Archive | October, 2012

Tropical Storm Son-Tinh (Ofel) Afternoon Update October 24, 2012

Here is our latest Video Update on Tropical Storm Son-Tinh (Bagyong Ofel) as it begins to impact Visayas and Mindanao regions.

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**If you have your own videos or images from the system, please share them to us at

The storm has just moved across Leyte Island and will be nearing Cebu in the next 2 to 3 hours. Widespread rains and strong winds are now being felt across Eastern Visayas and Northern Mindanao today. Stations are already reporting nearly 80mm of rain in the past 12 hours alone with the potential for 50 to 100mm of more rain falling tonight and into tomorrow. Airline Flights and boat trips have already been cancelled in many parts of the Philippines stranding thousands of passengers. Furthermore, we are now beginning to receive reports of urban flooding in some cities.

Here is the complete list of provinces under Signal Warnings from PAGASA:

As of 5pm this afternoon, PAGASA has raised Public Storm Warning Signal #2 for Masbate, Romblon, Eastern Samar, Western Samar, Leyte, Southern Leyte, Biliran Island, Camotes Island, Capiz, Aklan, Boracay Island, Northern Cebu, Bantayan Island, Northern Negros, and Dinagat Island. Signal #1 for Camarines Sur, Albay, Sorsogon, Burias Island, Southern Quezon, Marinduque, Oriental Mindoro, Occidental Mindoro, Calamian Group of Island, Batangas, Lubang Island, Cuyo Island, Northern Samar, Antique, Iloilo, Southern Negros, Southern Cebu, Bohol, Surigao del Norte, and Siargao Island.

Areas under Signal #2 should expect winds of up to 100kph to occur within the next 24 hours. Areas under Signal #1, meanwhile, should expect winds of up to 60kph in the next 48 hours. All provinces in the list should also expect widespread rains over the next two days that could lead to flooding and landslides. Always coordinate with your local officials for any evacuation orders and warnings for your area!

Meanwhile, here is Cebu Radar Image courtesy of PAGASA’s Project NOAH. You can see the widspread rains currently impacting Samar, Leyte, Camotes Islands, Bohol, and Cebu. Eventually those rains will be moving westward so Panay, Negros, rest of Visayas and even Southern Luzon could see rains by tomorrow.

For more radar images and rainfall forecasts for your area, please click HERE (Project NOAH)

TS Son-Tinh will continue moving across the Visayas Islands today and tomorrow. Rains will continue in the area and may even impact Central and Southern Luzon, including Metro Manila, by tomorrow. By Friday, Son-Tinh is forecast to exit into the South China Sea or the West Philippine Sea and could eventually threaten Vietnam as we move into the weekend.

Always coordinate with your local officials for any evacuation orders or other warnings in your area. Stay safe!

-WxCaster PAT

Tropical Depression Ofel Afternoon Update October 23, 2012

Here is our latest update on the newest system in the Western Pacific.

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Both the Japan Meteorological Agency and PAGASA have upgraded Invest 92W into a Tropical Depression, with the latter giving the local name ‘Bagyong Ofel.’ The Joint Typhoon Warning Center hasn’t upgraded yet but released a Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert indicating a HIGH chance of development and so we expect them to follow suit within 24 hours.

Here is the complete list of provinces under Signal Warnings from PAGASA as of 5pm this afternoon (Philippine Time):

Leyte, Southern Leyte, Eastern and Western Samar, Bohol, Camotes Island, Dinagat, Surigao Provinces, Agusan Provinces, Camiguin Island, and Misamis Oriental. The said provinces should expect winds of up to 60kph along with widespread rains to occur within the next 48 hours. Flooding and landslides are possible so please consult with your local officials for any warnings or updates in your area.

Tropical Depression Ofel (92W) is currently located east of Mindanao. The system is still pretty disorganized with weak and fragmented convective activity. We do expect it to become a Tropical Storm in the next 24 to 48 hours before moving into Mindanao and Visayas. Potentially widespread rains could impact Visayas and Mindanao over the next few days. PAGASA has already issued Public Storm Warning Signals in many areas in anticipation of this system.

Eventually by Friday, this depression is expected to move out into the South China Sea/West Philippine Sea and may threaten the rest of Southeast Asia by next week.

-WxCaster PAT

Tropical Storm Prapiroon (Nina) and Maria Early Evening Update October 17, 2012

**If you have your own videos or images from the system, please share them to us at

Here is our latest Video Update on Tropical Storms Prapiroon (Bagyong Nina) and Maria which continue to move across the Western


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Tropical Storm Prapiroon is now moving at decent pace after meandering in the Philippine Sea region for days. The system is currently moving near the Okinawa Islands bringing strong Tropical Storm-force winds and moderate rains. Winds of up to 100kph along with rainfall amounts of 100 to 150mm are possible tonight and into tomorrow across the islands. Prapiroon is forecast to start turning more to the east by tomorrow, accelerating along the way. The system will be moving south of Mainland Japan and will not be a significant threat unless perhaps for rough waves along the coast. Prapiroon is forecast to become an extra-tropical cyclone as early as Friday as it moves across the Northern Pacific.

Radar from JMA

Latest radar out of Okinawa shows bands of light to moderate rains moving across Okinawa, Amami, and nearby islands. Stations here are already reporting 50mm of rain in the past 6 hours alone and more could be on the way. We expect as much as 100 or even 150mm of rain to fall by tomorrow. Along with the heavy rains, winds of up to 100kph have also been recorded in the islands. These stormy conditions will persist throughout the night affecting Okinawa, Amami, Daito, and the nearby islands in the Ryukyus. We expect weather conditions to quiet down later tomorrow as Prapiroon moves away to the northeast. For more radar images, warnings, and forecasts for Japan, please click HERE (JMA Website)

Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Maria is now moving away from the Ogasawara Islands after bringing gusty winds and heavy rains there yesterday. Maria is now over the Northern Pacific and will continue moving quickly to the northeast. The system is forecast to become extra-tropical as early as tomorrow and will no longer be a threat to land.

Here is an infra-red satellite image from NRLMRY showing the locations of the systems we are talking about today.

Please continue to check with your local officials (JMA, JTWC, Kadena Weather, etc) for the latest updates and warnings for your area. Stay safe!

-WxCaster PAT