Archive | April 14, 2016

SHINDO SCALE MAXES OUT IN WESTERN JAPAN DURING MASSIVE EARTHQUAKE

A massive earthquake rocked Western Japan Thursday evening resulting in casualties and wide spread damage. Specifically in the city of Kumamoto Kyushu where 13,000 people were forced to move to shelters overnight Thursday in to Friday while after shocks continued.

quake

The casualty number continues to rise as rescues continue. Check this link for more up to date information and on going news reports that are much faster than we can update.

JMA SHINDO SCALE 1-7, THIS EARTHQUAKE WAS A 7

JMA SHINDO SCALE 1-7, THIS EARTHQUAKE WAS A 7

Do note even though this quake was a 6.2 (relatively small for Japan) it was shallow and in a area that typically does

Images Friday Morning of Damaged Buldings (April 15th)

Images Friday Morning of Damaged Buldings (April 15th)

not get a lot of them. So the Shindo Scale (a scale that measures how much shaking you feel ) maxed out at 7 during the initial Quake. The scale only goes from 1-7. Thus showing this was a incredible event and why so my images of collapsed buildings and cracks in the earth are being seen Friday.

Japan’s transport ministry and a railway operator say an out-of-service Shinkansen was derailed due to Thursday’s major earthquake. No one was injured.

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JMA continues to warm of possible after shocks and landslides. Plus unstable buildings could still collapse in the hardest hit areas.

Truck sits at edge of crack in earth

Truck sits at edge of crack in earth

NO TSUNAMI THREAT has occurred with this earthquake.

THE WEATHER FORECAST

 

Today the weather is great for search and rescue, sunny skies prevail in the worst hit areas while temperatures climb in to the mid 20s.

 

By Saturday evening in to Sunday things will change though with increasing rain showers becoming heavy at times across most of Western Japan.

fcst chart

This of course will hamper rescue efforts but also brings the secondary threat of landslides and flooding. In the wake of massive earthquakes JMA temporary lowers heavy rain / landslide warning criteria to a lower number reflecting the unstable ground.

chart

The rainfall should continue to through Sunday morning before tapering off leaving clearing conditions across Kyushu to start off next week.

kuma

Record Melting Takes Place in Greenland

Its like a scene out of the block buster disaster movie “The Day After Tomorrow”. Rapid melting in the green land ice cap at first being thought of as a error by climate scientist but soon being realized the truth. The data is correct.

On Monday the 11th of April 2016 Greenland started to melt as temperatures pushed to record highs.  In some of the low lying areas temperatures were reported around 18C while on the glacier the mercury climbed to around 3-4C. This may seem cold to you but is a balmy summer day on the ice.

This was a result of a high latitude ridge ushering in unusual warm southerly

 

winds. http://earth.nullschool.net/#2016/04/10/2100Z/wind/isobaric/1000hPa/overlay=temp/orthographic=-39.66,65.70,1332

 

These graphics show just how much melting took place on Monday compared to Sunday.

map

To put it in more perspective this graph show the mean ice melt around the year on the ice cap with that freakish blue line being the start of April. It’s no wonder climate scientist thought it was a error at first.

graph

In fact Danish temperature records going back to 1873 confirm this has never happened before.

 

You might think immediately global warming but the reality is it is but in a indirect way.  To make it clear, it is not the start of a sudden and radical climate shift. More so a ramification of the on-going changing climate.

 

With the temperatures in the poles heating up to new record levels every year you can expect a more meandering jet stream because of the more shallow gradient between cold temperatures north of the polar front jet and south of it. Think of a river in a shallow plain compared to one on a mountain side.

Gistemp-map

What this means is more extreme dips in the Jet Stream along with cold and warm waves and in this case. A record setting warm wave.

 

Lets hear your thoughts, what do you think caused this most recent heat wave in one of the coldest places on earth.  Furthermore don’t forget to subscribe and check out westpacwx.com. We will be posting more and more of these videos plus this week the Typhoon Seasonal outlook will be posted.

 

Thanks and stay safe out there.

 

 

 

Now don’t expect mega land hurricanes and tsunamis to come anytime soon, but… this is just one event amidst global ramifications from on – going climate change around the world.

