Archive | October 12, 2013

Typhoon Nari (Santi) and TS Wipha Sat. Morning Update

Two powerful cyclones are churning the Asia-Pacific Region this morning. One is Typhoon Nari (Bagyong Santi) which is now moving into the South China Sea after making landfall in Aurora Province in the Philippines last night. The other system we’re closely watching is Tropical Storm Wipha, moving across the Philippine Sea.

IR Image from NOAA

101213 0032z ir analysis

The satellite image above perfectly illustrates the location and coverage of both systems. Typhoon Nari looks organized even after crossing Luzon. It will likely intensify further as favorable conditions currently exist across the South China Sea. Latest forecasts from agencies and weather models show a track towards the central part of Vietnam by Monday morning as a strong typhoon.

Radar Image from ClimateX PH

sub radar

Rains still continue across the western portions of Luzon especially in the provinces of Zambales and Bataan. However, as Nari moves quickly away from the Philippines, we expect the weather in the region to gradually improve later today. If you have any images or videos showing the damage brought by Nari/Santi, please feel free to share them with us on our Facebook Page. For more rainfall forecasts from the Philippines, please click HERE (ClimateX PH).

Tropical Storm Wipha, on the other hand, is moving across the Philippine Sea and will likely be upgraded to a typhoon later tonight. Forecast consensus show the system tracking northwestward and then recurving northeastward around the subtropical ridge. Okinawa and the Ryukyu Islands may see some scattered rains and high waves on Monday. However, the main area we will be watching are the islands of Shikoku and Honshu. Some models are taking Wipha near these areas by Tuesday as a strong typhoon. Forecasts from JTWC and JMA are taking the center of Wipha just south of Tokyo meaning the large metro area could see some stormy conditions by early next week.

We’ll continue to monitor these two systems in the coming days. Meanwhile, please consult our separate update written by Meteorologist Rober Speta for the latest on Very Severe Cyclonic Storm Phailin which is nearing landfall in the eastern coast of India. Click the link below for more:

Stay safe!

-WxCaster PAT