Archive | September 26, 2011

Typhoon Nesat/Pedring 22Z 06PST Update

Typhoon Nesat “PEDRING” made landfall between Aurora and
Isabela area this morning and will be in the vicinity of Baguio
City this afternoon packing winds above 100kts. Overnight the storm intensified quickly developing a well defined eye wall as it moved on shore.   Six fishermen have been reported missing  and with the storm yet to make landfall that number may increase. Schools across Luzon have been canceled today suggesting to anyone that if you do not need to go out today to stay indoors as the storm approaches. Over 100,000 people have been advised to evacuate across Luzon with nearly 50,000 people in temporarily shelters in Albay where floods have already been reported.

The rain continues to be a major threat as well, heavy rain associated with Nesat will producing flooding in low lying areas as well as mudslides. The TRMM side scan image below shows the heavy rainfall that will come out of this system. Some areas exceeding over 50mm an hour.

Typhoon Nesat will continue to track West along the southern periphery of the sub-tropical ridge to the North with a second landfall likely near Hainan China. Models consensus is in close agreement to support this as well. And in this case rainfall will be another problem yet again as the entire region continues to be effected by a strong Monsoonal Season.

The following areas remain under Signal Force 3, Aurora
Mt. Province
Nueva Viscaya

In these areas one is advised extreme caution, and do not leave your homes. High winds can send debris flying and cause damage, injury and death.

For more information please check the most recent video update issued.

Typhoon Nesat / Pedring 26 Sep Evening Forecast Update / 11UTC

Typhoon Nesat has already brought over 100mm of rainfall across Luzon as it moves towards the coast. Casiguran looks like it will see the brunt of this storm as it approaches but heavy rains exceeding 200mm will be seen across much of Northern Luzon, with this flooding and mudslides will be a risk as well as severe thunderstorms.

Manila will also see flooding throughout the day on the 27th. Schools across the region have been closed and flights delayed or cancelled through the region.

Click the video update above for more detailed information

0930 UTC September 26, 2011 Typhoon Nesat Video Update

Latest Video Update on Typhoon Nesat (Pedring) and Tropical Storm Haitang. Nesat is forecast to make landfall tomorrow morning, Philippine Time, near Casiguran, Aurora. Haitang, on the other hand, is forecast to make landfall in Vietnam by Tuesday afternoon local time.

As of 5pm today, PAGASA has raised Signal #3 for Catanduanes, Camarines Sur, Camarines Norte, Northern Quezon, Polillo Island, Aurora, Quirino, and Isabel. Signal #2 for Albay, Burias Island, Sorsogon, Rest of Quezon, Rizal, Bulacan, Nueva Ecija, Nueva Vizcaya, Ifugao, Benguet, Mt. Province, Kalinga, Cagayan, Metro Manila. Signal #1 is in effect for Ticao Island, Masbate, Marinduque, Batangas, Laguna, Cavite, Bataan, Pampanga, Zambales, Tarlac, Pangasinan, La Union, Ilocos Sur, Ilocos Norte, Abra, Apayao, Calayan, and Babuyan Group of Islands.

-WxCaster PAT

Typhoon Nesat, Pedring Prior to landfall near Baler / 11PST/02UTC 26 SEP 2011

Typhoon Nesat / Pedring is bearing down on the Philippines today bringing the threat of heavy rainfall and thunderstorms across Luzon. Pagasa has already issued Signal Force 2 warnings from Isabela to Camarines, with that the threat of over 20-30mm of rainfall an hour with nearly 50mm of rainfall along the eastern slopes of the Sierra Madre region.

Nesat should make landfall near Belar south of Casiguran the morning of the 27th yet outer rain bands with heavy rainfall and thunderstorms have already moved on shore. With this the risk of landslides and mudslides is likely.  Please watch the above video update for an in depth analysis.