
NWPAC outlook, 22 JUN
Stormy weather persists over parts of the north region as the heat turns up. The central region will see less rainfall, but are still under the gun for localized heavy showers. The south region is quite wet and warm, with hints of tropical troubles on the horizon. Speaking of the tropics, the two systems that we talked about yesterday are off the books, but development potential remains very much alive.
NORTH
The East Asian monsoon has tracked to the north, bringing méiyǔ energy and moisture to the region. A stationary frontal system is draped over the southern half of the region, with moisture and energy located mostly in the east, affecting eastern China, Korea, southeastern Russia, and Japan. A shot of cooler air has moved into Mongolia, where temperatures have stayed much lower than normal. The colder air is helping squeeze out a few showers across the country. Intense heat will be in place over interior central China, where clear skies will allow the sunshine to heat things up to near 39C (102F) today, forcing heat indices upwards to near 45C (113F).
City |
High/Low
C
|
High/Low
F |
Conditions
|
Ulaanbaatar |
16
|
4 |
61 |
39 |
Scattered showers likely
|
Vladivostok |
18
|
12 |
64 |
54 |
Scattered showers likely
|
Beijing |
35
|
22 |
95 |
72 |
Mostly fair & HOT
|
Seoul |
33
|
22 |
91 |
72 |
Scattered showers likely
|
Tokyo |
26
|
22 |
79 |
72 |
Mostly cloudy
|
Xi’an |
39
|
24 |
102 |
75 |
Mostly fair & VERY HOT
|
Shanghai |
31
|
24 |
88 |
75 |
Scattered thunderstorms likely
|
CENTRAL
As the méiyǔ energy has left the region, it leaves behind very warm temperatures and plentiful moisture, so, although there are no large-scale disturbances in the air to create much, just the normal, daily run of convective-type thunderstorms are on the menu for many. Southern China could use some relief, as record rainfall has caused extensive damage and loss of life in parts of the country. For more on these developments, please check out the earlier report by Meteorologist Robert Speta here. Temperatures will be seasonably warm across the region, as the summer season settles in.
City |
High/Low
C
|
High/Low
F |
Conditions
|
Kunming |
22
|
16 |
72 |
61 |
Thunderstorms possible
|
Hong Kong |
32
|
28 |
90 |
82 |
Scattered thunderstorms possible
|
Taipei |
33
|
27 |
91 |
81 |
Thunderstorms possible
|
Naha |
31
|
27 |
88 |
81 |
Scattered thunderstorms possible
|
Hanoi |
33
|
26 |
91 |
79 |
Partly cloudy
|
SOUTH
The south region has seen a huge increase in the moisture, thanks to surges coming into the region from the tropical regions to the east and west. The South China Sea is being watched very closely, as computer forecast models continue to show development of a tropical system here later this week. I’ll have more on this in the next section. For today, just about everyone can expect a chance of showers or thunderstorms as the afternoon heating peaks. Temperatures in the south region will also be near seasonal levels, and the showers should bring some welcome relief from the heat.
City |
High/Low
C
|
High/Low
F |
Conditions
|
Siem Reap |
32
|
25 |
90 |
77 |
Thunderstorms possible
|
Ho Chi Minh |
31
|
24 |
88 |
75 |
Thunderstorms possible
|
Manila |
32
|
25 |
90 |
77 |
Thunderstorms possible
|
Davao City |
32
|
24 |
90 |
75 |
Mostly cloudy
|
Brunei |
32
|
24 |
90 |
75 |
Mostly cloudy
|
Singapore |
31
|
27 |
88 |
81 |
Thunderstorms possible
|
TROPICS
There is a great deal of unsettled weather in the tropics, and according to computer forecast models, it’s all going to come together somewhere in the South China Sea within the next 3 days. The two systems that were designated on Monday, 94W and 95W INVESTS, have been taken off the books at J.T.W.C. (Joint Typhoon Warning Center), but cloudiness and general convergence remain. Model runs are consistent in showing development of a system east of Vietnam by the weekend. Current indications by the models are that this system will strengthen slightly and then move into southeastern Asia somewhere near the Vietnam/China border. We will keep you posted. Elsewhere, the aforementioned convergence throughout the region will bring about a good chance for scattered showers and thunderstorms as the afternoon sun lifts the moisture up and wrings out a few showers in spots.
City |
High/Low
C
|
High/Low
F |
Conditions
|
Guam |
33
|
28 |
91 |
82 |
Scattered thunderstorms possible
|
Yap |
33
|
26 |
91 |
79 |
Thunderstorms possible
|
Palau |
33
|
26 |
91 |
79 |
Thunderstorms possible
|
Chuuk |
32
|
26 |
90 |
79 |
Scattered thunderstorms possible
|
Pohnpei |
32
|
26 |
90 |
79 |
Thunderstorms possible
|
Majuro |
30
|
27 |
86 |
81 |
Scattered thunderstorms possible
|
Wake |
30
|
27 |
86 |
81 |
Scattered thunderstorms possible
|
Have a wonderful Wednesday!
Courtesy: CIMSS, Tropical Tidbits, Intellicast, WUnderground.com, N.R.L., RAMMB-NOAA
==================================================================
Disclaimer:
By making use of any information on this website, you agree to the following:
NO WARRANTIES: All of the information provided on this website is provided “AS-IS” and with NO WARRANTIES. No express or implied warranties of any type are made with respect to the information, or any use of the information, on this site. Westernpacificweather.com makes no representations and extends no warranties of any type as to the accuracy or completeness of any information or content on this website.
DISCLAIMER OF LIABILITY: Westernpacificweather.com specifically DISCLAIMS LIABILITY FOR INCIDENTAL OR CONSEQUENTIAL DAMAGES and assumes no responsibility or liability for any loss or damage suffered by any person as a result of the use or misuse of any of the information or content on this website. Westernpacificweather.com assumes or undertakes NO LIABILITY for any loss or damage suffered as a result of the use, misuse or reliance on the information and content on this website.
USE AT YOUR OWN RISK: This website is for informational purposes only. The opinions expressed within this website are the opinions of each contributor. Westernpacificweather.com urges you to consult with OFFCIAL sources for information whenever you feel a threat is impending.
All rights reserved. © 2016 Westernpacificweather.com