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Daily weather brief – Thursday, September 15, 2016

NWPAC outlook, 15 SEP

NWPAC outlook, 15 SEP

NORTH

Typhoon 16W MERANTI made landfall in Fujian province of China overnight as a very strong storm system, bringing all the associated hazards of a violent tropical system. The storm will continue to move inland while curving to the north and northeast, bringing heavy rain to the entire eastern north region through Saturday. We’re also keeping a wary eye on Typhoon 18W MALAKAS, also named “Gener” by the Philippines’ state weather agency PAGASA, as forecasts show it to impact eastern portions of the region this weekend. Cooler air is starting to slowly press to the south as another moderate surge of Siberian air makes its way in. This surge will push southward over the next several days, cooling temperatures across much of the region.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Ulaanbaatar

17

6 63 43

Partly cloudy

Vladivostok

21

17 70 63

Partly cloudy

Beijing

32

18 90 64

Mostly fair

Seoul

29

19 84 66

Partly cloudy

Tokyo

28

22 82 72

Scattered showers likely

Xi’an

28

18 82 64

Partly cloudy

Shanghai

26

24 79 75

Periods of rain

 

CENTRAL

MERANTI will first pass through the coastal provinces of China in the central region as it moves inland and to the north. Flooding rainfall, dangerous winds, and possible landslides will affect much of the region today and tomorrow as the system moves north. Typhoon 18 MALAKAS is also expected to impact the offshore locales of the central region over the weekend, tracking near Okinawa. Rain will fall across much of the central region today with the introduction of more tropical moisture, with drier conditions over Okinawa and in the south over northern Indochina.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Kunming

22

14 72 57

Thunderstorms likely

Hong Kong

31

27 88 81

Scattered thunderstorms likely

Taipei

32

26 90 79

Scattered showers likely

Naha

31

27 88 81

Partly cloudy

Hanoi

33

26 91 79

Partly cloudy

 

SOUTH

Remnants of TS19W RAI have just about rained themselves out over Southeast Asia, and have been dragged back out into the South China Sea. Some of this moisture is being pulled over the northern Philippines as TY MERANTI moves into southeast China. Most of the south region will see a chance for showers and thunderstorms today as the copious moisture gets a lift from the warm afternoon sun.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Siem Reap

33

25 91 77

Scattered thunderstorms likely

Ho Chi Minh

32

25 90 77

Thunderstorms likely

Manila

31

26 88 79

Scattered thunderstorms likely

Davao City

32

24 90 75

Scattered thunderstorms likely

Brunei

33

24 91 75

Partly cloudy

Singapore

31

26 88 79

Thunderstorms likely

 

TROPICS

As Typhoon 16W MERANTI moves into southeastern China, we turn our attention back out in the Philippines Sea where Typhoon 18W MALAKAS, also named “Gener” by the Philippines’ state weather agency PAGASA, gets better organized, and two weak areas of investigation flail about.

TAAG, 15 SEP

TAAG, 15 SEP

Historic and record-setting Typhoon 16W MERANTI is nearing the end of the line as it moves into southeastern China, bringing an onslaught of stormy weather to that area. Although post-storm analysis will clear up the figures, many believe this storm was, at one point, on par with HAIYAN of 2013. MERANTI will continue to degrade and dissipate over China during the next 48 hours.

16W full, 15 SEP

16W full, 15 SEP

Attention is now focused on the ever-growing Typhoon 18W MALAKAS, also named “Gener” by the Philippines’ state weather agency PAGASA, as it enters what has historically been the ‘hot spot’ for tropical cyclone development in the northern Philippine Sea. Current forecasts are showing a general consensus, taking the system north of MERANTI’s track, and into the southern Ryukyu Islands later this week and weekend.

18W full, 15 SEP

18W full, 15 SEP

Two area of investigation remain on watch out in the Pacific with 93W INVEST and 94W INVEST. Computer forecast models are still backing off of any significant development of either system, as both are expected to dissipate within the next few days.

INVEST full, 15 SEP

INVEST full, 15 SEP

Elsewhere across the tropics, it will be a warm and humid day as just about everyone sees a decent chance for afternoon showers and thunderstorms.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Guam

31

27 88 81

Scattered thunderstorms likely

Yap

31

26 88 79

Thunderstorms likely

Palau

29

27 84 81

Scattered thunderstorms likely

Chuuk

30

26 86 79

Scattered thunderstorms possible

Pohnpei

27

21 81 70

Thunderstorms possible

Majuro

29

27 84 81

Thunderstorms possible

Wake

30

27 86 81

Mostly fair

 

Have a thrilling Thursday!

Courtesy: CIMSS, Tropical Tidbits, JMA, JTWC, Intellicast, WUnderground.com, N.R.L., RAMMB-NOAA

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