Archive | July, 2016

Mirinae leaves 1 dead in Vietnam, now continues to weaken

 Tropical Storm Mirinae now continues to weaken across Northern Vietnam after rolling onshore Thursday early morning as a Severe Tropical storm with winds over 100kph.

One person was killed and five people were injured when a house collapsed in Hanoi due to the strong winds.

State TV reported the city of Ninh Binh was submerged in a half of a meter of water halting traffic. Meanwhile in Noi Bai all flights were stormcancelled due to the rough weather. Flight in and out of Hanoi were also suspended. In one town of Thai Binh 7 fishing vessels were sunk in port as waves crashed ashore.

 

With this damage and casualty toll we must take note that even tropical storms can still be severe and dangerous despite not having the “typhoon” name.  A example of this was in 2011 Tropical Storm Washi hit the southern Philippines killing a estimated 1,268–2,546 people.

 

Vietnam averages about 7-10 tropical storms or typhoons a year. Thus despite this calm season with only 3 named storms thus far things do not look over yet for the country, even as far as statistics are concerned.

Impacts in Hainan

 

In Hainan no deaths have been reported but there has been damage to homes and infrastructure. Trees can been seen in video out of Wanning scattered around the road. Today will be a slow cleanup for the island that has taken much worst in years past. Even just in 2014 Typhoon Rammasun ripped through the province with winds up to 260kph.

Daily weather brief – Thursday, July 28, 2016

NWPAC outlook, 28 JUL

NWPAC outlook, 28 JUL

Intense heat continues to invade parts of central and eastern China, with very dangerous heat indices expected this afternoon. Meanwhile, clouds and showers will continue to impact the easternmost reaches of the region.

Tropical storm 05W MIRINAE has made landfall in northern Vietnam, bringing lots of wind and rain to the area, with the moisture expected to traverse inland over the coming days. Meanwhile scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms will continue to pop up across much of the remainder of the region.

The south region will see more widespread showers and thunderstorms, especially over portions of Indochina as Tropical Storm 05W MIRIMAE moves inland. All eye in the Philippines are watching the latest system to pop up in the tropics, in the form of 96W INVEST.

96W INVEST was designated yesterday by the N.R.L., situated just east of the southern Philippines. Computer forecast models are showing several scenarios, but most involve development of a tropical cyclone that may affect portions of the northern Philippines in the coming days. The remainder of the region will see plenty of scattered showers and thunderstorms as strong waves of convergence migrate along the I.T.C.Z. (Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone).

 

05W MIRINAE, full, 28 JUL

05W MIRINAE, full, 28 JUL

NORTH

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Ulaanbaatar

28

14 82 57

Mostly fair

Vladivostok

23

19 73 66

Partly cloudy

Beijing

34

23 93 73

Mostly fair

Seoul

29

22 84 72

Periods of rain

Tokyo

29

23 84 73

Mostly cloudy

Xi’an

38

23 100 73

Mostly fair & HOT

Shanghai

37

28 99 82

Partly cloudy & HOT

 

CENTRAL

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Kunming

24

14 75 57

Scattered thunderstorms likely

Hong Kong

34

28 93 82

Partly cloudy

Taipei

36

28 97 82

Scattered thunderstorms & HOT

Naha

32

27 90 81

Partly cloudy

Hanoi

26

24 79 75

Heavy rain and windy

 

SOUTH

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Siem Reap

31

24 88 75

Thunderstorms likely

Ho Chi Minh

32

24 90 75

Thunderstorms likely

Manila

33

26 91 79

Scattered thunderstorms likely

Davao City

31

24 88 75

Scattered thunderstorms likely

Brunei

31

24 88 75

Partly cloudy

Singapore

30

25 86 77

Thunderstorms likely

 

TROPICS

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Guam

32

27 90 81

Partly cloudy

Yap

32

26 90 79

Scattered thunderstorms likely

Palau

28

27 82 81

Thunderstorms likely

Chuuk

31

26 88 79

Thunderstorms likely

Pohnpei

30

22 86 72

Scattered thunderstorms likely

Majuro

28

27 82 81

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Wake

29

27 84 81

Scattered thunderstorms possible

 

Have a thrilling Thursday!

Courtesy: CIMSS, Tropical Tidbits, JMA, JTWC, Intellicast, WUnderground.com, N.R.L., RAMMB-NOAA

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SEVERE TROPICAL STORM MIRINAE BLOWS OVER TAIWAN, MAKES LANDFALL IN VIETNAM

Mirinae really got its act together overnight making landfall early this morning just East of Hanoi as a Severe Tropical Storm. Winds are still enough to bring down small trees and toss light objects in this storm but I still think the rain will continue to be the main issue. A tropical storm and flooding warning remains in effect for northern areas of Vietnam and we can expect there to be flooding and possible landslides in the inland steeper mountains through Thursday in to Friday. 

sts

The storm has already now been downgraded to a Tropical storm and will continue to weaken out through the rest of Thursday over northern Vietnam.  Even though the winds will be a issue the rain as mentioned before will be the main threat. Especially along mountain ranges just west of Hanoi where up to 200-300mm could occur as cloud cover streams  in off the warm waters in the Gulf of Tonkin.

rainfall

Impacts so far? 

In Hainan no deaths have been reported but there has been damage to homes and infrastructure. Trees can been seen in video out of Wanning scattered around the road. Today will be a slow cleanup for the island that has taken much worst in years past. Even just in 2014 Typhoon Rammasun ripped through the province with winds up to 260kph.

So far limited information has come out of Vietnam, our next update hopefully the casualty toll will remain at zero.

Below is a NASA High resolution image of the storm prior to landfall in Hainan Tuesday.

high res