Here is our latest Video Update on Typhoon Prapiroon (Bagyong Nina) as it continues to intensify while moving across the Philippine Sea.
The system remains in a region favorable for intensification and while we haven’t seen a clear eye appear on satellite yet, there is ample strong convective activity around an expansive central dense overcast. JTWC has actually upgraded Prapiroon to a Category 2 Typhoon and is forecast to become a Category 4 in 3 days’ time.
Right now, the consensus on the forecast track is improving but there are still major differences across the official agencies, particularly with the Japan Meteorological Agency which has dramatically shifted their track to the west. JMA’s latest 5-day forecast now brings Prapiroon near the Sakishima Islands–opposite of what the Joint Typhoon Warning Center is showing. The disagreements are certainly as testament on the uncertainties that still linger on the numerous factors surrounding Prapiroon’s future movement. Unfortunately, we really have no idea which camp will win out in the end and all we can do is to closely monitor the developments of Prapiroon.