Daily update- Wednesday, June 8, 2016

NWPAC outlook, 08 JUN

It feels a whole lot like summer in the north region as the central region continues to deal with rain and flooding. The south region will see another typical day of widespread afternoon showers and thunderstorms while the tropics stay quiet and well-behaved. 

NORTH

Temperatures across the north region continue to edge upwards as we inch closer to the summer solstice. A couple of rather weak storm systems are rolling across the northern portions of the region, bringing clouds and showers to parts of northern China, Mongolia, and southeastern Russia. A few clouds are associated with a stalled frontal boundary over eastern China and the Korean peninsula, however, this feature is dissipating and will not generate anything more than a few clouds, but it will be replaced by the subsequent system moving into the area. This is all part of the méiyǔ/baiyu monsoon front, that is slowly working its way northward through the entire East Asian continent and NW Pacific, right on schedule. Elsewhere across the region, it will be a warm day with just a few scattered clouds.

CENTRAL

Tropical moisture has settled in quite well over the central region, with occasional pulses of energy moving in from time to time to stir things up just a bit. At this time, a stalled frontal system associated with the latest continental surge is located just offshore of the mainland, draped over Taiwan. Instability from this front will help stir up showers and thunderstorms for most locations in southeastern China, Taiwan, and the Ryukyu Islands. Generous sunshine and ample heating will help lift the moisture into scattered thunderstorms across southern China and northern Vietnam as well, where temperatures will be quite warm this afternoon.

SOUTH

A very complex weather scenario is once again playing out over the south region, as the most recent push of continental energy clashes with deep tropical moisture that continues to build over the region. Most of the inclement weather will take place in the northern half of the region, as the available energy teams up with the intense afternoon sunshine to lift up some moisture into healthy showers and thunderstorms. A frontal system is stalled out just north of the Philippines, and a couple of trough features are extending out from that surge, remnants of the energy that moved in. To the south, it a bit quieter, as the action to the north seems to be a focal point, even dragging in some extra moisture and energy from the south, leaving locales in Malaysia, Indonesia, and Brunei a little bit drier than areas to the north.

 TROPICS

Another short and sweet report on the tropics is on tap today, as the region fails to toss out anything of interest today. A couple of weak easterly waves are slowly migrating westward, embedded in the general flow of the I.T.C.Z. (Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone). Overall, most locations across the region can expect a chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms, with a very warm afternoon ahead.

Have a way-out Wednesday!

Courtesy: CIMSS, Tropical Tidbits, Intellicast, WUnderground.com

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