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Daily weather brief – Monday, August 22, 2016

August 21, 2016 by voxianguy 0 Comments

NWPAC outlook, 22 AUG

NORTH

Typhoon 10W MINDULLE is moving into central Japan today bringing typhoon conditions with very heavy rainfall, strong sustained winds with dangerous gusts, and coastal storm surge and flooding. 10W MINDULLE should work its way along the coastline of northern Japan as we get into the next couple of days, bringing heavy rainfall and coastal flooding to much of the northern half of the island of Honshu. Meteorologist Robert Speta is on the scene and will be providing updates through the day. Elsewhere across the northern region, a shot of cooler air has settled in over Mongolia and northern China, and there are indications that some of this cooler air will work its way into central China by mid-week. It will be a welcome relief to the city of Xi’an, which will see another day near 40C, with heat indices near 44C (111F). The weather will be mostly fair today across much of the continental north region, with plenty of sunshine and a few scattered clouds.

City	High/Low C		High/Low F		Conditions
Ulaanbaatar	25	13	77	55	Partly cloudy
Vladivostok	27	10	81	50	Partly cloudy
Beijing	32	23	90	73	Partly cloudy
Seoul	34	24	93	75	Partly cloudy
Tokyo	28	27	82	81	*TYPHOON CONDITIONS*
Xi’an	39	27	102	81	Partly cloudy & HOT
Shanghai	33	27	91	81	Mostly fair

CENTRAL

Conditions will be fairly good across much of the central region today, with a few scattered thunderstorms over interior southern China, and northern Vietnam this afternoon. All eyes are watching the erratic course that has been forecast for Tropical Storm 12W LIONROCK, as most solutions are trending towards a very close pass to Okinawa later this week.

City	High/Low C		High/Low F		Conditions
Kunming	25	17	77	63	Scattered thunderstorms likely
Hong Kong	32	27	90	81	Mostly fair
Taipei	34	26	93	79	Mostly fair
Naha	32	28	90	82	Partly cloudy
Hanoi	31	25	88	77	Thunderstorms likely

SOUTH

Plentiful tropical moisture over the south region will help generate numerous afternoon showers and thunderstorms across the region. A weak tropical wave is moving across the Philippines, which may heighten rain chances across much of the archipelago today. Everyone else stands a very good chance of seeing afternoon rain, and a few strong thunderstorms.

City	High/Low C		High/Low F		Conditions
Siem Reap	33	26	91	79	Thunderstorms likely
Ho Chi Minh	32	26	90	79	Thunderstorms likely
Manila	31	26	88	79	Thunderstorms likely
Davao City	33	26	91	79	Scattered thunderstorms likely
Brunei	31	24	88	75	Thunderstorms likely
Singapore	32	26	90	79	Scattered thunderstorms likely

TROPICS

Although there are numerous areas that one could suspect for development, officially speaking, there are only two systems out there.

TAAG, 22 AUG

Typhoon 10W MINDULLE has its sights set on Tokyo today, and it looks like it’s going to ramp up just a bit before making landfall later this afternoon. Meteorologist Robert Speta resides in Tokyo, and will be providing us with constant information through the day. MINDULLE is expected to make landfall and start to weaken considerably as it continues tracking over the eastern prefectures of Honshu through mid-week.

10W full, 22 AUG

Tropical Storm 12W LIONROCK has been caught up in a bit of a Fujiwhara interaction with 10W MINDULLE over the past 24 hours, and the system has slowed to a crawl. Model solutions are all over the place, but most are trending towards a general slow southwesterly movement into the immediate Ryukyu Islands vicinity by the middle of the week. The system is expected to gain strength during this time, as MINDULLE clears the scene. It’s safe to say we have only just begun with 12W LIONROCK.

12W full, 22 AUG

Elsewhere across the tropics, strong ripples of energy are cruising along the monsoonal front, with plenty of moisture and energy to generate some strong afternoon showers and thunderstorms, and general squally weather for some locations.

City	High/Low C		High/Low F		Conditions
Guam	30	25	86	77	Thunderstorms likely
Yap	30	26	86	79	Scattered thunderstorms likely
Palau	29	27	84	81	Partly cloudy
Chuuk	30	26	86	79	Thunderstorms likely
Pohnpei	30	24	86	75	Scattered thunderstorms possible
Majuro	28	28	82	82	Thunderstorms likely
Wake	29	27	84	81	Scattered thunderstorms possible

Have a marvelous Monday!

Courtesy: CIMSS, Tropical Tidbits, JMA, JTWC, Intellicast, WUnderground.com, N.R.L., RAMMB-NOAA

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TYPHOON MINDULLE TOKYO LIVE UPDATES

August 21, 2016 by robertspeta 0 Comments

Typhoon Mindule is tracking towards Tokyo today, new information will be posted below as it comes in, along with video updates at our website.

Also please watch NHKWORLD all day at the top of the hour for more information. You can watch live at this link.

