Watch the latest Video Update from WxCaster PAT for the in-depth analysis and forecasts for the region regarding Typhoon Neoguri.
Neoguri has intensified overnight as it moves ever closer to the Okinawa Islands. The Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) has put the “Super Typhoon” designation on Neoguri (do note that the JMA does not use such scale on their analysis). The eye is now within 700km south of Okinawa and is moving northwestward at 25kph.
IR image from NRLMRY
Latest satellite image shows the cloud free and perfectly symmetrical eye of Neoguri. Convection remains strong around the circulation and we expect the system to at least maintain its present strength as it moves northward. In fact, both the JMA and the JTWC are still expecting the system to intensify just a little bit more over the next 12 hours.
The eye of Neoguri is expected to pass within 150km west of Okinawa. We expect the island to experience winds of up to 160-180kph. The strongest winds of up to 250kph will lash Kumejima Island as we are expecting the eye to pass very close to it. As far as timing goes, rains may start to impact Miyako, Okinawa, and the rest of the islands by tonight and will last through Wednesday evening.
Dangerous conditions will occur on Tuesday with the strongest winds expected to lash the region beginning noon Tuesday and lasting into the early evening hours. By Thursday, Neoguri is forecast to make landfall in Kyushu and will bring strong winds and heavy rains across Mainland Japan later this week.
We’ll continue to keep you posted and as always, refer to the JMA for the official forecasts and warnings in your area.