Typhoon Prapiroon (Bagyong Nina) Afternoon Update October 10, 2012

Here is our latest Video Update on Typhoon Prapiroon (Bagyong Nina) as it continues to intensify while moving across the Philippine Sea.

[youtube_sc url=”http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Gx2zhzeejvU”%5D

The system remains in a region favorable for intensification and while we haven’t seen a clear eye appear on satellite yet, there is ample strong convective activity around an expansive central dense overcast. JTWC has actually upgraded Prapiroon to a Category 2 Typhoon and is forecast to become a Category 4 in 3 days’ time.

Right now, the consensus on the forecast track is improving but there are still major differences across the official agencies, particularly with the Japan Meteorological Agency which has dramatically shifted their track to the west. JMA’s latest 5-day forecast now brings Prapiroon near the Sakishima Islands–opposite of what the Joint Typhoon Warning Center is showing. The disagreements are certainly as testament on the uncertainties that still linger on the numerous factors surrounding Prapiroon’s future movement. Unfortunately, we really have no idea which camp will win out in the end and all we can do is to closely monitor the developments of Prapiroon.

-WxCaster PAT

No comments yet... Be the first to leave a reply!

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: