Daily weather brief – Thursday, September 1, 2016

NWPAC outlook, 01 SEP

NORTH

Clouds and showers will impact southeastern Russia, northeastern China, eastern Mongolia, and the Korean peninsula as the remnants of LIONROCK unravel over the inland Asian continent. All eyes of southern Japan and South Korea are on newly-formed Tropical Depression 15W, as it gets cranked up east of Taiwan, with a forecast path towards the aforementioned areas later this weekend. Elsewhere across the north region, skies will be mostly sunny with warm daytime highs.

CENTRAL

The central region will see a good deal of cloudiness and showers today, with a few heavier thunderstorms as deep moisture lingers over the region and gets a lift from the afternoon sun. Some concerns extend out to the previously-mentioned Tropical depression 15W as it tracks to the east of the island locations of the region. However, this system is expected to make a slow, arcing loop to the north and then north-northwest over the weekend, towards the main islands of southern Japan. Okinawa will likely see some peripheral effects of the storm today as it passes to the east. Temperatures will be stifling across southern China’s lowlands and northern Indochina as heat indices reach hazardous levels this afternoon.

SOUTH

Deep tropical moisture locked in over the south region will offer a good chance for afternoon showers and thunderstorms to many locations today. Incoming southwesterly surface flow across the northern Philippines will generate some heavier showers in northwestern provinces of Luzon. Southern Vietnam will see intense afternoon heat and hazardous heat indices as the daily noontime sun angle peaks on its way slowly to the south towards the equinox later this month.

TROPICS

With the exit of LIONROCK, now we have a new system to keep an eye on in the form of newly-designated Tropical depression 15W.

TAAG, 01 SEP

Yesterday, 94W INVEST was designated to the southeast of Taiwan, and has quickly gotten its act together, being designated Tropical Depression 15W. As early-life systems go, this one looks pretty impressive. Fortunately, the forecast track shows a fairly quick path ahead for 15W, up and out of the warmer SST’s by the end of the weekend. It’s very likely to achieve Tropical Storm status before reaching the main islands of southern Japan early Sunday morning.

15W full, 01 SEP

Elsewhere across the tropics, a few spots of convergence are scattered about here and there through the region, but no real focused areas of activity are present at this time. Most locations to the east of the Mariana Islands and western Micronesia will see a good chance for showers and thunderstorms later this afternoon.

Have a thrilling Thursday!

Courtesy: CIMSS, Tropical Tidbits, JMA, JTWC, Intellicast, WUnderground.com, N.R.L., RAMMB-NOAA

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