Forecast Graphic (NOT OFFICIAL!)
Main areas we’re watching right now are some rains across Taiwan and extreme Northern Luzon due to a developing front. Further south, Invest 97W is slowly approaching Mindanao, and actually blossoming along the way. The rest of the Philippines remains mostly quiet and hot.
Rains up north are mainly confined in Taiwan, Batanes Islands, and parts of Ilocos Norte and Cagayan. These are brief and localized rain showers that are not expected to bring significant amounts of rain. These clouds should slowly move to the northeast tonight. However, localized thunderstorms could remain until tomorrow and could form and drift south into the Cordilleras and even Central Luzon. The next few days will be mostly quiet with no major rain maker in the forecast. As has been the case these past few weeks, expect temperatures to remain in the mid and upper 30s during the midday with small chances for thunderstorm development in the afternoon.
Same goes for Visayas although rain showers could form by Monday night into Tuesday as Invest 97W is forecast to affect the region by that time. Depending on the trends tomorrow, coverage may not be that widespread and rainfall amounts may not even exceed 50mm. Still, light rains are a welcome respite in this heat.
Mindanao is expected to have more rains from 97W in the next 2 days. Showers could move in as early as tomorrow with Eastern and Southern Mindanao getting the brunt. There could be around 50 to 100mm of rain through Tuesday. Clearer weather is expected by the middle and latter part of the week.
IR Image from NOAA
As it stands right now, Invest 97W still has a low chance of development. However, we are seeing some blossoming of convection around the center in the past 6 hours. While it does not really indicate cyclonic development just yet, the recent activity does warrant our attention especially that it is now nearing Mindanao.
Stay right here at Western Pacific Weather for the last update on Invest 97W and all things tropical. Stay safe!