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Daily weather brief – Friday, September 16, 2016

NWPAC outlook, 16 SEP

NWPAC outlook, 16 SEP

NORTH

Remnant moisture from MERANTI continues to spread over much of the north region, combining with a stalled frontal boundary, and an additional incoming surge of cooler air, to bring considerable cloudiness, showers, and few thunderstorms to much of the region. Temperatures will be falling a bit through the weekend across the north region, as autumn gets a firmer grasp on the region ahead of the equinox next week. In addition, Typhoon 18W MALAKAS is expected to move into the region over the weekend, affecting the Ryukyu Islands of Japan this weekend, and the mainland islands of southern Japan early next week.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Ulaanbaatar

16

5 61 41

Mostly cloudy

Vladivostok

21

15 70 59

Scattered thunderstorms likely

Beijing

32

19 90 66

Scattered thunderstorms likely

Seoul

27

19 81 66

Mostly cloudy

Tokyo

26

22 79 72

Scattered showers likely

Xi’an

32

19 90 66

Mostly fair

Shanghai

28

23 82 73

Thunderstorms likely

 

CENTRAL

Attention is focused on Typhoon 18W MALAKAS, also named “Gener” by the Philippines’ state weather agency PAGASA, as it slowly strengthens and moves in a general west northwesterly direction. Current forecasts call for the system to come perilously close to northern Taiwan this weekend, before turning to the north and northeast towards Japan. For more on this system, please see the ‘tropics’ section of this update. Elsewhere across the central region, moisture from MERANTI has cleared out of the region, but plenty of tropical moisture remains in place. Most continental locales will see scattered clouds today, while offshore locations stand a good chance for afternoon showers and thunderstorms.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Kunming

22

15 72 59

Thunderstorms possible

Hong Kong

32

27 90 81

Partly cloudy

Taipei

33

26 91 79

Scattered thunderstorms likely

Naha

31

27 88 81

Partly cloudy

Hanoi

33

25 91 77

Partly cloudy

 

SOUTH

Deep, tropical moisture is in place over the south region as we approach the traditional peak of the tropical cyclone season in the region. For now, Typhoon 18W MALAKAS, also named “Gener” by the Philippines’ state weather agency PAGASA, is moving through the northeastern corner of the region as it slowly strengthens and tracks to the west-northwest towards northern Taiwan. Most locations across the south region will see a good chance for afternoon showers and thunderstorms today, as the available moisture gets a lift from the intense afternoon sun.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Siem Reap

32

25 90 77

Thunderstorms likely

Ho Chi Minh

32

25 90 77

Thunderstorms likely

Manila

31

26 88 79

Thunderstorms likely

Davao City

32

24 90 75

Scattered thunderstorms likely

Brunei

32

24 91 75

Scattered thunderstorms likely

Singapore

32

25 90 77

Scattered thunderstorms likely

 

TROPICS

With MERANTI’s exit from the picture, things seem to be settling down a bit in the tropics with one named system, and another potential threat.

TAAG, 16 SEP

TAAG, 16 SEP

Typhoon 18W MALAKAS, also named “Gener” by the Philippines’ state weather agency PAGASA, is moving through the Philippine Sea as it slowly strengthens and tracks to the west-northwest towards northern Taiwan. Current forecasts keep the system away from any major populated areas, although a VERY close brush of northern Taiwan is anticipated, which will bring very stormy conditions to residents there through the weekend. This system is not expected to reach the strength levels of MERANTI, but will be a formidable system in its own right, and should be monitored carefully if you are in the potential path.

18W full, 16 SEP

18W full, 16 SEP

94W INVEST remains weak and disorganized as it deals with relatively hostile conditions thanks to a large T.U.T.T. (Tropical Upper-Tropospheric Trough) to the east, and a tightly closed upper-level low pressure area to its north. This system is not expected to develop into anything significant.

94W INVEST, 16 SEP

94W INVEST, 16 SEP

Elsewhere across the tropics, plentiful moisture will team up with the intense afternoon sun to generate showers and thunderstorms across many locales throughout the region later today.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Guam

31

26 88 79

Scattered thunderstorms likely

Yap

32

26 90 79

Thunderstorms likely

Palau

29

27 84 81

Scattered thunderstorms likely

Chuuk

29

26 84 79

Thunderstorms possible

Pohnpei

30

23 86 73

Thunderstorms possible

Majuro

28

28 82 82

Thunderstorms likely

Wake

30

27 86 81

Scattered thunderstorms likely

 

Have a fabulous Friday!

Courtesy: CIMSS, Tropical Tidbits, JMA, JTWC, Intellicast, WUnderground.com, N.R.L., RAMMB-NOAA

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