Archive | August 31, 2016

Daily weather brief – Thursday, September 1, 2016

NWPAC outlook, 01 SEP

NWPAC outlook, 01 SEP

NORTH

Clouds and showers will impact southeastern Russia, northeastern China, eastern Mongolia, and the Korean peninsula as the remnants of LIONROCK unravel over the inland Asian continent. All eyes of southern Japan and South Korea are on newly-formed Tropical Depression 15W, as it gets cranked up east of Taiwan, with a forecast path towards the aforementioned areas later this weekend. Elsewhere across the north region, skies will be mostly sunny with warm daytime highs.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Ulaanbaatar

22

6 72 43

Mostly fair

Vladivostok

22

19 72 66

Periods of rain

Beijing

26

17 79 64

Mostly cloudy

Seoul

29

19 84 66

Thunderstorms likely

Tokyo

30

22 86 72

Mostly fair

Xi’an

34

19 93 66

Mostly fair

Shanghai

33

24 91 75

Mostly fair

 

CENTRAL

The central region will see a good deal of cloudiness and showers today, with a few heavier thunderstorms as deep moisture lingers over the region and gets a lift from the afternoon sun. Some concerns extend out to the previously-mentioned Tropical depression 15W as it tracks to the east of the island locations of the region. However, this system is expected to make a slow, arcing loop to the north and then north-northwest over the weekend, towards the main islands of southern Japan. Okinawa will likely see some peripheral effects of the storm today as it passes to the east. Temperatures will be stifling across southern China’s lowlands and northern Indochina as heat indices reach hazardous levels this afternoon.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Kunming

22

15 72 59

Thunderstorms possible

Hong Kong

31

27 88 81

Scattered thunderstorms likely

Taipei

34

27 93 81

Partly cloudy

Naha

28

27 82 81

Thunderstorms likely

Hanoi

35

26 95 79

Scattered thunderstorms likely & HOT

 

SOUTH

Deep tropical moisture locked in over the south region will offer a good chance for afternoon showers and thunderstorms to many locations today. Incoming southwesterly surface flow across the northern Philippines will generate some heavier showers in northwestern provinces of Luzon. Southern Vietnam will see intense afternoon heat and hazardous heat indices as the daily noontime sun angle peaks on its way slowly to the south towards the equinox later this month.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Siem Reap

33

26 91 79

Mostly cloudy

Ho Chi Minh

35

26 95 79

Scattered thunderstorms likely

Manila

31

26 88 79

Mostly cloudy

Davao City

33

24 91 75

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Brunei

31

24 88 75

Thunderstorms possible

Singapore

31

25 88 77

Thunderstorms likely

 

TROPICS

With the exit of LIONROCK, now we have a new system to keep an eye on in the form of newly-designated Tropical depression 15W.

TAAG, 01 SEP

TAAG, 01 SEP

Yesterday, 94W INVEST was designated to the southeast of Taiwan, and has quickly gotten its act together, being designated Tropical Depression 15W. As early-life systems go, this one looks pretty impressive. Fortunately, the forecast track shows a fairly quick path ahead for 15W, up and out of the warmer SST’s by the end of the weekend. It’s very likely to achieve Tropical Storm status before reaching the main islands of southern Japan early Sunday morning.

15W full, 01 SEP

15W full, 01 SEP

Elsewhere across the tropics, a few spots of convergence are scattered about here and there through the region, but no real focused areas of activity are present at this time. Most locations to the east of the Mariana Islands and western Micronesia will see a good chance for showers and thunderstorms later this afternoon.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Guam

31

26 88 79

Partly cloudy

Yap

32

26 90 79

Partly cloudy

Palau

29

27 84 81

Thunderstorms possible

Chuuk

31

26 88 79

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Pohnpei

27

21 81 70

Thunderstorms possible

Majuro

28

27 82 81

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Wake

29

27 84 81

Scattered thunderstorms possible

 

Have a thrilling Thursday!

Courtesy: CIMSS, Tropical Tidbits, JMA, JTWC, Intellicast, WUnderground.com, N.R.L., RAMMB-NOAA

==================================================================

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DISCLAIMER OF LIABILITY: Westernpacificweather.com specifically DISCLAIMS LIABILITY FOR INCIDENTAL OR CONSEQUENTIAL DAMAGES and assumes no responsibility or liability for any loss or damage suffered by any person as a result of the use or misuse of any of the information or content on this website. Westernpacificweather.com assumes or undertakes NO LIABILITY for any loss or damage suffered as a result of the use, misuse or reliance on the information and content on this website.

USE AT YOUR OWN RISK: This website is for informational purposes only. The opinions expressed within this website are the opinions of each contributor. Westernpacificweather.com urges you to consult with OFFICIAL sources for information whenever you feel a threat is impending.

 

All rights reserved. © 2016 Westernpacificweather.com

LIONROCK LEAVES 11 DEAD AND 3 MISSING IN NORTHERN JAPAN

The death toll from Typhoon Lionrock has climbed to 11 today with 3 more people still missing after the storm rolled over northern Japan bringing record breaking rainfall along with winds gusting up to Typhoon strength.

 

VIS / IR

Parts Hokkaido reported a total of 500mm + rainfall on top of what the area has seen over the past 2 weeks following three consecutive tropical systems making this number four.

 

Nine of the deaths occurred at a nursing facility in Iwate that was inundated with flood waters Tuesday evening.  Others went missing in Hokkaido after their car was swept away in flood waters.

 

The storm came on shore around 6pm JST as a weak typhoon that mostly already changed over to a tropical storm. Regardless of its disorganization it still brought rough weather for the same region that was slammed by the March 11th earthquake and tsunami in 2011.

