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Typhoon Mawar Short-Term Forecast

As Typhoon Mawar inches closer to Okinawa and the surrounding Japanese Islands, we’ve decided to put up a ‘Typhoon Timeline’ to provide a brief idea on what the conditions would be like in the next 24hours.

IR Image from NRLMRY

Mawar is forecast to move within 250km of Okinawa tonight passing between Okinawa and the Daito Islands. The worst conditions are likely to occur between 3am and 3pm tomorrow. Winds of near typhoon-strength are possible for Okinawa while winds of up to 180kph could be felt in the Daito Islands. Check out our timeline below (NOT OFFICIAL! DO NOT USE FOR LIFE AND DEATH DECISIONS!)

9pm JST: 300km south southwest of Okinawa. Okinawa and nearby islands starting to feel TS-force winds (65kph or more). Rains begin for the region.
12am JST: 220km south of Okinawa. TS-force winds affecting the islands along with moderate rains
3am JST: 180km south southeast of Okinawa. TS-force sustained winds and Typhoon-force gusts possible in Okinawa (peak winds up to 160kph possible). Higher winds likely in Daito Islands (120kph or more). Heavy rain also likely.
6am JST: 180km southeast of Okinawa. TS-force sustained and Typhoon-force gusts continue for Okinawa. Typhoon-force sustained and gusts likely for Daito Islands (peak winds up to 180kph possible). Heavy rain continue for the islands. Mawar also leaving the Philippine Area of Responsibility.
9am JST: 190km east southeast of Okinawa. TS-force sustained and Typhoon-force gusts continue for Okinawa. Typhoon-force sustained and gusts likely for Daito Islands (peak winds up to 180kph possible). Heavy rain continue for the islands.
12pm JST: 230km east of Okinawa, 120km west of Daito Islands. TS-Force winds continue with occasional typhoon-force gusts for Okinawa. Strong typhoon-force winds of up to 180kph possible for Daito Islands! Heavy rain continue in the area.
3pm JST: 270km east northeast of Okinawa, 130km northwest of Daito Islands, 200km southeast of Amami Island. TS-force winds continue for Okinawa although winds starting to weaken. Typhoon-force winds continue for Daito, while TS-Force sustained possible for Amami. Heavy rain possible for Okinawa and Amami, likely to continue for Daito.
6pm JST: 370km northeast of Okinawa, 170km north of Daito, 220km southeast of Amami. Winds starting to back down for Okinawa, TS-force gusts still likely. TS-force sustained with typhoon-force gusts likely for Daito, TS-force winds continue for Amami. Heavy rain continues for Amami and Daito, lighter rains for Okinawa.

For the OFFICIAL info on warnings and forecast especially for radar data in Okinawa, click HERE (JMA Website)

Please stay safe out there guys! If you can, please send us pictures or any observations whatsoever on Typhoon Mawar. Keep checking back the site for continuous updates on this storm as it nears Okinawa.

-WxCaster PAT

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