Daily weather brief – Monday, August 8, 2016

NWPAC outlook, 08 AUG

NWPAC outlook, 08 AUG

NORTH 

A relatively stable weather pattern continues across the north region as we kick off the new work week. A weak frontal system is creeping through northern China, and a bit of moisture ahead of it will bring some clouds and showers central and eastern locales of the region, and overriding moisture will keep skies cloudy in northern spots. Attention is turned to STS OMAIS to the east of Japan as it maintains strength and takes a turn to the north, posing no threat to land.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Ulaanbaatar

27

17 81 63

Mostly cloudy

Vladivostok

28

19 82 66

Mostly fair

Beijing

32

22 90 72

Mostly fair

Seoul

34

24 93 75

Partly cloudy

Tokyo

31

26 88 79

Partly cloudy

Xi’an

33

23 91 73

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Shanghai

32

28 90 82

Scattered thunderstorms possible

 

CENTRAL 

A lot of moisture is entrenched over the central region, and is getting a bit of a lift by general low pressure and troughiness over the region. When combined with the intense heating of the afternoon sun, we’ll find a few scattered showers and thunderstorms popping up later. Rain chances are better offshore as tropical moisture and energy linger nearby in the form of 90W INVEST.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Kunming

26

15 79 59

Partly cloudy

Hong Kong

34

28 93 82

Partly cloudy

Taipei

33

27 91 81

Scattered thunderstorms likely

Naha

31

27 88 81

Thunderstorms likely

Hanoi

34

27 93 81

Partly cloudy

 

SOUTH

A typical weather pattern has set up across the south region, with most locations expecting a chance for afternoon showers and thunderstorms.

Habagat scenario, 07 AUG

Habagat scenario, 07 AUG

Monsoonal energy is setting up across the south region as the M.J.O. (Madden-Julian Oscillation) enters an active, or wet, phase in the region. STS OMAIS is drawing in a lot of moisture from the southwest, due to its monsoonal structure. This flow is being aided by other developing low pressure areas, one to the north of the Philippines in the form of 99W INVEST, and another weak, but developing area, east of the Philippines. Long-range models showing all of this to come together during the week to bring a significant rain event to the Philippines as we get deeper into the time period, with the peak in the latter half and into the weekend. We will continue to monitor this situation for further developments.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Siem Reap

32

25 90 77

Scattered thunderstorms likely

Ho Chi Minh

32

24 90 75

Thunderstorms likely

Manila

29

26 84 79

Thunderstorms likely

Davao City

32

24 90 75

Scattered thunderstorms likely

Brunei

32

24 90 75

Scattered thunderstorms likely

Singapore

33

26 91 79

Scattered thunderstorms likely

 

TROPICS 

07W OMAIS full, 08 AUG

07W OMAIS full, 08 AUG

 We currently have three areas on the books with Tropical Storm 07W OMAIS, 99W INVEST, and 90W INVEST. TS07W OMAIS continues to maintain strength and move north-northwestward, with a turn to the north-northeast expected, as well as a slight increase in strength before beginning extra-tropical transition in about 48 hours.

INVESTS, 08 AUG

INVESTS, 08 AUG

90W INVEST is to the southeast of OMAIS, and as OMAIS clears out of the area, local conditions will improve, giving this system a chance to develop into a tropical cyclone in the next few days. 99W INVEST is an area of low pressure southwest of Okinawa. This system is expected to drift to the west over mainland Asia in the next 24 hours.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Guam

30

26 86 79

Scattered thunderstorms likely

Yap

32

26 90 79

Mostly cloudy

Palau

29

27 84 81

Mostly cloudy

Chuuk

31

26 88 79

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Pohnpei

30

24 86 75

Thunderstorms possible

Majuro

28

27 82 81

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Wake

28

26 82 79

Thunderstorms possible

 

Have a meaningful Monday!

Courtesy: CIMSS, Tropical Tidbits, JMA, JTWC, Intellicast, WUnderground.com, N.R.L., RAMMB-NOAA

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