Archive | March 6, 2012

Coral Sea Low Less Likely to develop but Tropics Still Remain Active. / Australia Update 06-07 MAR

The above update is taken from our partners at OZCYCLONECHASERS.COM, please visit his site for more detailed information on the possible development in the Tropics.

A deep LOW just to the East of the SE Queensland coast has pushed NE and deepened overnight. However it is less likely now to become a tropical cyclone as wind shear affects the system. It is very unlikely to hit the coast.

A LOW has developed over the Kimberley coast and is pushing to the west. It is very likely to develop into a very deep monsoon LOW or tropical cyclone late on the weekend or into early next week. Interests along the Kimberley and Pilbara need to follow updates on this system over the next 5-7 days.

A third LOW is developing near the top end coast of the Territory and is likely to remain slow moving. Interests near the top end need to be aware that there exists a very high chance of major flooding. If the LOW gets off the coast in the longer term there is some slight potential for further development.

JTWC 24HR OUTLOOK

07 March 2012 Western Pacific & Eastern Asia Update

A deep 991hpa area of low pressure is now racing off the east coast of Hokkiodo

Japan 3 Day Snow Outlook

today bringing snowfall to most of the Northern Island with some snowfall making it’s way in to Northern Honshu. (See the Chart to the Right). In the wake of this low a stationary and stubborn trough lingers across southern Japan through Eastern China bringing wet weather to the Ryuku islands including Okinawa. Japanese radar Wednesday morning indicates even the threat of isolated thunderstorms to most of the southern isles. Expect this to push through today but as we go through the week this stubborn trough will continue to linger bringing un-wanted and un-pleasant cloud cover and rain to the region.

As we look south towards South Eastern China including Hong Kong the Crochin associated with the North East Monsoon is effecting the area bringing fog and rain to most of the region. Expect this to persist through the week as well as cold air continues to flow south dropping Hong Kong Temperatures in to the 50’s overnight.

In the tropics all remains the same with afternoon air mass thunderstorms being the main threat. There is a surge of convection south of Palua and South East of Mindanoa that needs watching but nothing more than unorganized thunderstorm activity should occur with this region.