Daily update- June 7, 2016

NWPAC outlook, 07 JUN

More springtime warmth is in store for most of the north region, as the south region hangs onto the seasonal méiyǔ rainy season for a little longer. The south continues to see plenty of moisture for afternoon showers and thunderstorms while the tropics quiet down considerably once again. 

NORTH

Springtime warmth surges northward across portions of the north region, as the change of seasons gets closer to completing its cycle. A couple of weak storm systems are draped across northern China and Mongolia, helping dry the air out a bit and cool temperatures slightly behind the cold fronts trailing behind them. As the twin storm systems track eastward, eastern Russia, and parts of northeastern China, could see a few scattered showers. Overriding moisture will keep skies cloudy over southern Japan, and new méiyǔ energy coming in from the southwest will help generate rain along the eastern seaboard of China.

CENTRAL

A new pulse of méiyǔ energy is moving through the central region today, helping stir up clouds and showers across much of interior China. Lingering moisture remains over the coastal provinces of the nation as well. So, today looks to serve up another dose of heavy showers and thunderstorms at the peak of afternoon heating as the moisture gets lifted up and squeezed, especially over the higher terrain of southern and southeastern China. These showers and thunderstorms will extend to the southwest over parts of northern Vietnam as well.

SOUTH

The south remains hot and muggy as tropical moisture continues to invade the region from both the east and west, with the seasonal Southeast Asian monsoon still hanging back over parts of southern Indochina. A complex weather scenario is in place over the Philippines, as a surprisingly southward-trending surge of continental air stalls out just north of the archipelago. Moisture pushed in by an upper-level low pressure area is lingering over the region as it drifts slowly westward. This energy will interact with the moisture in place to bring another round of heavy afternoon showers and thunderstorms to the nation, especially in areas of higher terrain. Localized flash flooding could occur, and isolated landslides are a risk as well, in the provinces near, or in, the mountainous areas. Residents of the Philippines are once again urged to monitor your local weather agency, PAGASA, for relevant updates. Elsewhere across the region, intense afternoon sunshine and very warm, buoyant, air will help generate showers and thunderstorms across much of the region today, which will help bring some relief from the afternoon heat.

 TROPICS

It will be another short and sweet write-up today regarding the tropics because, quite frankly, there’s nothing to talk about. Plentiful moisture continues to roll through the region, aided by very weak impulses of tropical energy. Aside from the more northerly locations in the region, most spots will see a good chance for afternoon showers and thunderstorms as the afternoon heat tops out later today.

Have a terrific Tuesday!

Courtesy: CIMSS, Tropical Tidbits, Intellicast, WUnderground.com

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