in Cagayan. Hurricane Irene, meanwhile, weakens to a Cat 1 before making landfall in the Outer Banks of North Carolina and still forecast to plow through New York City area (visit 28storms.com for more on Irene).

If you’ve read our Meteorologist Rob Speta’s update earlier, you can see that Typhoon Nanmadol’s future track has shifted farther to the west with most agencies now forecasting it to brush the eastern coast of Taiwan (near Hualien) by Tuesday. Still expecting this re-intensify a little bit as it moves very slowly across Luzon Strait.

Nanmadol made landfall earlier near Sta Ana/Gonzaga Area in Cagayan. Now weakened to a cat 3 as it exits into water. Reports of 2 dead already due to landslides. Rainfall reports across Luzon range from 80 to 200mm so definitely the area got soaked with moderate to heavy rain!

If you’re Taiwan, you might wanna prepare now. Timing for deteriorating conditions would begin Sunday midday and continuing through Monday night (perhaps early Tuesday). Possibility of heavy rain with some tornadic activities could induce urban flooding and major landslides.

As for Okinawa, there is still some chance Nanmadol could turn northeastward while of east of Taiwan so you might want to keep monitoring this storm!

TS Talas, on the other hand, is struggling to intensify due to dry air but it is still expected to intensify into a strong typhoon early next week. Still some major model disagreements but the consensus is to take Talas to the north. I’m still putting Southern Honshu under medium chance of seeing stormy conditions late next week. Please keep in mind though that this system still has a long way to go so expect tracks to shift constantly. Just keep monitoring and likewise, we will let you know if there are significant developments and changes with the track.

Finally you might have heard that Hurricane Irene is moving towards New York–where I am based. There is a high chance that my area will lose power by the time Irene gets here so I might not be able to post any videos or text updates. Don’t worry though because we have a great team here that can fill me in terms of updates.

-WxCaster PAT