TROPICAL LOW IS THE FIRST SIGN OF ANYTHING IN THE TROPICS IN MONTHS

The tropics have been seasonably calm (for once) the last few months. But for the first time this year it looks like a ripple in the tropics could pop up later this week. Michael has been mentioning this in his daily updates since late last week but today I have decided to update the tropical threat map and make a video to reflect this potential. Right now I put it as a “low to slight risk”. So no need to worry immediately.. just keeping an eye on this blimp in the tropics.

ASCAT Imagery shows a slight rotation in winds in the area, nothing to get excited about but its there.

Also note that JTWC has put this out as a invest area with JMA making no mention of it just yet. It is an area of cloud cover though located well east of the Philippines with some numerical guidance showing a little development. In the end it could be great news for the drought stricken Philippines.