Archive | April 10, 2012

Philippines 3-Day Forecast | April 10, 2012

A change in the weather is in store for much of the Philippines today. As we have forecast 3 days ago, showers are now beginning to affect parts of Mindanao, Visayas, and even Southern Luzon. These showers, embedded along the ITCZ, is forecast to continue for another 2 days before starting to die. Already, as much as 100mm of rain has been reported in Northern Mindanao. Along these showers, some places could receive another 100mm within the next 36 hours.

IR Image from NOAA

As of right now, the heaviest of showers are affecting Northern Mindanao and Eastern Visayas. Places like Dipolog and Hinatuan have reported rainfall amounts of 80mm and 100mm, respectively. As I said above, there could as much as 100mm of rain tonight into tomorrow. The hotspot areas would be Northern Mindanao, Samar and Leyte in Eastern Visayas, and the Bicol Region in Luzon.

3-Day Forecast Graphic

Northern and Central Luzon will have quieter weather with low chances for afternoon thunderstorms. Central Visayas will cloudy skies with medium chances of rain. Most of the showers have been confined across Eastern Visayas but we are still expecting some of those showers to start working their way west into Central and Western Visayas. Southern Mindanao will also have lesser chances compared to the north. Still, places like Davao and General Santos City could still expect on and off showers tomorrow and into Thursday.

These rains will continue until Thursday and we expect relatively drier weather for Friday. However, another batch of rain could move in from the west and potentially impact the same areas come this weekend. I’ll have another 3-day Forecast on Friday, April 13.

-WxCaster PAT

2012 Cherry Blossom Forecast

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            Cherry blossom, the most awaited plant to full bloom for the Japanese and foreigners, is now starting to bloom again. Most of the trees in the southern areas of Japan have started to bloom but it is expected to be fully bloom this April. The expected full bloom in the northern parts especially Hokkaido is on May due to some weather abnormalities this year. The temperatures on March stayed low, this stayed the flower buds to grow slowly. For this reason the cherry blossom blooming date will be slower than usual.

In Osaka and Hiroshima Prefecture, cherry blossom has started to flowered. Cherry Blossom flowering was reported on April 2. In Osaka this was the first time for the tree to bloom in April since 2005. April 3 when the Low Pressure lashes over Japan, Cherry blossoms are not expected to fall because of the winds and full bloom may start next week.

※Forecast from (Japan Weather Association) JWA

※ Map were edited by Lextrike

※ of the difference (last year) average year “-” is faster than (last year) average, “+” indicates that the slower than (last year) average.

※ The value is the average value or last year, using the value of each municipality and attractions, the Meteorological Agency, there is no point average value was calculated on the basis of observational data of the past.

※ point there is no record of past observations point has not been observed and is in full bloom, full bloom is not expected to announced.

※ at the point of the anticipated date () is flowering, full bloom was observed, represents flowering date, the date in full bloom.

Kyushu region Point Expected
flowering date
Average difference (days) Last year the difference (days) Expected
full bloom
Average difference (days) Last year the difference (days)
Fukuoka Fukuoka (March 27)

+4

+5

(April 1)

Zero

-1

Oita Oita (March 27)

+3

+4

(April 3)

Zero

-2

Nagasaki Nagasaki (March 26)

+2

+3

(April 2)

-1

-5

Saga Saga (March 28)

+4

+6

(April 3)

Zero

-2

Kumamoto Kumamoto (March 25)

+2

+4

(April 2)

+1

-5

Miyazaki Miyazaki (March 24)

Zero

+1

(April 3)

+1

-1

Miyakonojo (March 23)

-1

+1

(March 30)

-1

-3

Kagoshima Kagoshima (March 26)

Zero

+3

April 5

+1

Zero

Shikoku Point Expected
flowering date
Average difference (days) Last year the difference (days) Expected
full bloom
Average difference (days) Last year the difference (days)
Kagawa Takamatsu (April 2)

+5

+2

April 8

+3

Zero

Tokushima Tokushima (April 1)

+4

+1

April 7

+2

-1

Ehime Matsuyama (March 30)

+5

+5

(April 4)

Zero

-2

Uwajima (March 25)

+3

+5

(March 30)

-2

+1

Kochi Kochi (March 21)

-1

-1

(March 27)

-3

-4

Sukumo (March 24)

+1

+2

Chugoku Point Expected
flowering date
Average difference (days) Last year the difference (days) Expected
full bloom
Average difference (days) Last year the difference (days)
Hiroshima Hiroshima (April 2)

+6

+1

April 9

+5

-1

Okayama Okayama (April 3)

+5

+3

April 9

+3

+2

Shimane Matsue April 5

+5

-1

April 11

+3

-1

Tottori Tottori City (April 3)

+3

+1

April 11

+4

+3

Yamaguchi Shimonoseki (March 30)

+3

Zero

April 7

+2

Zero

Iwakuni (April 1)

Five

One

April 7

Two

Zero

Kinki Point Expected
flowering date
Average difference (days) Last year the difference (days) Expected
full bloom
Average difference (days) Last year the difference (days)
Osaka Osaka (April 2)

