Tropical Storm Gaemi (Bagyong Marce) Afternoon Update October 5, 2012

Tropical Storm Gaemi (Bagyong Marce) is now moving westward away from the Philippines. The system continues to battle strong easterly wind shear leaving the low-level center nearly fully exposed. Gaemi will continue moving westward across the South

China Sea and could make landfall in Vietnam by early Sunday morning as a minimal Tropical Storm. It will then continue moving across Indochina and could dissipate by Monday as it moves across Cambodia. Despite being a weak system, Gaemi is expected to bring widespread rains across Vietnam, Laos, Cambodia, and Thailand as we move into early next week.

[youtube_sc url=”http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VcU3fvdXNHM”%5D

As for Luzon, widespread rains are pretty much absent here although isolated thunderstorms in the afternoon and early evening hours are still possible. However, Visayas area and Palawan will continue experiencing scattered thunderstorms in the next few days courtesy of the Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ). Some of these thunderstorms can produce severe weather and even weak tornadoes as was the case in Negros yesterday. You can head to PAGASA’s Project NOAH by clicking HERE for the latest radar images and rainfall forecasts for the Philippines.

Meanwhile, we are watching a developing low pressure area just west of the Marianas Islands. This system is actually now being classified by JMA as a Tropical Depression and are forecasting it to become a Tropical Storm in the next 24 hours.

IR Image from NOAA Showing the location of Tropical Storm Gaemi and Invest 99W

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Tropical Storm Gaemi (Bagyong Marce) is now moving westward away from the Philippines. The system continues to battle strong easterly wind shear leaving the low-level center nearly fully exposed. Gaemi will continue moving westward across the South China Sea and could make landfall in Vietnam by early Sunday morning as a minimal Tropical Storm. It will then continue moving across Indochina and could dissipate by Monday as it moves across Cambodia. Despite being a weak system, Gaemi is expected to bring widespread rains across Vietnam, Laos, Cambodia, and Thailand as we move into early next week.
[youtube_sc url=”http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VcU3fvdXNHM”%5D
As for Luzon, widespread rains are pretty much absent here although isolated thunderstorms in the afternoon and early evening hours are still possible. However, Visayas area and Palawan will continue experiencing scattered thunderstorms in the next few days courtesy of the Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ). Some of these thunderstorms can produce severe weather and even weak tornadoes as was the case in Negros yesterday. You can head to PAGASA’s Project NOAH by clicking HERE for the latest radar images and rainfall forecasts for the Philippines.
Meanwhile, we are watching a developing low pressure area just west of the Marianas Islands. This system is actually now being classified by JMA as a Tropical Depression and are forecasting it to become a Tropical Storm in the next 24 hours.
IR Image from NOAA Showing the location of Tropical Storm Gaemi and Invest 99W

-WxCaster PAT
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