We’re monitoring a low pressure area (LPA), labelled as 91W by JTWC, near Tacloban City, Philippines. Near-term threat will be heavy rain and thunderstorms for a majority of the Philippines with the possibility of flash flooding and mudslides. PAGASA is also issuing weather advisories for the LPA due to these threats. Dynamical models suggest this system will continue drifting northwest of the next couple of days. Once the disturbance enters the South China Sea, the possibility of organization exists and the GFS hints that this may develop into some sort of a tropical cyclone within the next three days.
Below in today’s Worldwide Tropical Outlook, I talk briefly on this area and other global tropical threats.