 

Good news the storm quickly weakened out over the Sea of Japan as the below 25C SSTs there weakened it along with high amount of vertical wind shear.

 

Damaged Nursing Home in Iwate

Damaged Nursing Home in Iwate

Still though as the rivers drain in northern Japan the flood threat will remain in place. This will likely continue through the rest of the week if clear conditions continue to prevail.

 

The tropics in the future look rather calm but there is some areas we are watching. Check out the Daily Weather Update for more information the rest of Asia.

Daily weather brief – Wednesday, August 31, 2016

NWPAC outlook, 31 AUG

NWPAC outlook, 31 AUG

NORTH

TD 12W LIONROCK is moving through the northern Sea of Japan this morning with southeastern Russia in its sights for a second landfall. The storm raged across northern Japan yesterday bringing heavy rain, gusty winds, and all the usual hazards of a tropical system. For a full report on the devastation wrought by LIONROCK, please see the report by  Meteorologist Robert Speta. The storm is transitioning into an extra-tropical system and should dissipate over the Asian continent in the next couple of days. Elsewhere, the cooler air that settled in over the weekend is moderating a bit, bringing warmer temperatures to much of the region. It will be a windy and rainy day over southeastern Russia, and rainfall associated with the outer effects of LIONROCK will fall across the Korean peninsula.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Ulaanbaatar

22

6 72 43

Mostly fair

Vladivostok

21

18 70 64

Windy and rainy

Beijing

34

20 93 68

Mostly fair

Seoul

19

18 66 64

Periods of rain

Tokyo

30

23 86 73

Partly cloudy

Xi’an

32

20 90 68

Partly cloudy

Shanghai

32

23 90 73

Mostly fair

 

CENTRAL

Lingering moisture across much of the central region will lend a hand towards afternoon shower and thunderstorm development over the southeastern Chinese coast, the south-central Chinese highlands, and northern Indochina. Temperatures will warm up to seasonably warm levels across the region as the hottest air stays to the south.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Kunming

23

17 73 63

Thunderstorms possible

Hong Kong

31

27 88 81

Scattered showers possible

Taipei

33

26 91 79

Mostly fair

Naha

30

26 86 79

Mostly fair

Hanoi

33

27 91 81

Scattered thunderstorms likely

 

SOUTH

Scattered showers and thunderstorms will pop up this afternoon across much of the south region as deep tropical moisture gets a lift from the warm afternoon sunshine. The Philippines will see a bit of a break today, as only the northernmost reaches of the island of Luzon will see any significant rainfall thanks to a tropical trough of low pressure lingering to the north.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Siem Reap

32

26 90 79

Thunderstorms likely

Ho Chi Minh

33

25 91 77

Thunderstorms likely

Manila

31

26 88 79

Partly cloudy

Davao City

32

24 90 75

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Brunei

33

24 91 75

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Singapore

31

25 88 77

Thunderstorms likely

 

TROPICS

The tropics have quieted down considerably as the long-lived TD 12W LIONROCK gets ready to exit stage left, leaving the basin mostly devoid of any significant activity.

TAAG, 31 AUG

TAAG, 31 AUG

TD 12W LIONROCK continues extra-tropical transition and continues into the Asian mainland later today. It’s been a wacky run for LIONROCK, as the past track will show. Unfortunately, LIONROCK has wrought terrible devastation over parts of northern Japan, an area not hit by a tropical storm-strength, or stronger, system since reliable records have been kept. For the full report on the effects of Typhoon LIONROCK in Japan, please see the full report by Meteorologist Robert Speta.

12W full FINAL, 31 AUG

12W full FINAL, 31 AUG

Elsewhere across the tropics, scattered pockets of instability litter the region, but nothing organized in any way is out there, nor are there any forecasts for one on computer models. For today, we can just look forward to lots of sunshine with a few scattered thunderstorms here and there to make the afternoon a bit more exciting and a dash cooler.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Guam

31

27 88 81

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Yap

31

26 88 79

Partly cloudy

Palau

29

27 84 81

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Chuuk

30

26 86 79

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Pohnpei

27

21 81 70

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Majuro

28

27 82 81

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Wake

29

27 84 81

Thunderstorms possible

 

Have a wonderful Wednesday!

Courtesy: CIMSS, Tropical Tidbits, JMA, JTWC, Intellicast, WUnderground.com, N.R.L., RAMMB-NOAA

==================================================================

Disclaimer:

By making use of any information on this website, you agree to the following:

NO WARRANTIES: All of the information provided on this website is provided “AS-IS” and with NO WARRANTIES. No express or implied warranties of any type are made with respect to the information, or any use of the information, on this site. Westernpacificweather.com makes no representations and extends no warranties of any type as to the accuracy or completeness of any information or content on this website.

DISCLAIMER OF LIABILITY: Westernpacificweather.com specifically DISCLAIMS LIABILITY FOR INCIDENTAL OR CONSEQUENTIAL DAMAGES and assumes no responsibility or liability for any loss or damage suffered by any person as a result of the use or misuse of any of the information or content on this website. Westernpacificweather.com assumes or undertakes NO LIABILITY for any loss or damage suffered as a result of the use, misuse or reliance on the information and content on this website.

USE AT YOUR OWN RISK: This website is for informational purposes only. The opinions expressed within this website are the opinions of each contributor. Westernpacificweather.com urges you to consult with OFFICIAL sources for information whenever you feel a threat is impending.

 

All rights reserved. © 2016 Westernpacificweather.com