Here is WxCaster PAT’s latest Video Update for an in-depth analysis and forecast for Severe Tropical Storm Rammasun (Bagyong Glenda).
Rammasun continues to intensify as it nears the Philippine Islands. The Joint Typhoon Warning Center has already upgraded the system to a Typhoon while the JMA is expecting to upgrade the storm to a Typhoon in in the next 12 hours.
Meanwhile, PAGASA has placed several provinces under Signal Warnings, including Metro Manila.
As of 5pm this afternoon, PAGASA has raised Public Storm Warning Signal #3 for Catanduanes. Signal #2 for Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur, Masbate, Burias and Ticao Islands, Albay, Sorsogon, Marinduque, Southern Quezon, and Northern Samar.
Signal #1 for Romblon, Oriental Mindoro, Occidental Mindoro, Lubang Island, Batangas, Cavite, Laguna, Rizal, Bulacan, Pampanga, Bataan, Zambales, Tarlac, Nueva Ecija, Pangasinan, Southern Aurora, Northern Quezon, Polilio Island, Eastern Samar, Samar, Biliran, and Metro Manila.
Rammasun (Glenda) is forecast to make landfall in the Bicol Region by early tomorrow morning. Heavy rains and strong winds will begin to impact Eastern Visayas and Southern Luzon tonight. Samar and Catanduanes Islands will see strong winds and even the threat of storm surge along the coast. It will move west northwestward tomorrow across Bicol bringing stormy conditions across the Region.
IR Image from NRLMRY
Rammasun will then move into Southern Luzon and impact the area including Metro Manila by tomorrow afternoon and into the evening hours. Rammasun should then exit into the South China Sea (West Philippine Sea) by Wednesday morning. We’re expecting
200 to as much as 300mm of rain to fall over the next 24 hours so the flooding and landslides will be very high especially in low-lying and mountainous areas and also near bodies of water.
Please heed the warnings of your local officials for the latest warnings. And if there are any evacuations in your area, please follow them, stay safe!
As we often say here at westpacwx. If conditions look bad outside and seem dangerous. They probably area.
Impacts on Manila
The city is noctorios for being flood prone and this storm will be no different. Heavy rainfall on Tuesday night through Wednesday will bring flash flooding across the Metro area likely stopping traffic for most of the city.
Furthermore strong westerly winds could bring a coastal storm surge around Roxas BLVD and much the immediate coastline. If you are in an area that often floods be sure to make proper preparations to avoid casualties first then property.
Should you Prepare?
Yes if you are in the cone of error be ready for possible flooding and even the threat of winds lifting light objects especially along the eastern seaboards. As our partner Karen from K Weather said. “PAGASA says this may be stronger than Milenyo. No harm in heeding their warning and preparing for a strong typhoon. If it doesn’t happen, well and good.”
As we know storms can be very deadly in the Philippines. But more often than not especially with some of the weak storms we hear of people who died because they did something foolish like swim through flood waters or did not take the storm seriously. Also be prepared and as always stay safe!
Yes there are numerous agencies warning on the storm. The ones featured in the video above area JMA, JTWC and PAGASA.. To get a good idea on where it is exactly going check out some of the links below.
- China Meteorological Agency
- Hong Kong Observatory
- Japan Meteorological Agency
- Joint Typhoon Warning Center
- Korea Meteorological Association
- Malaysia Meteorological Agency
- Thailand Meteorological Department