 

 

Daily update- Thursday, April 14, 2016

NWPAC outlook, 14 APR

NWPAC outlook, 14 APR

Mixed weather affects the north region as unsettled conditions remain over the central region. More heat is on tap for the south while the tropics keep a low profile as the ocean gets warmer. 

NORTH

Three storms systems are affecting the north region today, with one system moving through portions of Japan today on its way out to sea, another frontal system moves slowly through parts of northeastern China and Korea, and yet, a third system making its way into Mongolia. The easternmost system will bring rain and showers in the early part of the day over Japan, but conditions should improve a bit this afternoon. The second frontal system is draped over central China, and extends all the way to the northeast to a pair of low pressure areas in eastern Russia. Temperatures have cooled a bit across northern China, but are still unseasonably warm for this time of year. A new system will make its way into Mongolia tonight, bringing a chance for snow to the nation.

City High Temp C (F) Low Temp C (F) Conditions
Ulaanbaatar 16 (61) -2 (28) Cloudy
Vladivostok 10 (50) -1 (30) Scattered Showers
Beijing 23 (73) 7 (45) Fair
Seoul 19 (66) 7 (45) Partly Cloudy
Tokyo 20 (68) 13 (55) AM Shws/PM Cldy
Xi’an 26 (79) 14 (57) Partly Cloudy
Shanghai 22 (72) 12 (54) Partly Cloudy

 

CENTRAL

The easternmost locales of the central region will see another rainy day as a frontal system associated with a storm over Japan slowly works its way to the east. The front, which extends to the southwest into Taiwan, will be the focal point for showers and a few thunderstorms this afternoon. Areas to the west and south are trouble-free, with just a few scattered clouds amidst the sunshine.

City High Temp C (F) Low Temp C (F) Conditions
Kunming 26 (79) 13 (55) Partly Cloudy
Hong Kong 26 (79) 23 (73) Thunderstorms
Taipei 24 (75) 20 (68) Periods of Rain
Iwo To 26 (79) 22 (72) PM Thunderstorms
Hanoi 32 (90) 24 (75) Partly Cloudy

 

 SOUTH

Blistering heat continues to plague parts of the south region, especially inland locales of the Southeast Asian peninsula, including Thailand, Cambodia, Vietnam, and almost all of Laos. More intense daytime heat, combined with rising humidity, shapes up to muster extreme heat indices approaching 47C (116F) in some areas. Residents of these areas should avoid prolonged afternoon exposure to the conditions, and restrict any vigorous activity to the early morning and late evening hours. Small surges of tropical moisture continue to provide fuel for showers, and a few thunderstorms, to the parts of the Philippines, Singapore, Malaysia, and Indonesia.

City High Temp C (F) Low Temp C (F) Conditions
Siem Reap 40 (104) 27 (81) Partly Cloudy
Ho Chi Minh 37 (99) 27 (81) Fair
Manila 34 (93) 26 (79) Scattered T-Storms
Davao City 33 (91) 26 (79) Scattered T-Storms
Brunei 33 (91) 27 (81) Thunderstorms
Singapore 33 (91) 27 (81) Scattered T-Storms

 

 TROPICS 

Sea-surface temperatures are becoming more and more favorable as we progress through the spring months. Taking a look at the MIMIC-TPW (Total Precipitable Water, or, a measurement of available moisture in atmosphere for condensation and precipitation) graphic, we see that, aside from a plume of moisture currently over the Philippines, the atmosphere in the tropics is relatively dry. Without a higher degree of moisture, any chances for tropical system formation will be negligible.

NWPAC TROP SCEN, 14 APR

NWPAC TROP SCEN, 14 APR

Weather will be great across the tropics today, with lots of sunshine and just a few scattered clouds region-wide.

City High Temp C (F) Low Temp C (F) Conditions
Guam 31 (88) 26 (79) Partly Cloudy
Yap 33 (91) 26 (79) Partly Cloudy
Palau 30 (86) 27 (81) Partly Cloudy
Chuuk 31 (88) 27 (81) Partly Cloudy
Pohnpei 31 (88) 26 (79) Partly Cloudy
Majuro 28 (82) 26 (79) Partly Cloudy
Wake 26 (79) 24 (75) Partly Cloudy

Have a great Thursday!

Courtesy: CIMSS, Tropical Tidbits, Intellicast, WUnderground.com, MeteoEarth