Archive | February 16, 2012

Philippines 3-Day Forecast | February 16, 2012

The highlight continues to be the widespread rains across the Philippines that have been going on for the past 2 to 3 days. Nearly 300mm have fall in some areas particularly across Eastern Visayas and Northern Mindanao. While rain is forecast to start weakening by tomorrow, there could still be some areas of moderate rain showers as the Low Pressure Area continues to move out of Visayas. Improving weather for this weekend for much of the country although another batch of convection has been spotted near Guam and that could affect the country as early as Monday.

For more information on these two LPA, you can watch Rob’s Video Update as well as Francis’ for the weather for the rest of Asia-Pacific. I’ll leave you with the usual 3-day Forecast Graphic (NOT OFFICIAL!). My next update will be on Sunday (February 19), stay safe!

-WxCaster PAT

16 FEB 2012 Western Pacific Weather Video Update

Today we are looking at a LPA over the PI bringing heavy rainfall to the country with over 100mm of rainfall in some locations over the past 24 hours. Furthermore through the weekend rainfall is expected to persist as a strong MJO dominates the weather pattern in the tropics.

To the North a Stationary boundry is bringing snowfall to Tokyo while the siberian high continues to bring bitterly cold temperatures to the North. Also please don’t forget to check Francis update from earlier today as well for in depth text discussion on South East Asia and the Weather effecting it.

LPA (Invest 93W) over the PI and SE Asia Weather Update.

Just a quick updates on today’s weather. The JTWC has labelled the ALPA in the PI as Invest 93W as we continue to monitor the progress of the ALPA moving westward crossing the area of Visayas and Mindanao bringing heavy precipitation over the area which is still recovering from the disastrous Tropical Storm Washi.

Information obtained from the WMO indicating that rainfall ranging from 70mm to 120mm has been collected over the past 24 to 48hours and the Pagasa continue to warn on the possibility of continuous rainfall in the coming hours as the ALPA moves its way out of the PI. The ALPA is currently located 130km East of  Davao City (7.0°N, 126.8°E) and Pagasa warned that this weather system will bring cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms over Southern Luzon, Visayas and Mindanao becoming widespread rains over Bicol Region, Eastern and Central Visayas and Northern and Eastern Mindanao. Landslide and flashfloods warning is being issued for residents in the low lying area and along the mountain slopes.

This ALPA however, was not expected to develop into anything yet as of today and JTWC has indicate that it has a low possibility (20%) of develop into anything significant as its mid-level circulation is displaced ahead of the true center. However, a few model has forecast that this system will develop at the west of Palawan in a couple days. Further information please refer Rob’s update video update yesterday HERE

To all viewers who are interested to keep an update on this system or the weather in the PI, you may add THIS Facebook page on your facebook account  or on twitter  to receive important weather update from Pagasa.

Over South East Asia, the NE Monsoon continues to weaken and as usual, please do expect some scattered and isolated thunderstorm in the region especially in the coastal area due to the sea breeze effect.

Over the Peninsula Malaysia, Southern Thailand and Singapore, weather should be fine with some evening thunderstorm and shower in certain area while over the Borneo Island, we expect to see more rainfall and cloudy sky over that region as satellite imaginary showing developments of rain clouds. Brunei Weather Agency warn of the possibility heavy rainfall crossing the states today and warn of possible flashfloods in low lying area.

Overall, the SE Asia region are expected to have an average high of 32 Celcius and an average low of 22 Celcius.

We will continue to keep you update on the severe weather across the region from time to time if there is any.

Stay safe and have a great day.

WestPacWx SE Asia Casters ~Francis~