Daily weather brief – Friday, August 26, 2016

NWPAC outlook, 26 AUG

NWPAC outlook, 26 AUG

NORTH

A fairly potent frontal system is stretched across the north region today, bringing a taste of autumn to Mongolia and portions of northern and central interior China. Some of that cooler air has made its way into Korea, where clouds and rain will hold temperatures back a significant amount. Tokyo and the central Pacific coast of Japan has a keen eye on Typhoon 12W LIONROCK (Dindo), as forecasts show the potential for the system to affect the region early next week.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Ulaanbaatar

19

7 66 45

Mostly fair

Vladivostok

24

16 75 61

Mostly fair

Beijing

29

16 84 61

Mostly fair

Seoul

24

17 75 63

Periods of rain

Tokyo

31

25 88 77

Mostly fair

Xi’an

28

19 82 66

Partly cloudy

Shanghai

33

25 91 77

Scattered showers likely

 

CENTRAL

Typhoon 12W LIONROCK (Dindo) continues to swirl about to the east of Taiwan this morning. The system is wobbling and dancing around like a punch-drunk prize-fighter, however, forecasts are coming into better agreement, taking the storm to the northeast, and out of the central region. Showers and thunderstorms are possible this afternoon in parts of the high country of southern China, as well as along the southeast coast. LIONROCK could churn up a few clouds and showers in Okinawa as well, as some of its outermost energy occasionally lashes out at the island. The heat will be on again over parts of the southern Chinese lowlands and northern Vietnam, with very uncomfortable heat indices on tap this afternoon under partly cloudy skies.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Kunming

26

16 79 61

Thunderstorms possible

Hong Kong

34

27 93 81

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Taipei

34

27 93 81

Partly cloudy

Naha

32

28 90 82

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Hanoi

35

26 95 79

Partly cloudy & HOT

 

SOUTH

Typhoon 12W LIONROCK (Dindo) continues to maintain strength far to the north-northeast of the Philippines. As the storm has deepened and drifted slowly south-southwest, more influence on the southwest monsoon is being felt, especially over the Philippine island of Luzon. We don’t expect a significant event, but the western provinces of the island can look forward to a bit of a soggy day as LIONROCK pulls away. Tropical moisture and energy in the form of a weak disturbance, 93W INVEST, is moving into central Indochina, bringing an increased chance for showers across the peninsula. Afternoon showers and thunderstorms will also be on tap for areas to the south, as Indonesia, Brunei, Singapore, and Malaysia all get in on the act.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Siem Reap

34

26 93 79

Scattered thunderstorms likely

Ho Chi Minh

32

26 90 79

Thunderstorms likely

Manila

31

26 88 79

Scattered thunderstorms likely

Davao City

33

25 91 77

Scattered thunderstorms likely

Brunei

33

25 91 77

Scattered thunderstorms likely

Singapore

32

26 90 79

Scattered thunderstorms likely

 

TROPICS

From four systems to two as 92W and 14W cannibalize each other into submission, leaving us with Typhoon 12W LIONROCK (Dindo) east of Taiwan, and the weak and fading 93W INVEST in the South China Sea.

TAAG, 26 AUG

TAAG, 26 AUG

Typhoon 12W LIONROCK, also named ‘Dindo’ by the Philippines’ weather agency PAGASA, has been drifting in a mostly south-southwesterly direction for the past several days, but is starting to indicate a change of course back to the northeast. 12W LIONROCK has weakened a bit, down to a Category 2 equivalent system on the Saffir-Simpson scale. 12W LIONROCK is expected to take a quicker northeasterly track, and then forecasts hint at a slow arcing counter-clockwise curve back to the northwest, with the central Japanese coast as a possible strike area early next week.

12W full, 26 AUG

12W full, 26 AUG

Elsewhere, we have a very weak disturbance, 93W INVEST, which is beginning to move the bulk of its energy onshore in central and northern Vietnam. What was a much more impressive trough of low pressure just two days ago has all but faded away.

93W, 26 AUG

93W, 26 AUG

Many locations in the remainder of the tropic region will see a good chance for showers or thunderstorms today, as increased cloud-cover lowers temperatures a bit as compared to yesterday’s readings. Western islands of Micronesia, the southern Marianas, and Wake Island will be the exceptions with little moisture and energy to work with.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Guam

31

26 88 79

Partly cloudy

Yap

31

26 88 79

Mostly fair

Palau

29

27 84 81

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Chuuk

31

27 88 81

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Pohnpei

29

23 84 73

Thunderstorms possible

Majuro

28

27 82 81

Thunderstorms possible

Wake

28

26 82 79

Partly cloudy

 

Have a fabulous Friday!

Courtesy: CIMSS, Tropical Tidbits, JMA, JTWC, Intellicast, WUnderground.com, N.R.L., RAMMB-NOAA

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