Check the latest track here from JMA, they update it once a hour.

Latest Sat Images on the storm can be found here

Live video feed from inside the storm can be found here.

Follow High Resolution JMA RADAR here.

1830

1756

Two more injuries were reported in Kanagawa raising the injures from the storm to 12.

1656

10 people reported to be injured. Mainly a result of strong winds and blowing debris.

http://www3.nhk.or.jp/news/html/20160822/k10010647591000.html?utm_int=news_contents_news-main_003

1627

Before and after look at the Tamagawa River Near Futako Tamagawa, over a dozen rivers in the Kanagawa and Tokyo area are above flood stage.

二子玉川ライズからの多摩川の眺めhttps://t.co/k5AJ3h7ECM
川崎側（左）より世田谷の河川敷のほうが先なんだ。
二子玉川駅のすぐ下にある兵庫島公園、小さな山以外は水没 pic.twitter.com/PzwZzRuhIQ

— ゆきまさかずよし (@Kyukimasa) August 22, 2016

//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js

Max Reported Wind Gust as of 1PM JST

report

1400

Reports of a train caught in a landslide in Western Tokyo. Only six people on board, no injuries reported.

line

1300

Record setting rainfall in Tokyo Prefecture, 110mm reported in a 1hr period

1243

Typhoon Mindulle has made landfall in Chiba Prefecture near Tateyama

Mindulle at landfall

1233

https://www.facebook.com/plugins/video.php?href=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.facebook.com%2FWestpacwx%2Fvideos%2F1248543245180098%2F&show_text=0&width=400

1230

100mm of rainfall in 1hr reported in Ome, Tokyo.

1137

420 Flights now cancelled at Tokyo airports

2,600 homes without power in Chiba Prefecture

All of Saitama and Tokyo put until a Tornado advisory

tornado

1100

First reports of damage, partial building collapse in Shizuoka prefecture.

1020

JR Tokkaido Line suspended running from Tokyo to Atami

http://www3.nhk.or.jp/news/html/20160822/k10010646541000.html

1017

Record 103mm of rainfall recorded in Amagikogen, Shizuoka in a 1hr period

0945

Facebook Video Update
https://www.facebook.com/plugins/video.php?href=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.facebook.com%2FWestpacwx%2Fvideos%2F1248422631858826%2F&show_text=0&width=400

0930

EVACUATION ORDER for 300 residents in Kamakura along the coast of the Sagami wan, area being impacted by the right front of Mindulle. The Enoshima line along the coast of Kamakura also shut down.

evacu

0800

370 flights at Narita and Haneda now cancelled, outer rainbands from Mindulle now coming on shore.

radar

0630

Wind gust in Hachijo Jima in the Izu islands was reported up to 183kph or 100kts.

0600

About 300 flights have been cancelled at Haneda and Narita, Shinkansen lines near Tokyo have also been shut down.

flights

Monday Evening Video Update

Things to remember during a typhoon.

typhoon

Uncategorized

TOKYO LIKELY TO SEE TYPHOON STRENGTH WINDS MONDAY AS MINDULLE MAKES LANDFALL

August 21, 2016 by robertspeta 0 Comments

The tropics are turned on around Japan and as we head in to the start of the last week of August Tokyo could be taking the brunt of a typhoon Monday morning. Meanwhile to the South West Lionrock is meandering and to the north Kompasu is bringing gusty winds to Tohoku and Hokkaido Sunday.

Pretty much Japan is getting battered by three tropical storms / typhoons right now.

The one of main concern though is Mindulle. Now a Tropical storm moving over t he Ogasawara and Izu islands south of Tokyo. The storm is tracking north though and is expected to come on shore Monday morning around Chiba and Kanagawa Prefecutres. Basically directly south of Tokyo. Then track inland over the city in to the early afternoon hours.

JMA expects winds gusting up to typhoon strength (65kts) to occur across the Kanto plain (Tokyo and the greater Tokyo region), but of course the highest winds will be near the coast in the right front quadrant of the storm.

mindulle

Mean rainfall is also a worry with up to 30mm a hour and according to JMA up to 600mm in total. There is a high threat of flooding including Urban Flooding with this much rainfall.

JMA is also warning of the threat of tornadoes and frequent lightning as the storm comes on shore. For those commuting Monday morning they should be extra ready for delays or straight up cancellations of train lines in the Metro area. Plus coastal lines including ones in Southern Kanagawa near Yokosuka will be more subject to winds and will likely have a higher chance of delays.

The weather should start to clear by the afternoon on Monday for Tokyo but it will not be over yet as it is expected to track north over Hokkaido, the same area now being hit by high winds with Kompasu.

Tokyo and much of the Kanto area seen flooding on Saturday due to rain bands from Lionrock as it moved to the south pumping moisture on shore. One of the biggest fireworks (Hanabi) of the year in Tokyo were almost cancelled due to the rains. Flood warnings were issued most of the day. I personally shot this photo of a flooded parking lot near my place.