First of all, good news for the Philippine as fair weather continue today after several days of bad weather especially the TC hit Mindanao area and we are looking forward that situation gets to improve further.
Over the SE Asia aside from the Philippine, A new surge of low pressure has formed in the Borneo Island over the past 12 hour and this area of low pressure has move onto the South China Sea. The low pressure area is clearly visible from the following satellite imaginary. This area of low pressure is currently moving north and will eventually heading move slightly west onto the Peninsula Malaysia in the next 12 to 24 hour due to the influence of north east wind shear. The MMA has extended its Third Category Rough Sea and Strong Wind warning over the coast of East of Peninsula Malaysia just westward of the South China Sea which is currently affected by the area of low pressure. North East wind with speed over 60kmph and sea waves higher than 5.5metre is expected for this area and this warning is extended until the 2nd of January 2012. Meanwhile, a Second Category Rough Sea and Strong Wind warning has been issued to the coastal area of Borneo Island (Sarawak, Sabah and Brunei) with wind around 50 – 60kmph and sea waves of 4.5metre. This warning is extended until the 5th of January 2012.
Overall, the weather across the South East Asia is better this few days compare to previous week especially in Singapore with the Singapore Met Department issued a statement indicating that the previous monsoon surge that affects the state has eased but still expecting windy conditions and passing showers in the afternoon for the next two days. Short duration thundery showers in the afternoon can be expected for the rest of the week.
Meanwhile for Brunei, some scattered thunderstorm and showers is expected until new year due to the development of low pressure area over the Borneo Island and effects of north east Monsoon surge. However, the condition should improve further in the mid of January as the north east monsoonal trough is heading towards a drier phase in February and March.
As for Thailand, due to the moderate north east monsoonal trough, the Thailand Meteorology forecast widely scattered thunderstorm for the South East coast of Thailand from Surat Thai and downwards with northeasterly winds of 20 to 40kmph and waves as high as 3 meter. The department has also forecast a low cell development over the Peninsula Malaysia from today onwards (29th December 2012) until the 1st of January thus leads to increase of rainfall for the lower south east coast of Thailand
In addition to the above forecast, good news and relief from flood affected area. The improvement of weather over the past few days has saw some decrease in number of victims affected by flooding in the region. The number has decrease from the previously 10,000 people to approximately 2,500 people today and we pray that the situation will improve further.
Finally, I would like to take this opportunity to wish all our readers happy new year 2012 and have a good and prosperity year ahead.
Stay safe and have a good day.
WestPacWx SE Asia Caster ~Francis~