Archive | April 2, 2015

Typhoon Maysak (Chedeng) Afternoon Video Update | April 2, 2015

Typhoon Maysak (locally known as Bagyong Chedeng in the Philippines) continues to weaken as it heads towards the island of Luzon. The eye of Maysak was last located approximately 1,350km east southeast of Manila. Maximum sustained winds according to JMA are at 175kph with gusts of up to 250kph. JTWC is keeping Maysak at Category 4 intensity with sustained winds of up to 215kph and gusts of up to 260kph. Typhoon Maysak has slowed down since yesterday and is currently moving west northwestward at a speed of 15kph.

Increasing wind shear and the presence of dry air will continue to induce weakening for Maysak in the next 2 to 3 days. Intensity forecasts have gone down and are expecting Maysak to be a minimal-typhoon or even a tropical storm before it makes landfall in the Aurora-Isabela area by early Sunday morning (Philippine Time).

IR Image from NRLMRY

040215 0501z ir analysis b

Latest satellite image shows Typhoon Maysak and Invest 99W. The latter possibly becoming our next Tropical Cyclone. The Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) has issued a Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert for 99W. Computer model forecasts show a weak tropical storm possibly moving near the Mariana Islands this weekend.

Watch WxCaster PAT’s latest Video Update below for more in-depth discussion and forecast analysis for Typhoon Maysak.

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Continue to keep updated on the progress of this system, especially if you reside in Northern Luzon. Stay safe!