WesternPacificWeather.com

It’s feeling a whole lot like summer in the north region as temperatures continue to inch upwards. The central region remains wet and soggy as tropical moisture and méiyǔ energy continue to batter the region. Tropical moisture is well in place over the south region as well, offering up another day of drought-relieving rainfall. The tropics have hiccupped just a bit, but now appear to be going back to sleep. 

NORTH

Temperatures are steadily climbing upwards as the summer solstice approaches. A shot of cooler air has moved into Mongolia and extreme northern China, and while the temperature difference is significant, the air mass is still quite mild. The storm system responsible for this surge is tracking eastward through northeastern China, bringing clouds and showers to the northern one-third of the region. To the southwest, warm air advection ahead of the cold front will force temperatures to approach hazardous levels, with highs in the upper 30’s C (upper 90’s F) and humidity levels driving heat indices up into the lower 40’s C (low 100’s F). The remainder of the region will see warm temperatures and mostly fair weather with just a few scattered clouds.

City	High/Low C		High/Low F		Conditions
Ulaanbaatar	18	5	64	41	Scattered thunderstorms possible
Vladivostok	19	11	66	52	Cloudy
Beijing	33	19	91	66	Periods of rain
Seoul	31	20	88	68	Mostly fair
Tokyo	26	19	79	66	Mostly fair
Xi’an	37	21	99	70	Partly cloudy and HOT
Shanghai	27	21	81	70	Partly cloudy

 

CENTRAL

It will be another wet day across most of the central region, as the latest surge from the northwest starts to retreat, pulling up parallel to the southeastern Chinese seaboard, and bring more energy and instability into the region. Showers and thunderstorms will develop this afternoon across most of the region, with flooding rain once again likely for parts of southeastern China, especially in the higher terrain. Flooding concerns also exist over Taiwan, where the rapidly increasing terrain will generate some very heavy rain at times. Rain chances decrease a bit as you travel west and south, as a newly-developing low pressure area in the Gulf of Tonkin pulls in the local supply of low-level moisture from the South China Sea, and the backside circulation brings in slightly drier air from the north over parts of northern Indochina.

City	High/Low C		High/Low F		Conditions
Kunming	23	16	73	61	Thunderstorms possible
Hong Kong	31	27	88	81	Scattered thunderstorms likely
Taipei	28	25	82	77	Thunderstorms likely
Naha	28	26	82	79	Thunderstorms likely
Hanoi	32	27	90	81	Mostly cloudy

 

SOUTH

Deep tropical moisture is well-entrenched over the south region, where a complicated weather situation continues to work itself out. A developing low latitude extra-tropical low pressure area in the Gulf of Tonkin is going to dry things out a bit over portions of Vietnam, Cambodia and Laos, as the backside of the system’s circulation brings in some slightly drier and more stable air from the north. This drier air will heat up quickly due to the lack of cloud cover, so heat indices will once again approach hazardous levels over portions of interior Indochina this afternoon. To the east, this developing system will help draw up moisture from the southwest into the Philippines, raising rain chances over the northern third of the archipelago, especially in provinces along the western seaboard. Moisture from the remnants of 93W INVEST will begin to move into the southern Philippines today, raising rain chances there. Rain chances are also good over the southern locales of the region, as Singapore, Malaysia, Indonesia, and Brunei all look forward to a round of afternoon showers and thunderstorms.

City	High/Low C		High/Low F		Conditions
Siem Reap	38	27	100	81	Partly cloudy and HOT
Ho Chi Minh	36	27	81	79	Partly cloudy and HOT
Manila	32	25	90	77	Thunderstorms likely
Davao City	31	24	88	75	Scattered thunderstorms likely
Brunei	33	26	91	79	Scattered thunderstorms possible
Singapore	31	27	88	81	Thunderstorms possible

 

 TROPICS

Although most activity in the tropics is quite muted in the early part of this year’s season, the tropics have kicked out a very weak system in the form of 93W INVEST:

93W INVEST 

The N.R.L. (Naval Research Laboratory) designated this weak area of disturbed weather 93W INVEST Wednesday morning, and for a while yesterday it looked like it had legs. A little swirl of the clouds was appearing to form and, since computer forecast models were showing nothing, some of us were starting to think we might have a surprise on our hands. Well, it hasn’t taken long for that theory to get busted, as what was one focused swirl in the clouds has exploded into several weak swirls along a generally weak area of convergence and trough feature. In all likelihood, I believe 93W INVEST will be taken off the books later today, as moisture from the system begins to move into the southern Philippines. The last documented position given by NOAA at 2 a.m. PST was 8.2N, 132.3E. The system is drifting westward at about 20 kph, and will move through the southern Philippines over the next 48 hours, enhancing rain chances greatly.

Elsewhere across the tropics, it’s almost as if 93W pulled whatever available energy was in the tropics to it, and left the rest of the region devoid of any significant activity. A couple of weak pulses of energy are drifting along the general westward flow of the I.T.C.Z. (Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone), bringing a chance of showers and thunderstorms to most locations in the region.

City	High/Low C		High/Low F		Conditions
Guam	32	27	90	81	Thunderstorms possible
Yap	34	26	93	79	Scattered thunderstorms possible
Palau	30	27	86	81	Scattered thunderstorms likely
Chuuk	31	26	88	79	Thunderstorms likely
Pohnpei	31	26	88	79	Thunderstorms possible
Majuro	29	26	84	79	Thunderstorms possible
Wake	30	26	86	79	Scattered thunderstorms possible

Have a fabulous Friday!

Courtesy: CIMSS, Tropical Tidbits, Intellicast, WUnderground.com, N.R.L., RAMMB-NOAA

==================================================================

Disclaimer:

By making use of any information on this website, you agree to the following:

NO WARRANTIES: All of the information provided on this website is provided “AS-IS” and with NO WARRANTIES. No express or implied warranties of any type are made with respect to the information, or any use of the information, on this site. Westernpacificweather.com makes no representations and extends no warranties of any type as to the accuracy or completeness of any information or content on this website.

DISCLAIMER OF LIABILITY: Westernpacificweather.com specifically DISCLAIMS LIABILITY FOR INCIDENTAL OR CONSEQUENTIAL DAMAGES and assumes no responsibility or liability for any loss or damage suffered by any person as a result of the use or misuse of any of the information or content on this website. Westernpacificweather.com assumes or undertakes NO LIABILITY for any loss or damage suffered as a result of the use, misuse or reliance on the information and content on this website.

USE AT YOUR OWN RISK: This website is for informational purposes only. The opinions expressed within this website are the opinions of each contributor. Westernpacificweather.com urges you to consult with OFFCIAL sources for information whenever you feel a threat is impending.

 

All rights reserved. © 2016 Westernpacificweather.com