Archive | March 4, 2016

Daily update- Friday, March 4, 2016

NWPAC outlook, 04 MAR

NWPAC outlook, 04 MAR

While most of eastern Asia and the NWPAC heats up, there are hints of a big change that is coming in during the next 7 days. The south is virtually baking in sub-tropical heat, while the tropics stay quiet. 


Very warm spring-like temperatures continue to show up across much of the north region, but hints of the coming changes are on the horizon. A complex storm system is beginning to take shape over northwestern China and Mongolia. Much colder air is set up behind the developing system, poised to move to the south and east over the next 7-10 days, enveloping the entire north region in wintery chill once again. Snow showers are likely in Mongolia and northern China and, to a lesser degree, in eastern Russia today and tonight. The remainder of the continental landmass will see considerable cloudiness, but will remain dry for the time being. Tokyo will see a pleasant day, following the passage of the most recent storm system, as it moves away to the northeast and leaves behind mostly clear skies for the nation.

City High Temp C (F) Low Temp C (F) Conditions
Ulaanbaatar -8 (18) -23 (-9) Snow Showers&Wind
Vladivostok 2 (36) -6 (21) PM Snow Showers
Beijing 15 (59) 3 (37) Cloudy
Seoul 17 (63) 8 (46) Cloudy
Tokyo 16 (61) 7 (45) Fair
Xi’an 18 (64) 2 (36) Cloudy
Shanghai 23 (73) 14 (57) Cloudy



The central region also continues to warm up, but as with the north region, big changes are on the way, with the full cold air impact to be felt during the middle of next week. For now, it feels a lot like spring across most of the region. A few showers will fall across Taiwan today as moisture from the southwest rides over the region in the mid and upper levels. Considerable cloudiness will also affect portions of southern China and northern Indochina, but rain will be scarce.

City High Temp C (F) Low Temp C (F) Conditions
Kunming 19 (66) 7 (45) Partly Cloudy
Hong Kong 24 (75) 17 (63) Partly Cloudy
Taipei 25 (77) 17 (63) Scattered Showers
Iwo To 16 (61) 6 (43) Fair
Hanoi 24 (75) 18 (64) Cloudy



Intense heat is on tap for the south region today, especially over portions of southern Indochina and the southern Philippines. The northern Philippines could see some clouds and showers today as the remainder of the most recent frontal system washes out overhead in the form of a mid/upper-level trough of low pressure, and the monsoonal surface flow trucks in the moisture from the east. Singapore could see a few thunderstorms pop up in the hot afternoon sun, but the remainder of the region will see a very hot and dry day.

City High Temp C (F) Low Temp C (F) Conditions
Siem Reap 36 (97) 23 (73) Fair
Ho Chi Minh 35 (95) 23 (73) Fair
Manila 33 (91) 23 (73) Scattered Showers
Davao City 32 (90) 24 (75) Partly Cloudy
Brunei 31 (88) 26 (79) Partly Cloudy
Singapore 31 (88) 27 (81) Thunderstorms



The tropics are once again very quiet today, with just a few scattered pockets of energy drifting along in the weak convergence of the I.T.C.Z. (Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone). The Mariana Islands and western Micronesia will see a few clouds and showers as a result of continental energy that is hanging about in the area, and eastern Micronesia may see a few scattered clouds and showers as well. The rest of the tropical region will see generally fair weather, with warm temperatures and lots of sunshine.

City High Temp C (F) Low Temp C (F) Conditions
Guam 26 (79) 22 (72) PM Showers
Yap 32 (90) 25 (77) AM Showers
Palau 32 (90) 25 (77) Scattered Showers
Chuuk 31 (88) 26 (79) Partly Cloudy
Pohnpei 32 (90) 26 (79) PM Showers
Majuro 29 (84) 26 (79) Partly Cloudy
Wake 27 (81) 22 (23) Fair

Have a fabulous Friday!

Courtesy: CIMSS, HKO, Tropical Tidbits, Intellicast,, MeteoEarth


Japan will be under the influence of a spring weather pattern this coming weekend leading to above average temperatures and heavy rainfall by the end of the weekend.


The culprit for this incoming burst of warmth is a large ridge in the jet stream combined with strong southerly winds flowing in from the tropics.  All this warm is also helping to fuel a storm system rolling in out of Eastern China and by Saturday night it will start to bring rainfall for the Korean Penisula and Western Japan.


Heading in to Sunday the low will gradually work east across central and Northern Japan.


For skiers and snowboards it is a sad case of enough moisture but to much warm air. If temperatures were colder with this low we would see a massive amount of snowfall. BUT, it looks like it will be warm enough to have a decent impact on the snow pack in lower elevations.


Further more the change in temperature following the heavy snowfall earlier this week will lead to a avalanche threat. The higher threat areas being off piste on steeper slopes. Those should pretty much just be avoided this weekend.

Hakuba Fcst

By Monday the rain should start to taper off in to the afternoon hours leaving above average temperatures and clearning skies through mid-week for most of Japan. If you enjoy the spring weather you will be extremely happy.  Good news is despite the warm temps the snow pack is still in place so do not think the ski season is over with just yet.


Do also note with winds coming in from the west behind the weekends low the air quality will drop as yellow sand moves in to the picture.