Daily update- Friday, February 12, 2016

NWPAC outlook, 12 FEB

NWPAC outlook, 12 FEB

Evidence of the newest Siberian surge is starting to show in parts of the north region, while the central region heats up more ahead of the new air mass. The south stays hot, with little relief in sight, and the tropics remain silent. 


Cold air is starting to move into portions of northwestern China today as the latest Siberian surge flows slowly to the east and south. Temperatures out ahead of the new air mass will continue to warm up before the surge moves through northwestern areas of the region by Saturday and in the southern and eastern areas on Sunday. A storm system is developing over eastern China, and will slide through Korea and Japan this weekend and pull the surge eastward into those locales. Temperatures from this surge will fall nearly 13C in some places across the north region by early next week.

City High Temp C (F) Low Temp C (F) Conditions
Ulaanbaatar -16 (3) -30 (-22) Fair
Vladivostok -2 (36) -6 (21) Freezing Rain
Beijing 11 (52) 1 (34) Rain
Seoul 12 (54) 6 (43) Rain
Tokyo 14 (57) 9 (48) Partly Cloudy
Xi’an 7 (45) -2 (28) Showers to Snow
Shanghai 23 (73) 14 (57) Increasing Clouds



Temperatures across the central region will continue to warm up ahead of the new surge, which should arrive across most of the central region on Sunday and Monday. Significant temperature changes will take place, especially over the more northerly and easterly locales, while less effect will be felt to the south and west. A storm system forming over eastern china will help pull up some clouds and moisture over eastern portions of the region.

City High Temp C (F) Low Temp C (F) Conditions
Kunming 18 (64) 7 (45) Fair & Windy
Hong Kong 23 (73) 19 (66) Cloudy/Foggy
Taipei 26 (79) 17 (63) Partly Cloudy
Iwo To 12 (54) 8 (46) Rain
Hanoi 31 (88) 16 (61) Partly Cloudy



Portions of the south region continue to see record-setting heat, especially over Cambodia and southern Vietnam. The Philippines will be warm in western provinces, but eastern and southern provinces will see a strong, moist northeasterly flow, with clouds and showers likely for coastal areas. Brunei, Indonesia, and Malaysia will also see quite a bit of moisture for the warm afternoon sun to transform into clouds and scattered thunderstorms.

City High Temp C (F) Low Temp C (F) Conditions
Siem Reap 36 (97) 22 (72) Partly Cloudy
Ho Chi Minh 34 (93) 23 (73) Partly Cloudy
Manila 33 (91) 22 (72) Fair
Davao City 33 (91) 23 (73) Sctd. Showers
Brunei 31 (88) 26 (79) Sctd. T-storms
Singapore 32 (90) 26 (79) Cloudy



The tropics are still very quiet as we enter the middle of February. Activity along the I.T.C.Z. (Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone) is widely scattered and unfocused, with a very weak easterly wave located near the Marshall Islands, a second weak wave south of western Micronesia, and a third, slightly stronger wave drifting through Indonesia, Brunei, and Malaysia. Clouds and showers will be focused a bit in these areas. Clouds and showers will also affect the Mariana Islands and Wake as continental energy slides through both locations.

City High Temp C (F) Low Temp C (F) Conditions
Guam 26 (79) 22 (72) Showers & Windy
Yap 30 (86) 24 (75) Showers
Palau 31 (88) 25 (77) Increasing Clouds
Chuuk 29 (84) 26 (79) Partly Cloudy
Pohnpei 30 (86) 26 (79) Partly Cloudy
Majuro 29 (84) 26 (79) Partly Cloudy
Wake 27 (81) 22 (72) Increasing Clouds

Have a fabulous Friday!

Courtesy: CIMSS, HKO, Tropical Tidbits, Intellicast, Weather.com, MeteoEarth

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