Daily weather brief – Tuesday, August 9, 2016

NWPAC outlook, 09 AUG

NWPAC outlook, 09 AUG

NORTH 

A truly mixed bag of weather will take place across Japan today, with dangerous heat, high waves, flooding rain in the higher elevations, and strong afternoon thunderstorms for some locations. J.M.A. (Japan meteorological Agency) has issued numerous warnings and bulletins and warnings. For more information, go to the JMA website.

JAPAN full, 09 AUG

JAPAN full, 09 AUG

Elsewhere across the north region, fairly stable, but hot, weather will settle in this afternoon, especially over interior China. A few thunderstorms may pop up along a cold front in Mongolia, and a few scattered thunderstorms are possible in eastern China, but everyone else should see a dry day ahead.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Ulaanbaatar

22

16 72 61

Thunderstorms possible

Vladivostok

28

21 82 70

Mostly fair

Beijing

32

24 90 75

Mostly fair

Seoul

34

24 93 75

Partly cloudy

Tokyo

37

26 99 79

Partly cloudy & HOT

Xi’an

36

24 97 75

Mostly fair & HOT

Shanghai

32

28 90 82

Scattered thunderstorms possible

 

CENTRAL 

Most of the central region will see a good chance for scattered showers and thunderstorms, as tropical moisture remains in place and gets a shot of energy in the form of 99W INVEST, which is scheduled to move into mainland China later today. Heavy rainfall is possible in some locations, bringing a risk of flooding and landslides, especially over the higher terrain.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Kunming

25

16 77 61

Thunderstorms likely

Hong Kong

33

27 91 81

Scattered thunderstorms likely

Taipei

33

27 91 81

Scattered thunderstorms likely

Naha

31

28 88 82

Thunderstorms likely

Hanoi

35

27 95 81

Partly cloudy & HOT

 

SOUTH

Rainfall increases over the northern half of the Philippines, as a major monsoonal rainfall event begins to shape up over the region. Current forecast models are showing a wild variety of swirling dervishes out there over the next week or so that will likely make our heads spin, The grand result of it all is a major rainfall event for the northern half of the Philippines, and especially western provinces of Luzon, starting late in the week and through early next week. This will shape up to be a typical “habagat” event, although it’s not expected to reach historical proportions. For more on this developing situation, please check out Meteorologist Robert Speta’s full report.

 

HABAGAT full, 09 AUG

HABAGAT full, 09 AUG

The remainder of the region will see a rather standard dose of showers and thunderstorms later today, as ample moisture gets a lift from the intense afternoon sun.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Siem Reap

33

26 91 79

Thunderstorms likely

Ho Chi Minh

32

26 90 79

Thunderstorms likely

Manila

29

26 84 79

Thunderstorms likely

Davao City

32

25 90 77

Partly cloudy

Brunei

33

24 91 75

Partly cloudy

Singapore

32

26 90 79

Scattered thunderstorms likely

 

TROPICS

 A world of trouble is brewing in the tropics, as we now have two named systems, and one area of INVEST, and models are showing at least a couple more lows developing out there before we get to the end of next week. Right now, we are watching Tropical Storm 07W OMAIS get ready to go *poof* as it moves into cooler water, begins extra-tropical transition, and moves out to sea. OMAIS’s influence is not to be overlooked. Because of its monsoonal structure, the storm pulled in a great deal of monsoonal moisture and energy into the western portion of the basin, setting us up for what is coming ahead. It was the ‘gate-keeper’ storm, if you will. There is always a ‘gate-keeper’ storm that opens things up at the onset of an active M.J.O. phase. Tropical storm 08W CONSON is next, out east of the Marianas, and is expected to follow roughly the same path as OMAIS, but it appears that this system will show more of a tropical profile. Finally, there’s 99W INVEST, west-southwest of Okinawa, moving west and bound for mainland China later today. Models hint that 99W’s energy will relocate over the next couple of days to east of Hainan Island and begin to redevelop as a different system, as another low is expected to develop south-southeast of Okinawa, and further deepen the weather hole for the Philippines.

07/08 combo full, 09 AUG

07/08 combo full, 09 AUG

 

99W, 09 AUG

99W, 09 AUG

 

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Guam

31

26 88 79

Scattered thunderstorms likely

Yap

32

26 90 79

Partly cloudy

Palau

29

27 84 81

Partly cloudy

Chuuk

31

26 88 79

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Pohnpei

28

24 82 75

Thunderstorms possible

Majuro

29

27 84 81

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Wake

28

27 82 81

Mostly cloudy

 

Have a terrific Tuesday!

Courtesy: CIMSS, Tropical Tidbits, JMA, JTWC, Intellicast, WUnderground.com, N.R.L., RAMMB-NOAA

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