+5

+2

April 9

+4

+2

Shiga Hikone April 7

+5

+6

April 14

+5

+3

Kyoto Kyoto (April 3)

+6

+6

April 9

+4

+2

Maizuru April 9

+6

+4

April 15

+7

+5

Hyogo Kobe (April 2)

+5

+2

April 11

+6

+1

Himeji (April 4)

+6

+2

April 12

+5

+1

Nara Nara (April 3)

+5

+3

April 9

+4

+1

Wakayama Wakayama (March30)

+4

+3

(April 4)

Zero

-3

Tokai region Point Expected
flowering date
Average difference (days) Last year the difference (days) Expected
full bloom
Average difference (days) Last year the difference (days)
Aichi Nagoya (March 30)

+4

+3

April 7

+4

+1

Shizuoka Shizuoka (March 24)

-1

+4

(April 1)

-2

-3

Hamamatsu (March 29)

+2

+1

(April 4)

Zero

-3

Gifu Gifu City (March 30)

+4

+2

April 7

+3

+3

Takayama April 18

+3

Zero

April 23

+3

-1

Mie Tsu (April 4)

+5

+3

April 10

+5

+5

Kanto region Point Expected
flowering date
Average difference (days) Last year the difference (days) Expected
full bloom
Average difference (days) Last year the difference (days)
Tokyo Central Tokyo (March 31)

+5

+3

April 8

+5

+2

Hachioji April 5

+8

+5

Ibaraki Mito April 6

+4

Zero

April 12

+4

Zero

Tochigi Utsunomiya April 6

+5

Zero

April 12

+4

Zero

Gunma Maebashi April 5

+5

+2

April 10

+4

-1

Saitama Kumagaya (April 4)

+6

+3

April 10

+5

+2

Saitama
(Omiyakoen)
(April 2)

+7

+1

Chiba Choshi (April 2)

+2

-2

April 10

+2

-2

Kanagawa Yokohama (April 2)

+7

+3

April 9

+6

+1

Odawara (March 30)

+4

-2

April 6

+3

-2

Tokyo Hachijo-jima (March 28)

-3

-4

April 9

Zero

+1

Koshin region Point Expected
flowering date
Average difference (days) Last year the difference (days) Expected
full bloom
Average difference (days) Last year the difference (days)
Yamanashi Kofu (April 1)

+5

+3

April 8

+5

Zero

Nagano Nagano April 16

+3

+1

April 21

+4

Zero

Omachi April 23

+4

+1

April 27

+5

-1

Iiyama April 20

+3

-4

Matsumoto April 13

+3

+2

April 18

+3

+1

Ueda April 14

+5

+3

April 19

+6

+3

Komoro April 19

+4

+2

April 25

+4

Zero

Suwa April 17

+5

+3

Ina April 11

-1

-2

April 17

Zero

-1

Iida April 8

+4

+2

April 14

+5

+3

Hokuriku District Point Expected
flowering date
Average difference (days) Last year the difference (days) Expected
full bloom
Average difference (days) Last year the difference (days)
Niigata Prefecture Niigata April 15

+6

+1

April 19

+5

+1

Niigata Joetsu City
(Park Takada)
April 14

+6

+2

April 18

+5

+2

Toyama Prefecture Toyama April 10

+5

+2

April 14

+4

+3

Toyama Prefecture Takaoka
(Takaoka Castle Park)
April 10

+4

+2

April 14

+4

Zero

Ishikawa Prefecture Kanazawa April 8

+4

+1

April 14

+4

+2

Ishikawa Prefecture Wajima April 14

+5

+1

Fukui Prefecture Fukui April 7

+4

Zero

April 14

+5

+1

Tohoku district Point Expected
flowering date
Average difference (days) Last year the difference (days) Expected
full bloom
Average difference (days) Last year the difference (days)
Miyagi Sendai April 15

+4

+3

April 21

+5

+6

Aomori Aomori April 28

+4

+3

May 4

+5

+6

Aomori Hirosaki
(Hirosaki Park)
April 27

+4

+1

May 3

+5

+1

Aomori Hachinohe April 29

+6

+5

Akita Akita April 22

+4

-1

April 27

+5

Zero

Akita Semboku
(Tsutsumi Uchikawa cypress-Kakunodate)
April 28

+4

-3

May 2

+4

-3

Iwate Morioka April 26

+5

+6

April 30

+5

+1

Iwate Kitakami
(Katsuji Exhibition north)
April 25

+5

+2

April 30

+4

-1

Iwate Ofunato April 19

+5

+8

Yamagata Yamagata April 20

+5

+2

April 25

+6

Zero

Yamagata Sakata
(Park Konan)
April 18

+4

-3

April 23

+5

-4

Fukushima Fukushima April 13

+4

+1

April 18

+5

+3

Fukushima Iwaki
(Onahama)
April 11

+5

+2

April 16

+4

+1

10 APRIL 2012 Western Pacific Weather Update

Tropics Remain Quite but a low pressure system is setting its eyes in on Korea and Japan bringing more rain showers. The video above is a complete anlaysis on the weather today and what’s to come.