Archive | August 21, 2016

Daily weather brief – Monday, August 22, 2016

NWPAC outlook, 22 AUG

NWPAC outlook, 22 AUG

NORTH

Typhoon 10W MINDULLE is moving into central Japan today bringing typhoon conditions with very heavy rainfall, strong sustained winds with dangerous gusts, and coastal storm surge and flooding. 10W MINDULLE should work its way along the coastline of northern Japan as we get into the next couple of days, bringing heavy rainfall and coastal flooding to much of the northern half of the island of Honshu. Meteorologist Robert Speta is on the scene and will be providing updates through the day. Elsewhere across the northern region, a shot of cooler air has settled in over Mongolia and northern China, and there are indications that some of this cooler air will work its way into central China by mid-week. It will be a welcome relief to the city of Xi’an, which will see another day near 40C, with heat indices near 44C (111F). The weather will be mostly fair today across much of the continental north region, with plenty of sunshine and a few scattered clouds.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Ulaanbaatar

25

13 77 55

Partly cloudy

Vladivostok

27

10 81 50

Partly cloudy

Beijing

32

23 90 73

Partly cloudy

Seoul

34

24 93 75

Partly cloudy

Tokyo

28

27 82 81

***TYPHOON CONDITIONS***

Xi’an

39

27 102 81

Partly cloudy & HOT

Shanghai

33

27 91 81

Mostly fair

 

CENTRAL

Conditions will be fairly good across much of the central region today, with a few scattered thunderstorms over interior southern China, and northern Vietnam this afternoon. All eyes are watching the erratic course that has been forecast for Tropical Storm 12W LIONROCK, as most solutions are trending towards a very close pass to Okinawa later this week.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Kunming

25

17 77 63

Scattered thunderstorms likely

Hong Kong

32

27 90 81

Mostly fair

Taipei

34

26 93 79

Mostly fair

Naha

32

28 90 82

Partly cloudy

Hanoi

31

25 88 77

Thunderstorms likely

 

SOUTH

Plentiful tropical moisture over the south region will help generate numerous afternoon showers and thunderstorms across the region. A weak tropical wave is moving across the Philippines, which may heighten rain chances across much of the archipelago today. Everyone else stands a very good chance of seeing afternoon rain, and a few strong thunderstorms.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Siem Reap

33

26 91 79

Thunderstorms likely

Ho Chi Minh

32

26 90 79

Thunderstorms likely

Manila

31

26 88 79

Thunderstorms likely

Davao City

33

26 91 79

Scattered thunderstorms likely

Brunei

31

24 88 75

Thunderstorms likely

Singapore

32

26 90 79

Scattered thunderstorms likely

 

TROPICS

Although there are numerous areas that one could suspect for development, officially speaking, there are only two systems out there.

TAAG, 22 AUG

TAAG, 22 AUG

Typhoon 10W MINDULLE has its sights set on Tokyo today, and it looks like it’s going to ramp up just a bit before making landfall later this afternoon. Meteorologist Robert Speta resides in Tokyo, and will be providing us with constant information through the day. MINDULLE is expected to make landfall and start to weaken considerably as it continues tracking over the eastern prefectures of Honshu through mid-week.

10W full, 22 AUG

10W full, 22 AUG

Tropical Storm 12W LIONROCK has been caught up in a bit of a Fujiwhara interaction with 10W MINDULLE over the past 24 hours, and the system has slowed to a crawl. Model solutions are all over the place, but most are trending towards a general slow southwesterly movement into the immediate Ryukyu Islands vicinity by the middle of the week. The system is expected to gain strength during this time, as MINDULLE clears the scene. It’s safe to say we have only just begun with 12W LIONROCK.

12W full, 22 AUG

12W full, 22 AUG

Elsewhere across the tropics, strong ripples of energy are cruising along the monsoonal front, with plenty of moisture and energy to generate some strong afternoon showers and thunderstorms, and general squally weather for some locations.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Guam

30

25 86 77

Thunderstorms likely

Yap

30

26 86 79

Scattered thunderstorms likely

Palau

29

27 84 81

Partly cloudy

Chuuk

30

26 86 79

Thunderstorms likely

Pohnpei

30

24 86 75

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Majuro

28

28 82 82

Thunderstorms likely

Wake

29

27 84 81

Scattered thunderstorms possible

 

Have a marvelous Monday!

Courtesy: CIMSS, Tropical Tidbits, JMA, JTWC, Intellicast, WUnderground.com, N.R.L., RAMMB-NOAA

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TYPHOON MINDULLE TOKYO LIVE UPDATES

Typhoon Mindule is tracking towards Tokyo today, new information will be posted below as it comes in, along with video updates at our website.

