Advertisements

Daily weather brief – Friday, August 12, 2016

NWPAC outlook, 12 AUG

NWPAC outlook, 12 AUG

NORTH

The clash of seasons is already taking place over the north region, as dangerous heat ravages parts of interior China, and cool, autumnal air from the north settles over Mongolia. Warm air advection along a slow-moving frontal boundary will heat things up considerably in central China, as heat indices reach severe limits near 46C (115F). Aside from a few showers along the front in northeastern China, and some scattered thunderstorms in the east, most locations will see a ton of sunshine.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Ulaanbaatar

21

7 70 45

Mostly fair

Vladivostok

26

23 79 73

Partly cloudy

Beijing

33

24 91 75

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Seoul

34

24 93 75

Mostly fair

Tokyo

30

23 86 73

Partly cloudy

Xi’an

40

28 104 82

Mostly fair & VERY HOT

Shanghai

32

27 90 81

Scattered thunderstorms possible

 

CENTRAL

Plentiful moisture and energy remain over the central region, where scattered showers and thunderstorms are in store for most locations. Remnant energy from what was 92W INVEST will slowly roll through southern China, raising the possibility of flooding rain in these areas. Landslides are also a potential hazard in the higher elevations as the ground is saturated and soft, allowing for slides to occur more easily.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Kunming

25

16 77 61

Thunderstorms likely

Hong Kong

31

27 88 81

Thunderstorms likely

Taipei

32

27 90 81

Thunderstorms likely

Naha

31

27 88 81

Scattered thunderstorms likely

Hanoi

32

27 90 81

Scattered thunderstorms likely

 

SOUTH

The big story in the south region continues to be the developing monsoonal rainfall event. Nature being what it is, the onset of the heavy rainfall in the Philippines has been delayed just a bit, with models generating solutions that show a more prolonged rainfall period, which leads to the possibility of a near-historic rain event across western provinces of the island of Luzon next week. To say the atmospheric situation is volatile would be an understatement, with major shifts taking place constantly. Thus, the forecast models have simply not been able to produce any consensus other than the general development of this event. We will keep you posted. Around the rest of the south region, plentiful moisture and warm sunshine will help showers and thunderstorms blossom in the afternoon heat.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Siem Reap

33

26 91 79

Scattered thunderstorms likely

Ho Chi Minh

32

26 90 79

Thunderstorms likely

Manila

29

26 84 79

Periods of heavy rain

Davao City

33

26 91 79

Partly cloudy

Brunei

32

24 90 75

Scattered thunderstorms likely

Singapore

31

26 88 79

Thunderstorms likely

 

TROPICS

Along with the active M.J.O. (Madden-Julian Oscillation) phase comes increased moisture and vorticity, leading to prolific cyclogenesis capability, which is clearly the developing scenario in the western Pacific.

NCEP FuzzyForm 09 AUG

NCEP FuzzyForm 09 AUG

Currently, Tropical Storm 08W CONSON continues to get sheared and remain relatively disorganized as it tracks to the north. This system is forecast to stay out over the open ocean.

08W full, 12 AUG

08W full, 12 AUG

The J.T.W.C. (Joint Typhoon Warning Center) has issued a T.C.F.A. (Tropical Cyclone formation Alert) on 93W INVEST, located to the west of the Mariana Islands, which is forecast to become a cyclone within the next 24 hours. This system is expected to remain quasi-stationary with a slight drift to the east-northeast over the weekend.

93W full, 12 AUG

93W full, 12 AUG

The remainder of the region will see a good chance for afternoon showers and thunderstorms, with eastern Micronesia being the notable exception, under partly cloudy skies.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Guam

31

26 88 79

Thunderstorms likely

Yap

30

26 86 79

Scattered thunderstorms likely

Palau

30

27 86 81

Scattered thunderstorms likely

Chuuk

30

27 86 81

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Pohnpei

30

22 86 72

Partly cloudy

Majuro

28

27 82 81

Partly cloudy

Wake

28

26 82 79

Scattered showers likely

 

Have a fabulous Friday!

Courtesy: CIMSS, Tropical Tidbits, JMA, JTWC, Intellicast, WUnderground.com, N.R.L., RAMMB-NOAA

==================================================================

Disclaimer:

By making use of any information on this website, you agree to the following:

NO WARRANTIES: All of the information provided on this website is provided “AS-IS” and with NO WARRANTIES. No express or implied warranties of any type are made with respect to the information, or any use of the information, on this site. Westernpacificweather.com makes no representations and extends no warranties of any type as to the accuracy or completeness of any information or content on this website.

DISCLAIMER OF LIABILITY: Westernpacificweather.com specifically DISCLAIMS LIABILITY FOR INCIDENTAL OR CONSEQUENTIAL DAMAGES and assumes no responsibility or liability for any loss or damage suffered by any person as a result of the use or misuse of any of the information or content on this website. Westernpacificweather.com assumes or undertakes NO LIABILITY for any loss or damage suffered as a result of the use, misuse or reliance on the information and content on this website.

USE AT YOUR OWN RISK: This website is for informational purposes only. The opinions expressed within this website are the opinions of each contributor. Westernpacificweather.com urges you to consult with OFFCIAL sources for information whenever you feel a threat is impending.

 

All rights reserved. © 2016 Westernpacificweather.com

Advertisements

Comments are closed.

%d bloggers like this: