Daily update- June 22, 2016

NWPAC outlook, 22 JUN

NWPAC outlook, 22 JUN

Stormy weather persists over parts of the north region as the heat turns up. The central region will see less rainfall, but are still under the gun for localized heavy showers. The south region is quite wet and warm, with hints of tropical troubles on the horizon. Speaking of the tropics, the two systems that we talked about yesterday are off the books, but development potential remains very much alive. 

NORTH

The East Asian monsoon has tracked to the north, bringing méiyǔ energy and moisture to the region. A stationary frontal system is draped over the southern half of the region, with moisture and energy located mostly in the east, affecting eastern China, Korea, southeastern Russia, and Japan. A shot of cooler air has moved into Mongolia, where temperatures have stayed much lower than normal. The colder air is helping squeeze out a few showers across the country. Intense heat will be in place over interior central China, where clear skies will allow the sunshine to heat things up to near 39C (102F) today, forcing heat indices upwards to near 45C (113F).

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Ulaanbaatar

16

4 61 39

Scattered showers likely

Vladivostok

18

12 64 54

Scattered showers likely

Beijing

35

22 95 72

Mostly fair & HOT

Seoul

33

22 91 72

Scattered showers likely

Tokyo

26

22 79 72

Mostly cloudy

Xi’an

39

24 102 75

Mostly fair & VERY HOT

Shanghai

31

24 88 75

Scattered thunderstorms likely

 

CENTRAL

As the méiyǔ energy has left the region, it leaves behind very warm temperatures and plentiful moisture, so, although there are no large-scale disturbances in the air to create much, just the normal, daily run of convective-type thunderstorms are on the menu for many. Southern China could use some relief, as record rainfall has caused extensive damage and loss of life in parts of the country. For more on these developments, please check out the earlier report by Meteorologist Robert Speta here. Temperatures will be seasonably warm across the region, as the summer season settles in.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Kunming

22

16 72 61

Thunderstorms possible

Hong Kong

32

28 90 82

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Taipei

33

27 91 81

Thunderstorms possible

Naha

31

27 88 81

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Hanoi

33

26 91 79

Partly cloudy

 

SOUTH

The south region has seen a huge increase in the moisture, thanks to surges coming into the region from the tropical regions to the east and west. The South China Sea is being watched very closely, as computer forecast models continue to show development of a tropical system here later this week. I’ll have more on this in the next section. For today, just about everyone can expect a chance of showers or thunderstorms as the afternoon heating peaks. Temperatures in the south region will also be near seasonal levels, and the showers should bring some welcome relief from the heat.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Siem Reap

32

25 90 77

Thunderstorms possible

Ho Chi Minh

31

24 88 75

Thunderstorms possible

Manila

32

25 90 77

Thunderstorms possible

Davao City

32

24 90 75

Mostly cloudy

Brunei

32

24 90 75

Mostly cloudy

Singapore

31

27 88 81

Thunderstorms possible

 

TROPICS

There is a great deal of unsettled weather in the tropics, and according to computer forecast models, it’s all going to come together somewhere in the South China Sea within the next 3 days. The two systems that were designated on Monday, 94W and 95W INVESTS, have been taken off the books at J.T.W.C. (Joint Typhoon Warning Center), but cloudiness and general convergence remain. Model runs are consistent in showing development of a system east of Vietnam by the weekend. Current indications by the models are that this system will strengthen slightly and then move into southeastern Asia somewhere near the Vietnam/China border. We will keep you posted. Elsewhere, the aforementioned convergence throughout the region will bring about a good chance for scattered showers and thunderstorms as the afternoon sun lifts the moisture up and wrings out a few showers in spots.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Guam

33

28 91 82

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Yap

33

26 91 79

Thunderstorms possible

Palau

33

26 91 79

Thunderstorms possible

Chuuk

32

26 90 79

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Pohnpei

32

26 90 79

Thunderstorms possible

Majuro

30

27 86 81

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Wake

30

27 86 81

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Have a wonderful Wednesday!

Courtesy: CIMSS, Tropical Tidbits, Intellicast, WUnderground.com, N.R.L., RAMMB-NOAA

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