Weekend update – June 18/19, 2016

NWPAC outlook, 18/19 JUN

NWPAC outlook, 18/19 JUN

Less than a week away from the summer solstice, we find brutally hot conditions across parts of the north region, as the central regions sees another wet weekend with a chance for flooding rainfall. The south region will see another typical late-spring day, with lots of heat and pop-up thunderstorms, and the tropics remain quiet, but wet and unsettled.

NORTH

Things are starting to quiet down a bit across the north region, as recent surges from the north push the East Asian monsoon front to the south, allowing skies to clear a bit and temperatures to soar over parts of interior China. Readings near 39C (102F) can be expected over lowland interior China, with heat indices approaching 45C (113F) through the weekend. A weak pulse of energy moving into eastern portions of the region will help kick up a few more clouds and showers over these areas on Sunday, and the northern tier of locales in Mongolia, northeastern China and southeastern Russia will see a good chance for unsettled weather through the weekend as well. Some méiyǔ energy is present in the southernmost reaches of the region, and a chance for afternoon showers and thunderstorms is possible in these locales through Sunday.

City

Sat High

C       F

Sun High

C       F

Conditions

Sat                          Sun

Ulaanbaatar

28

82 23 73 Mostly fair

Sctd. showers

Vladivostok

17

63 19 66 Periods of rain

Sctd. showers

Beijing

34

93 36 97 Mostly fair

Mostly fair&HOT

Seoul

28

82 28 82 Partly cloudy

Partly cloudy

Tokyo

28

82 26 79 Mostly fair

Mostly cloudy

Xi’an

38

100 39 102 Ptly cloudy&HOT

Mostly fair&HOT

Shanghai

31

88 31 88 Thunderstorms

Sctd. T-Storms

 

CENTRAL

Moisture continues to feed into the central region from the west and south, combining with energy from the north and west, generating what has been the East Asian monsoon front, or méiyǔ front, which has been lingering and undulating over the region for the past 2 months. More of the same can be expected this weekend, but with slightly less intensity for most spots. Flooding afternoon thunderstorms are still likely in parts of southeastern China as an old stalled frontal system acts as a focus for the moisture sliding through the region. Temperatures will spike over portions of southern China and northern Vietnam, where heat indices will approach dangerous levels at the peak of afternoon heating both days.

City

Sat High

C       F

Sun High

C       F

Conditions

Sat                         Sun

Kunming

24

75 28 82 Sctd. T-Storms

Sctd. T-Storms

Hong Kong

32

90 32 90 Sctd. T-Storms

Partly cloudy

Taipei

33

91 33 91 Sctd. T-Storms

Sctd. T-Storms

Naha

31

88 31 88 Mostly fair

Mostly fair

Hanoi

37

99 37 99 Partly cloudy

Partly cloudy

 

SOUTH

There’s not much to talk about across the south region as a rather typical and somewhat benign weather pattern has set up. Moisture continues to flow in from the east as the seasonal monsoon slowly continues a gradual shift. Repeated pulses of continental energy from the north continue to reinforce the west Pacific high, and continue a rather steady easterly feed across the Philippines. Indochina is in the midst of the monsoonal shift, with copious moisture being trucked in from the Indian Ocean helping provide an additional boost of moisture for afternoon showers and thunderstorms to feed on. Overall, it will be a warm and wet weekend across the south region, with most locations seeing a good chance for afternoon showers and thunderstorms.

City

Sat High

C       F

Sun High

C       F

Conditions

Sat                         Sun

Siem Reap

34

93 36 97 Sctd. T-Storms

Sctd. T-Storms

Ho Chi Minh

33

91 32 90 Thunderstorms

Sctd. T-Storms

Manila

34

93 33 91 Sctd. T-Storms

Sctd. T-Storms

Davao City

33

91 31 88 Sctd. T-Storms

Sctd. T-Storms

Brunei

31

88 32 90 Thunderstorms

Sctd. T-Storms

Singapore

30

86 31 88 Mostly cloudy

Thunderstorms

 

 TROPICS

The tropics remain quiet and unimpressive through the weekend. General convergence is present through the I.T.C.Z. (Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone) as a regular condition, and this convergence is helping force up the moisture into scattered showers and thunderstorms across much of the region. It will be a great weekend for beach-goers and vacationers as warm and muggy conditions persist region-wide.

City

Sat High

C       F

Sun High

C       F

Conditions

Sat                         Sun

Guam

32

90 32 90 Partly Cloudy

Sctd. T-Storms

Yap

33

91 33 91 Thunderstorms

Sctd. T-Storms

Palau

29

84 30 86 Thunderstorms

Thunderstorms

Chuuk

30

86 31 88 Thunderstorms

Sctd. T-Storms

Pohnpei

30

86 30 86 Thunderstorms

Sctd. T-Storms

Majuro

29

84 30 86 Thunderstorms

Thunderstorms

Wake

29

84 28 82 Sctd. T-Storms

Sctd. T-Storms

Have a wonderful weekend!

Courtesy: CIMSS, Tropical Tidbits, Intellicast, WUnderground.com, NRL, CIMSS

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