Daily update- Tuesday, July 5, 2016

NWPAC outlook, 05 JUL

Summer floods affect parts of the north region as showers and thunderstorms continue to batter the region. The continental areas of the central region will see some of the same with plenty of moisture and energy in the area. The south region will see another typical summer day, while the tropics observe the formation of 2016’s first typhoon, 02W NEPARTAK. 

NORTH

The biggest story coming out of the north region today is in regards to deadly flooding in China’s Jiangsu and Anhui provinces west of Shanghai where reports have come in of at least 186 dead, dozens missing, and 1.5 million people evacuated as rainfall in excess of 450 mm has fallen over these locales in the past 48 hours. There is no relief in sight for this region, as a stalled frontal boundary serves as a focusing mechanism for ample moisture and energy to help fire off wave after wave of heavy rain. Elsewhere across the region, very warm temperatures are in place for much of China, where lots of sunshine gets a chance to warm things up a bit. To the east, clouds, showers, and rainfall will affect southeastern Russia, Japan, and Korea, where heavy rain is also a possibility later this afternoon.

CENTRAL

The same frontal system that is bringing heavy rain to the north region is also bringing a round of the same to much of continental China in the central region. Offshore, however, conditions are much better, with lots of sunshine and scattered clouds. This is much like the calm before the storm as Typhoon NEPARTAK is expected to change the weather quite a bit across parts of the central region by this weekend.

SOUTH

The south region will see another day of clouds, showers, and afternoon thunderstorms as tropical moisture gets a lift from the warm afternoon sunshine. There are no special areas of interest to talk about in the south region, with the exception of TY02W NEPARTAK, which will bring quite a bit of rain to the Philippines starting late this week as it tracks north of the country.

TROPICS

The first typhoon of the 2016 season has been born! Say hello to our little friend, Typhoon 02W NEPARTAK.

02W NEPARTAK Full, 05 JUL

TY 02W NEPARTAK

The J.M.A. (Japan Meteorological Agency) designated 02W NEPARTAK as Typhoon 02W NEPARTAK this morning. NEPARTAK is gathering strength west of Guam today as it continues on an eventual track to somewhere near Taiwan. Here are the latest statistics on TY02W:

Position: 15.2, 136.6 E

Location: 560mi (901km) west of Guam

Pressure: 970 hPa

Movement: WNW at 30kph

Winds: 130kph with gusts to 185kph

Strength: Typhoon

02W NEPARTAK is expected to continue to develop over the coming days, becoming a powerful typhoon. The system is expected to continue moving in a general northwesterly direction, with sights set on the southeastern Chinese coast later this week. All interests along the coast of southeastern China, Taiwan, the Ryukyus, and even Korea should monitor this situation closely as it develops. Residents of the Philippines should monitor for monsoonal rainfall that will result from NEPARTAK’s passing to the north of the archipelago later this week.

Elsewhere across the tropics, there are no other systems forming, but there are plenty of spots that have potential. These spots will drift through the region today bringing a good chance for showers and thunderstorms to many locations.

Have a terrific Tuesday!

Courtesy: CIMSS, Tropical Tidbits, JMA, JTWC, Intellicast, WUnderground.com, N.R.L., RAMMB-NOAA

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