Archive | August 10, 2013

Typhoon Utor (Labuyo) Update # 6 Morning | August 11, 2013

Typhoon Utor (Bagyong Labuyo) looks like it has stopped rapidly intensifying. However, it remains a strong Category 2 Typhoon. It was last located approximately 230km east northeast of Virac, Catanduanes or about 560km east southeast of Manila. Maximum sustained winds, according to JMA, remain at 155kph with gusts of up to 215kph. Typhoon Utor has also begun to move west northwesterly with a speed of about 20kph.

As of 5am this morning, PAGASA has now raised Public Storm Warning Signal #3 for Catanduanes. Signal #2 is in effect for Isabela, Ifugao, Nueva Vizcaya, Nueva Ecija, Aurora, Quirino, Polillo Is., Camarines Norte, and Camarines Sur. Signal #1 for Cagayan, Calayan Group of Islands, Babuyan Group of Islands, Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur , Apayao, Kalinga, Abra, Mountain Province, Benguet, La Union, Pangasinan, Tarlac, Zambales, Pampanga, Bulacan, Bataan, Rizal, Quezon, Cavite, Laguna, Batangas, Marinduque, Albay, Sorsogon, Burias, Ticao Islands,  and Metro Manila.

Radar Image from Virac (PAGASA)

virac radar 2

Latest radar image out of Virac, Catanduanes is finally showing Utor’s center of circulation. Bands of light to moderate rains are now beginning to impact the Bicol Region and parts of Samar Island in Visayas. As mentioned above, we expect 200 to maybe even 300mm of rain falling along the eastern portions of Luzon today and into tomorrow. For the latest radar images and forecasts, please click HERE (PAGASA Website).

Typhoon Utor will continue moving west northwestward and could intensify further into a Category 3 later today. It will pass near Catanduanes later this afternoon, bringing typhoon-force winds in the area. Heavy rains will then spread into Bicol and parts of Southern Luzon including Metro Manila.

We’ll have more updates later today. Remember that we’ll be having a Live Discussion at 11am today Philippine Time. Please visit their Facebook Page for more details.

Stay safe!

-WxCaster PAT

 

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Typhoon Utor (Bagyong Labuyo) Update #4 Early Evening | August 10, 2013

This is Weather Caster PAT’s latest Update on Typhoon Utor. Meteorologist Robert Speta has also released his update and own thoughts on this system earlier this afternoon; click HERE for his complete update. Also remember that he’ll be having a live discussion later tonight (11pm Philippine Time) on Utor; stay with Western Pacific Weather and also on our Facebook Page for the latest update.

Utor has rapidly intensified today into a Category 1 Typhoon! Typhoon Utor (Bagyong Labuyo) was last located approximately 480km east of Virac, Catanduanes or about 830km east southeast of Manila. Latest JMA Analysis puts the maximum sustained winds at around 130kph with gusts reaching up to 185kph. TY Utor is moving westward at 25kph.

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As of 5pm this afternoon, PAGASA has raised Public Storm Warning Signal #1 for Camarines Sur, Camarines Norte, Albay, Sorsogon, Northern Quezon, Polilio Island, Cagayan, Isabela, Aurora, Quirino, and Catanduanes.These provinces should expect to see stormy conditions beginning in 24 hours. Strong gusty winds and heavy rains are possible and even high waves along the coast. Please prepare now if you are in these areas and as always, consult with your local officials for the latest warnings for your region.

Radar Image from Virac (PAGASA)

virac radar 1

Typhoon Utor should move west northwestward tonight. Outer rain bands from the storm could start impacting Catanduanes and Samar beginning tonight and early tomorrow morning. Conditions along the eastern seaboard of Luzon, especially across the Bicol Region, should start deteriorating by tomorrow and will spread northward into the provinces of Quezon, Aurora, and Isabela. Utor (Labuyo) is forecast to make landfall in the Aurora Isabela area (near Casiguran) by early Monday morning as a possible Category 3 typhoon. For the latest Signal Warnings and Radar Images, please click HERE (PAGASA Website)

Continue to stay with us for the latest updates on this storm. Stay safe!

-WxCaster PAT

Utor continues to rapidly intensify–typhoon threat remains for Luzon

Today, Utor (Labuyo) looks like it’s near/at typhoon strength as continued rapid intensification occurred throughout the night and into this morning.  Latest satellite imagery indicates a small eye has formed.  Even JMA now is initializing the storm as a 60 kt-severe tropical storm.  However, their forecast track remains suspect.  JMA, the northern outlier, maintains that the center of Utor will pass just north of Aparri on Monday.  Meanwhile, nearly every other meteorological agency in the Western Pacific focus on a Cagayan/Isabela landfall for Monday with JTWC, the southern outlier, looking at an Aurora-landfall.  Considering the storm is still moving westward and blocking high pressure remains to the north, the southerly solutions appear more reasonable.  The next challenge will be intensity for landfall.  Majority of the WPAC meteorological agencies are looking at minimal typhoon strength… however, considering the latest satellite presentation, we should surpass that level later tonight.  With shear being very light, water temperatures around 30-31 °C, and good outflow aloft, the current intensification trend doesn’t appear to be waning.  JTWC is currently forecasting 90 kt prior to landfall and again over Luzon, suggesting 95-100 kt may be possible at landfall.  The CHPS ensemble, on the other hand, rapidly intensify Utor toward a category 4 on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale.  Utor will definately bear watching through the weekend as it’s posed to be a high wind, heavy rainfall, flash flood, and mudslide threat to portions of Luzon–including the Bicol Region.

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