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Weekend weather brief – August 13/14, 2016

NWPAC outlook, 13 AUG

NWPAC outlook, 13 AUG

NORTH

More very intense heat is on the slate for portions of interior China this weekend, as heat indices approach extremely dangerous levels near 48C (118F). Moisture will be restricted to the northern and eastern locales of mainland Asia as a cold front drapes down over northern China and into Korea. The remainder of the region will see good weather, with plenty of warm sunshine.

City

Sat High

C       F

Sun High

C       F

Conditions

Sat                         Sun

Ulaanbaatar

23

73 22 72 Partly cloudy

Partly cloudy

Vladivostok

25

77 27 81 Sctd. t-storms

Sctd. t-storms

Beijing

35

95 29 84 Ptly cloudy & HOT

Mostly cloudy

Seoul

34

93 32 90 Partly cloudy

Sctd. t-storms

Tokyo

30

86 29 84 Partly cloudy

Partly cloudy

Xi’an

41

106 42 108 Fair & HOT

Fair & HOT

Shanghai

32

90 32 90 Sctd. t-storms

Mostly fair

 

CENTRAL

It will be a rather rainy weekend for much of the central region, especially areas to the south where abundant tropical moisture and energy will play a part. Some showers could be heavy, with the threat of flooding rainfall and possible landslides in the higher elevations.

City

Sat High

C       F

Sun High

C       F

Conditions

Sat                         Sun

Kunming

26

79 25 77 Sctd. t-storms

Sctd. t-storms

Hong Kong

31

88 31 88 Thunderstorms

Sctd. t-storms

Taipei

32

90 34 93 Sctd. t-storms

Partly cloudy

Naha

31

88 31 88 Partly cloudy

Mostly fair

Hanoi

31

88 28 82 Thunderstorms

Sctd. t-storms

 

SOUTH 

A developing monsoonal rainfall event over the Philippines continues to take center stage this weekend. The rainfall is expected to ramp up over the weekend, as the developing situation coalesces into the scenario that most have forecasted. Rain could last well into next week, especially over western provinces of the island of Luzon, where storm totals could exceed 500mm in some locations by the end of the week. The remainder of the region ill see a fairly typical weather pattern as deep, tropical moisture combines with the warm afternoon sunshine to spawn a few scattered showers and thunderstorms.

City

Sat High

C       F

Sun High

C       F

Conditions

Sat                         Sun

Siem Reap

32

90 32 90 Sctd. t-storms

Thunderstorms

Ho Chi Minh

31

88 32 90 Thunderstorms

Thunderstorms

Manila

29

84 29 84 Heavy rain

Heavy rain

Davao City

33

91 32 90 Partly cloudy

Sctd. t-storms

Brunei

33

91 32 90 Sctd. t-storms

Sctd. t-storms

Singapore

32

90 32 90 Sctd. t-storms

Sctd. t-storms

 

TROPICS

08W full, 13 AUG

08W full, 13 AUG

93W sat, 13 AUG

93W sat, 13 AUG

The tropics are on fire this weekend, as a developing storm system gets its act together, another moves into cooler water, and general swirly blobbage continues to dominate the region. Tropical Storm 08W CONSON is not looking too good today. Wind shear has taken a definite toll on this system, and while some strengthening is expected in the coming days, I believe CONSON has seen its best days already. In any event, CONSON will continue to move to the north, into higher wind shear and cooler S.S.T.’s (Sea-Surface Temperatures) as it makes a beeline in the general direction of northeastern Hokkaido in Japan. 93W INVEST is expected to become the 9th system designated as a tropical cyclone this season over the weekend. This system is expected to tap into the monsoon, similarly to what OMAIS did, and be the harbinger of a major rainfall event over the Philippines next week. For now, the system is slow to develop, dealing with the general instability of the conditions in the region. With no other identified trouble spots, the remainder of the tropics will see a weekend full of warm sunshine and a few scattered showers and thunderstorms.

City

Sat High

C       F

Sun High

C       F

Conditions

Sat                         Sun

Guam

31

88 29 84 Sctd. t-storms

Thunderstorms

Yap

31

88 30 86 Thunderstorms

Thunderstorms

Palau

30

86 30 86 Sctd. t-storms

Thunderstorms

Chuuk

30

86 30 86 Partly cloudy

Sctd. t-storms

Pohnpei

32

90 27 81 Sctd. t-storms

Sctd. t-storms

Majuro

28

82 29 84 Sctd. t-storms

Partly cloudy

Wake

28

82 27 81 Periods of rain

Thunderstorms

 

Have a wonderful weekend!

Courtesy: CIMSS, Tropical Tidbits, Intellicast, WUnderground.com, NRL, JMA, JTWC

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