Tropical Storm Doksuri (Local name ‘Bagyong Dindo’) continues to move across the Philippine Sea and is now nearing NE Luzon. The storm was last located approximately 500km northeast of Virac, Catanduanes or about 600km east northeast of Casiguran, Aurora. Maximum sustained winds remain at 65kph with gusts of up to 95kph. TS Doksuri is currently moving north northwestward at 20kph.
As of 11am today, Signal #2 has been raised by PAGASA for Cagayan and Isabela Provinces. Signal #1, meanwhile, is up for Batanes Group of Islands, Calayan Island, Ilocos Norte, Apayao, Abra, Kalinga, Ilocos Sur, Mt.Province, Aurora, Ifugao, Nueva Viscaya, and Quirino. For the upcoming 5pm update from PAGASA (which will have the latest Signal Warnings), please click HERE
IR Image from NRLMRY
As seen on the image above, Doksuri’s low-level circulation center is fully exposed as it struggles to cope with the increase in wind shear in the area. This development is leading to the displacement of much of the convective activity of the storm to the western half. Therefore, the bright clouds from Doksuri are all displaced to the south and southwest. Since the rainclouds are really close to Luzon despite the center being more than 500km away, expect light rains to begin affecting parts of Bicol Region and Eastern Luzon later tonight; that’s why the Signal Warnings have been put up by PAGASA. Aside from the rains, wave heights will increase as well and rough surf will be experienced all across the Eastern Seaboard of Luzon.
Most forecasts don’t show a landfall in Luzon. However, Doksuri will still pass very close to Sta. Ana, Cagayan tomorrow morning. It’s rainbands will also affects Northern and Eastern Luzon and could bring rainfall amounts of up to 150mm especially in mountainous areas. Doksuri will cross Luzon Strait and move into the South China Sea. We expect the storm to leave the Philippine Area of Responsibility by Friday night or Saturday morning. Computer models continue to track Doksuri towards Hong Kong by Saturday although it remains to be seen how strong the system will be by that time.
We’ll have continuous updates about the storm so keep checking back here. Furthermore, be sure to watch the news and check on PAGASA as well for the latest and OFFICIAL warnings and forecasts for your area. Stay safe!