Also please watch NHKWORLD all day at the top of the hour for more information.  You can watch live at this link. 

Check the latest track here from JMA, they update it once a hour.

Latest Sat Images on the storm can be found here

Live video feed from inside the storm can be found here. 

Follow High Resolution JMA RADAR here. 

1830

1756

Two more injuries were reported in Kanagawa raising the injures from the storm to 12.

1656

10 people reported to be injured. Mainly a result of strong winds and blowing debris.

http://www3.nhk.or.jp/news/html/20160822/k10010647591000.html?utm_int=news_contents_news-main_003

1627

Before and after look at the Tamagawa River Near Futako Tamagawa, over a dozen rivers in the Kanagawa and Tokyo area are above flood stage.

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Max Reported Wind Gust as of 1PM JST

 

report

1400

Reports of a train caught in a landslide in Western Tokyo. Only six people on board, no injuries reported.

line

1300

Record setting rainfall in Tokyo Prefecture, 110mm reported in a 1hr period

1243

Typhoon Mindulle has made landfall in Chiba Prefecture near Tateyama

Mindulle at landfall

Mindulle at landfall

1233

https://www.facebook.com/plugins/video.php?href=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.facebook.com%2FWestpacwx%2Fvideos%2F1248543245180098%2F&show_text=0&width=400

1230

100mm of rainfall in 1hr reported in Ome, Tokyo.

 

1137

420 Flights now cancelled at Tokyo airports

2,600 homes without power in Chiba Prefecture

All of Saitama and Tokyo put until a Tornado advisory

tornado

1100

First reports of damage, partial building collapse in Shizuoka prefecture.

1020

JR Tokkaido Line suspended running from Tokyo to Atami

http://www3.nhk.or.jp/news/html/20160822/k10010646541000.html

1017

Record 103mm of rainfall recorded in Amagikogen, Shizuoka in a 1hr period

0945

Facebook Video Update
https://www.facebook.com/plugins/video.php?href=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.facebook.com%2FWestpacwx%2Fvideos%2F1248422631858826%2F&show_text=0&width=400

0930

EVACUATION ORDER for 300 residents in Kamakura along the coast of the Sagami wan, area being impacted by the right front of Mindulle.  The Enoshima line along the coast of Kamakura also shut down.

evacu

0800

370 flights at Narita and Haneda now cancelled, outer rainbands from Mindulle now coming on shore.

radar

0630

Wind gust in Hachijo Jima in the Izu islands was reported up to 183kph or 100kts.

0600

About 300 flights have been cancelled at Haneda and Narita, Shinkansen lines near Tokyo have also been shut down.

flights

 

Monday Evening Video Update

 

Things to remember during a typhoon.

typhoon

TOKYO LIKELY TO SEE TYPHOON STRENGTH WINDS MONDAY AS MINDULLE MAKES LANDFALL

The tropics are turned on around Japan and as we head in to the start of the last week of August Tokyo could be taking the brunt of a typhoon Monday morning.  Meanwhile to the South West Lionrock is meandering and to the north Kompasu is bringing gusty winds to Tohoku and Hokkaido Sunday.

Pretty much Japan is getting battered by three tropical storms / typhoons right now. 

The one of main concern though is Mindulle. Now a Tropical storm moving over t he Ogasawara and Izu islands south of Tokyo. The storm is tracking north though and is expected to come on shore Monday morning around Chiba and Kanagawa Prefecutres. Basically directly south of Tokyo. Then track inland over the city in to the early afternoon hours.

JMA expects winds gusting up to typhoon strength (65kts) to occur across the Kanto plain (Tokyo and the greater Tokyo region), but of course the highest winds will be near the coast in the right front quadrant of the storm.

mindulle

Mean rainfall is also a worry with up to 30mm a hour and according to JMA up to 600mm in total. There is a high threat of flooding including Urban Flooding with this much rainfall.

JMA is also warning of the threat of tornadoes and frequent lightning as the storm comes on shore.  For those commuting Monday morning they should be extra ready for delays or straight up cancellations of train lines in the Metro area.  Plus coastal lines including ones in Southern Kanagawa near Yokosuka will be more subject to winds and will likely have a higher chance of delays.

The weather should start to clear by the afternoon on Monday for Tokyo but it will not be over yet as it is expected to track north over Hokkaido, the same area now being hit by high winds with Kompasu.

Tokyo and much of the Kanto area seen flooding on Saturday due to rain bands from Lionrock as it moved to the south pumping moisture on shore. One of the biggest fireworks (Hanabi) of the year in Tokyo were almost cancelled due to the rains. Flood warnings were issued most of the day. I personally shot this photo of a flooded parking lot near my place.

 

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