Cyclone Iggy / Tropical Update 02 FEB 2012

Today’s Update is from Our Partners at OZCYLCONECHASERS.COM

MAIN POINTS

(1) Ex Iggy to hit the WA coastline between midnight and 6AM tomorrow WST. Most of the heavy rain and stronger winds will occur prior to landfall as the system weakens on approach to the coastline. Most of the strongest winds will be to the SW of the system’s centre and the heaviest rains will be to the south of it.

(2) Coral Sea LOW located over the Peninsula right now and will move quickly to be east of Cairns by 4AM tomorrow morning. The LOW should then slow for a few hours while it develops and then resume a fast push to the east or east south east and possibly develop into a marginal TC on saturday morning or overnight Friday. There is still a lot of doubt as to whether this system will even attain TC status, but the slightly favoured scenario is for it to become a Cat 1 TC.

(3) Heavy rainfall should occur as the LOW pushes offshore over Nth and FNth Qld after 10AM tomorrow as an inland trough and the easterly feeder bands combine to enhance convergence into the LOW.

(4) The LOW will have an unfavourable interaction with a Fijian system that may temporarily weaken it to below TC intensity between 155E and 160E should it have achieved TC intensity in the first place.

(5) Longer term (after the current LOW) no cyclone development is expected anywhere in the Australian region until at least mid February.

Advertisements

No comments yet... Be the first to leave a reply!

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: