SE Asia Update January 8, 2012 & PI 3 Day outlook

We continue to watch widespread rains falling across much of the Philippines and even into East Malaysia in Borneo. So far, many places have recorded 100 to 150mm of rain. Rainfall amounts like this can certainly bring the threat of landslides and flashfloods.

Furthermore, another cluster of convection persists across the South China Sea bringing scattered showers into Malaysia and Brunei. The disturbance that is affecting Mindanao will move west and likely affect Malaysia and Indonesia.We are also looking at around 100mm of rainfall for the next 24 hours in these areas.

Unfortunately, Mindanao-which has been hit hard these past few weeks-continues to receive precipitation due to the converging warm east and cool northeasterly winds. This line of showers extend north into Luzon. Based on satellite data and computer models, we’ll likely see rains continue for another 24 to 36 hours. There could be as much as 150mm of rain again in some parts of the Philippines.

I have made a 3-day forecast graphic for selected cities in the Philippines with temperatures and chances of precipitation based on computer models and satellite data. Please note that these forecasts are not official; always consult the local weather bureau for official information.

-WxCaster PAT

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