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Daily weather brief – Thursday, September 1, 2016

NWPAC outlook, 01 SEP

NWPAC outlook, 01 SEP

NORTH

Clouds and showers will impact southeastern Russia, northeastern China, eastern Mongolia, and the Korean peninsula as the remnants of LIONROCK unravel over the inland Asian continent. All eyes of southern Japan and South Korea are on newly-formed Tropical Depression 15W, as it gets cranked up east of Taiwan, with a forecast path towards the aforementioned areas later this weekend. Elsewhere across the north region, skies will be mostly sunny with warm daytime highs.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Ulaanbaatar

22

6 72 43

Mostly fair

Vladivostok

22

19 72 66

Periods of rain

Beijing

26

17 79 64

Mostly cloudy

Seoul

29

19 84 66

Thunderstorms likely

Tokyo

30

22 86 72

Mostly fair

Xi’an

34

19 93 66

Mostly fair

Shanghai

33

24 91 75

Mostly fair

 

CENTRAL

The central region will see a good deal of cloudiness and showers today, with a few heavier thunderstorms as deep moisture lingers over the region and gets a lift from the afternoon sun. Some concerns extend out to the previously-mentioned Tropical depression 15W as it tracks to the east of the island locations of the region. However, this system is expected to make a slow, arcing loop to the north and then north-northwest over the weekend, towards the main islands of southern Japan. Okinawa will likely see some peripheral effects of the storm today as it passes to the east. Temperatures will be stifling across southern China’s lowlands and northern Indochina as heat indices reach hazardous levels this afternoon.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Kunming

22

15 72 59

Thunderstorms possible

Hong Kong

31

27 88 81

Scattered thunderstorms likely

Taipei

34

27 93 81

Partly cloudy

Naha

28

27 82 81

Thunderstorms likely

Hanoi

35

26 95 79

Scattered thunderstorms likely & HOT

 

SOUTH

Deep tropical moisture locked in over the south region will offer a good chance for afternoon showers and thunderstorms to many locations today. Incoming southwesterly surface flow across the northern Philippines will generate some heavier showers in northwestern provinces of Luzon. Southern Vietnam will see intense afternoon heat and hazardous heat indices as the daily noontime sun angle peaks on its way slowly to the south towards the equinox later this month.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Siem Reap

33

26 91 79

Mostly cloudy

Ho Chi Minh

35

26 95 79

Scattered thunderstorms likely

Manila

31

26 88 79

Mostly cloudy

Davao City

33

24 91 75

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Brunei

31

24 88 75

Thunderstorms possible

Singapore

31

25 88 77

Thunderstorms likely

 

TROPICS

With the exit of LIONROCK, now we have a new system to keep an eye on in the form of newly-designated Tropical depression 15W.

TAAG, 01 SEP

TAAG, 01 SEP

Yesterday, 94W INVEST was designated to the southeast of Taiwan, and has quickly gotten its act together, being designated Tropical Depression 15W. As early-life systems go, this one looks pretty impressive. Fortunately, the forecast track shows a fairly quick path ahead for 15W, up and out of the warmer SST’s by the end of the weekend. It’s very likely to achieve Tropical Storm status before reaching the main islands of southern Japan early Sunday morning.

15W full, 01 SEP

15W full, 01 SEP

Elsewhere across the tropics, a few spots of convergence are scattered about here and there through the region, but no real focused areas of activity are present at this time. Most locations to the east of the Mariana Islands and western Micronesia will see a good chance for showers and thunderstorms later this afternoon.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Guam

31

26 88 79

Partly cloudy

Yap

32

26 90 79

Partly cloudy

Palau

29

27 84 81

Thunderstorms possible

Chuuk

31

26 88 79

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Pohnpei

27

21 81 70

Thunderstorms possible

Majuro

28

27 82 81

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Wake

29

27 84 81

Scattered thunderstorms possible

 

Have a thrilling Thursday!

Courtesy: CIMSS, Tropical Tidbits, JMA, JTWC, Intellicast, WUnderground.com, N.R.L., RAMMB-NOAA

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