Archive | January 25, 2012

Powerful M8.7 Solar Flare & Earth Directed CME – Jan 23, 2012

Powerful M8.7 Flare: A solar flare reaching M8.7 was generated by Active Region 11402 at 03:59 UTC Monday morning. R2 Radio Blackout, 100 MeV Proton Spike and 10cm Radio Burst resulted. As well as a 10cm Radio Burst (TenFlare) which lasted 19 minutes was also reported. A Full-Halo Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) followed immediately after this event, with components appearing to be Earth directed. The main bulk of the incoming plasma cloud appears to be directed above the Earth however impact is estimated to arrive during Jan 26-27. G1 Class Geomagnetic Storm has subsided while solar winds plummet under 300 km/s. Aurora may still possible but only at very high latitudes.

Earthquake Forecasting Channel

Earthquake Reporting Channel

solarwatcher website

Soho Website Solar Soft website WSA-Enlil

Solar Wind Prediction Helioviewer

Quality Solar Website

Estimated Planetary K index information…

GOES Xray Flux Data

Sunspot Information from Solar Monitor

Quality Weather Website Space

Weather Website

(Taken From SOLAR WATCHER, Channel on Youtube)

Tropical Low developing North West of Australia

The BOM has officially announced the formation of  a Tropical Low North West of Australia today. Currently they expect this low to slowly drift South West today before re-curving towards the Western Coast of Australia. NGPS and GFS model outlooks also develops this storm (shown to the right) but they keep it off the coast as the development of the storm tracks South. Either way high waves will likely be expected along the west coast towards the West of Port Hedland over the next several days with outer rain bands bringing rainfall to the region.

Also we continue to watch an area of the Northern Coast for possible development, currently JTWC has rated this area a High Chance for development over the next 24hrs with model outlooks hinting at development over the next several days.  This area though is near the Coast around Darwin and will have little time to completely develop before encountering overland friction.