Daily update- Thursday, April 7, 2016

NWPAC outlook, 07 APR

Spring stays put in the north region as a storm system slides through, while fair weather and warmth dominate the central region. Dangerous heat sets up once again in the south region, but relief is on the way for some areas as moisture builds in the tropics. 

NORTH

A moderate spring storm system will progress through the eastern portion of the north region today, bringing clouds and showers to eastern China, eastern Russia, parts of Korea, and Japan. Temperatures behind the frontal system are slightly cooler, but the change is not that noticeable. The air is considerably drier in these locations however. A second reinforcing shot of drier air is also moving through the northern portion of the region. Meanwhile, in the westernmost locales of the region, temperatures have rebounded big-time, increasing 10C (18F) over yesterday’s readings. Where the clouds aren’t, the weather will be rather nice today, with warm temperatures under partly cloudy skies.

CENTRAL

The weather across much of the central region will be nice and warm today. Some clouds associated with a frontal system to the north will carry over interior locales of the region, as the moisture gets pulled to the northeast by the storm system. Temperatures will remain very warm across the region with most locations enjoying a partly cloudy day.

 SOUTH

Dangerous heat has once again set up over the south region, especially over inland locales of the southeastern Asian peninsula. Temperatures across this area will exceed 38C (100F) with high humidity, offering up a dangerous level of heat indices. Skies will be sunny across most of the region, while Brunei and Indonesia could pick up a few afternoon thunderstorms. There are hints in the forecast that portions of the southern Philippines could receive some much-needed moisture as a tropical wave moves through the area early next week. I’ll have more on this in the “tropics” section of this report.

 TROPICS 

Moisture in the tropics is increasing, as is the convergent energy within the I.T.C.Z. (Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone). An extended line of convergence exists between 130E and 160E, with focused energy located between 130-138E and again between 150-160E. Forecast models are maintaining this area as a weak wave of tropical energy, which should progress towards an arrival in the southern two-thirds of the Philippines early next week, bringing much-needed rainfall relief for these parched locations. For today, showers and thunderstorms will form in parts of Micronesia and the Marshall Islands, while the remainder of the region enjoys very warm temperatures and partly cloudy conditions.

Have a thrilling Thursday!

Courtesy: CIMSS, Tropical Tidbits, Intellicast, WUnderground.com, MeteoEarth