WesternPacificWeather.com

NORTH

The heat spreads across parts of central and eastern China as a weak frontal boundary stalls out to the north. The warm air is piling on as it butts up against a fairly strong shot of cool air that has brought autumn temperatures to Mongolia, northern China. Dangerous heat indices will once again be in place across interior central China, peaking near 44C (111F), as the heat and humidity combine for an oppressive afternoon. The frontal system will bring some scattered showers, and some scattered thundershowers, along a line from Mongolia, eastward to Japan.

City	High/Low C		High/Low F		Conditions
Ulaanbaatar	18	8	64	46	Scattered showers likely
Vladivostok	24	21	75	70	Scattered showers likely
Beijing	32	22	90	72	Partly cloudy
Seoul	34	26	93	79	Scattered thunderstorms likely
Tokyo	31	25	88	77	Scattered showers likely
Xi’an	39	28	102	82	Partly cloudy & HOT
Shanghai	35	28	95	82	Partly cloudy & HOT

 

CENTRAL

Tropical Storm 11W DIANMU continues to slide to the west parallel to the southern coast of China. The system will make landfall over northern Vietnam later tonight, bringing heavy rainfall, gusty winds, and a risk of flooding and landslides, especially in the higher terrain of northern Vietnam and southern China. The remainder of the region will also see widespread unsettled weather, as deep tropical moisture gets a lift from the very warm afternoon sun.

City	High/Low C		High/Low F		Conditions
Kunming	26	17	79	63	Scattered thunderstorms likely
Hong Kong	30	27	86	81	Scattered thunderstorms likely
Taipei	33	27	91	81	Thunderstorms likely
Naha	32	28	90	82	Scattered thunderstorms likely
Hanoi	34	27	93	81	TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS

 

SOUTH

The Philippines will get a bit of a break today, with only widely scattered showers and strong thunderstorms this afternoon. Tropical moisture is being drawn up into Tropical Storm 11W to the north, increasing rainfall chances across the entire Southeast Asian peninsula. Areas to the south can also expect a round of typical afternoon showers and strong thunderstorms as the warm sunshine lifts up the moisture.

City	High/Low C		High/Low F		Conditions
Siem Reap	31	26	88	79	Scattered thunderstorms likely
Ho Chi Minh	32	26	90	79	Thunderstorms likely
Manila	31	27	88	81	Scattered thunderstorms likely
Davao City	34	26	93	79	Scattered thunderstorms likely
Brunei	33	25	91	77	Scattered thunderstorms likely
Singapore	32	26	90	79	Thunderstorms likely

 

TROPICS

The tropical monsoon ‘front’ that has been in place over the western Pacific is generating a large amount of vorticity, as we now have 4 depression-strength systems in various stages of growth. The dual designations refer to the JMA/JTWC assignments.

Tropical Depression/Tropical Storm 10W is located just west of the Mariana Island chain. This system is expected to slowly gather strength while tracking to the north-northeast over the next day or so, and make a turn to the north-northwest this weekend.

Tropical Storm/Tropical depression 11W DIANMU is maintaining strength as it traverses the Gulf of Tonkin, with the coast of northern Vietnam in its sights. The system should make landfall later tonight, bringing typical tropical weather hazards to the region.

Tropical Depression/Tropical Storm 12W is located a bit to the southeast of Japan as it slowly gets better organized. Although 12W has been making what appears to be a beeline for the Japanese coast, forecasts indicate that this system will take a very strange track, in a slow counter-clockwise arc, parallel to the Japanese coast, while slowly gaining strength over the next 3 days.

Finally, 98W INVEST, located far northeast of the Mariana Islands, has been designated as having a high risk potential for 24 hour cyclone development, as the J.T.W.C. (Joint Typhoon Warning Center) has issued a T.C.F.A. (Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert). The system is expected to slowly organize while moving in a general north-northwesterly track this weekend.

The remainder of the tropics will see a good chance for scattered showers and thunderstorms, as plentiful moisture combines with scattered pockets of energy.

City	High/Low C		High/Low F		Conditions
Guam	29	26	84	79	Scattered thunderstorms likely
Yap	29	26	84	79	Thunderstorms likely
Palau	29	27	84	81	Scattered thunderstorms possible
Chuuk	31	27	88	81	Partly cloudy
Pohnpei	28	23	82	73	Scattered thunderstorms possible
Majuro	28	27	82	81	Scattered thunderstorms possible
Wake	30	26	86	79	Scattered thunderstorms possible

 

Have a fabulous Friday!

Courtesy: CIMSS, Tropical Tidbits, JMA, JTWC, Intellicast, WUnderground.com, N.R.L., RAMMB-NOAA

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