Daily weather brief – Tuesday, September 6, 2016

NWPAC outlook, 06 SEP

NORTH

Cooler air has settled over portions of the north region as Japan eyes another forming tropical system that is expected to affect portions of the archipelago later this week. Tropical Storm 1613 MALOU, located east of Taiwan, has been designated by JMA (Japan Meteorological Agency). The system is expected to gain some strength, but stay below the typhoon threshold, as it skirts the coast of Honshu on Thursday and Friday. Elsewhere in the north region, much cooler and drier air continues to filter into Mongolia and northern China as a taste of autumn fills the air. Tropical moisture ahead of an incoming cold front will generate some clouds over eastern China, and scattered showers will fall across Mongolia and northern China as the warm, moist air overrides the cooler surface layer.

CENTRAL

A vast pool of tropical moisture has set up over the central region, as a monsoon front lingers just to the south along the southern Chinese coast. The intense afternoon sun will combine with the moisture, and with some latent energy thanks to energy coming in from the north, to squeeze out some showers and thunderstorms across the region. Some storms could be heavy, with a risk of flash flooding and landslides, especially in the higher terrain.

SOUTH

Deep moisture is locked in over the south region as well, as the monsoon front gets its start over the Indian Ocean and transports moisture and energy into the region from the southwest. Newly-formed 1613 MALOU will help drag some moisture over portions of the northern Philippines and bring some heavy showers to some locales there. The remainder of the region will see the usual dose of afternoon showers and thunderstorms, with occasionally heavy rain possible.

TROPICS

As 15W NAMTHEUN exits the scene and fizzles out over the Sea of Japan, we find one newly-formed system and an honorable mention out there in the tropics today.

TAAG, 06 SEP

Tropical Storm 1613 MALOU, located east of Taiwan, has been designated by JMA (Japan Meteorological Agency). The system is expected to gain some strength, but stay below the typhoon threshold, as it skirts the coast of Honshu on Thursday and Friday. This system has formed along the monsoon front that extends over the South China Sea and into the Philippine Sea, where more cyclogenesis is forecasted in the near-term.

16W full, 06 SEP

One other area of investigation has been designated far to the east in the region, as 97W INVEST moves into the region from the central Pacific. Computer models are not doing much with this system however, this time of year, anything can happen so we will keep a close eye on things for you.

97W, 06 SEP

Elsewhere across the region, tropical moisture will combine with afternoon heating to generate showers and thunderstorms over most of the region, with easternmost locales once again seeing the driest weather region-wide.

Have a terrific Tuesday!

Courtesy: CIMSS, Tropical Tidbits, JMA, JTWC, Intellicast, WUnderground.com, N.R.L., RAMMB-NOAA

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