Daily weather brief – Thursday, September 8, 2016

NWPAC outlook, 08 SEP

NORTH

Cooler air spreads across more of the north region as the change of seasons starts to settle into the region. The remnants of what was Tropical storm MALOU have mostly unraveled, but this disturbance will still bring showers, thunderstorms, and some gusty winds to parts of central Japan over the next couple of days. A couple of frontal systems will bring wet weather to southeastern Russia, Korea, and Japan today, while the remainder of the region enjoys a warm, but dry, afternoon.

CENTRAL

What started out as a monsoon front has transitioned into a baroclinic zone over the central region, and the front is slowly working its way to the north. A line of showers and thunderstorms extends from eastern China all the way back to northern Indochina, bringing damp conditions to all of southern China and northern Vietnam. Rain could be heavy at times, and the risk of flash flooding and landslides is present, especially over the higher terrain.

SOUTH

The south region will enjoy a rather benign day of weather, as the normal moisture profile of the atmosphere gives way to showers and thunderstorms with afternoon heating. A weak tropical wave will move across the southern Philippines, helping enhance rain chances across that very dry region.

TROPICS

What was Tropical storm 1613 MALOU has degraded into a remnant low pressure area, which now leaves us with 3 rather disorganized areas to watch for further development.

TAAG, 08 SEP

The remnants of MALOU retain the original designation of 96W INVEST, as it tracks to the north-northeast, with impacts being felt in central Japan. The American agencies designated 98W INVEST yesterday near Guam, and 99W INVEST to the northeast of the Mariana Islands. Both of these features are surface reflections of what was a strong upper-level low pressure area that has broadened into a T.U.T.T. (Tropical Upper-Tropospheric Trough), or basically, a trough of low pressure at high altitudes. Forecast models do noting with 96W or 98W, but do show the possibility of 99W forming into a named system in the next couple of days. We will watch these areas closely.

INVESTS full, 08 SEP

Elsewhere across the tropics, plentiful moisture and scattered pockets of energy will help generate showers and thunderstorms over a few locations in the region, with warm temperatures throughout.

Have a thrilling Thursday!

Courtesy: CIMSS, Tropical Tidbits, JMA, JTWC, Intellicast, WUnderground.com, N.R.L., RAMMB-NOAA

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