Weekend update- February 6/7, 2016

NWPAC outlook, 6/7 FEB

NWPAC outlook, 6/7 FEB

The weekend brings a warm-up to much of the north region, while the central holds steady, the south cools off just a tiny bit, and the tropics remain mostly quiet.


Temperatures will be on the rebound this weekend across the majority of the north region as the coldest air stays far to the north and the current air mass moderates considerably. Portions of northern China, Mongolia, and eastern Russia will not enjoy this moderation as the colder air filters into these locations. A weak low pressure system riding along the old frontal boundary will slide to the east of Japan on Saturday, bringing a chance of showers to the Land Of The Rising Sun. Everyone else will see scattered clouds with plenty of sunshine for those outdoor activities.

City Sat. High C (F) Sun. High C (F) Conditions (Sat/Sun)
Ulaanbaatar -11 (12) -6 (21) Fair/Ptly Cloudy
Vladivostok -6 (21) -3 (27) Fair/Fair
Beijing 6 (43) 8 (46) Fair/Fair
Seoul 2 (36) 3 (37) Fair/Fair
Tokyo 9 (48) 9 (48) Showers/Fair
Xi’an 8 (46) 14 (57) Fair/Fair
Shanghai 7 (45) 9 (48) Fair/Fair



Temperatures across the central region will hold mostly steady this weekend as the latest air mass moderates and warms just a bit under the increasingly intense sunshine. The biggest headline for the central region is that for the first time in well over a week, Taiwan will not see rain falling all day long. Portions of southern China and northern Indochina will see a BIG bounce upwards to near 20C. Skies will be cloudy to the west as cooler air dams up against the Tibetan Plateau (Qingzang Plateau) and overriding moisture brings considerable cloudiness. Elsewhere across the central region, skies will be partly cloudy to sunny as high pressure dominates the entire region.

City Sat. High C (F) Sun. High C (F) Conditions (Sat/Sun)
Kunming 4 (39) 7 (54) Cloudy/Cloudy
Hong Kong 16 (61) 15 (59) Fair/Fair
Taipei 13 (55) 13 (55) Pt. Cloudy/Pt. Cloudy
Iwo To 11 (52) 9 (48) Ptly Cloudy/Fair
Hanoi 18 (64) 19 (66) Fair/Fair



The intense heat across the south region will ease up just a bit, especially over northern portions of the region. It will still be a very warm weekend across continental portions of the south region, but not quite as bad as last week’s sweltering heat wave. The Philippines will pick up some relief from the drought as a low pressure area will zoom off to the northeast and drag down some instability into the northern half of the nation, while the lower half remains warm and mostly dry. Showers and thunderstorms are also possible in parts of Indonesia, Malaysia, and Brunei as warm moist air gets a lift by the daytime heating. Everyone else should see a dry day with just a few scattered clouds.

City Sat. High C (F) Sun. High C (F) Conditions (Sat/Sun)
Siem Reap 30 (86) 28 (82) Fair/Fair
Ho Chi Minh 34 (93) 33 (91) Fair/Ptly. Cloudy
Manila 28 (82) 28 (82) Showers/Pt. Cloudy
Davao City 33 (91) 34 (93) Pt. Cloudy/Pt. Cloudy
Brunei 31 (88) 30 (86) Sct T-storms/T-storms
Singapore 31 (88) 29 (84) T-storms/T-storms



As one would expect in the first week of February, the tropics are mostly quiet as we enter this weekend. One weak wave is passing through the far western portion of the region, and another weak wave is rolling through parts of the far eastern reaches of the area. These waves are ill-defined, and have nothing in the way of organization, but could bring a few scattered showers to Micronesia. It will be a windy weekend in the Marshall Islands, so be careful with the kites there. Most locations will enjoy a wonderful weekend with just a few clouds and lots of sunshine.

City Sat. High C (F) Sun. High C (F) Conditions (Sat/Sun)
Guam 27 (81) 27 (81) Ptly Cloudy/Fair
Yap 31 (88) 31 (88) Showers/Ptly Cloudy
Palau 31 (88) 31 (88) Showers/Showers
Chuuk 29 (84) 29 (84) Pt. Cloudy/Pt. Cloudy
Pohnpei 30 (86) 30 (86) Showers/Ptly Cloudy
Majuro 29 (84) 29 (84) Pt. Cloudy&Wind/Cldy&Wind
Wake 28 (82) 28 (82) Pt. Cloudy /Pt. Cldy&Wind

Have a wonderful weekend!

Courtesy: CIMSS, Tropical Tidbits, Weather.com, Intellicast, MeteoEarth

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