Daily weather brief – Thursday, September 22, 2016

NWPAC outlook, 22 SEP

NORTH

A rather dry and mild frontal system is sweeping quickly through the north region today, lowering humidity and temperatures just a bit. Lingering moisture will combine with the frontal system to bring a good chance of rainfall to mush of japan through the day, while the remainder of the region enjoys the autumnal equinox under partly cloudy skies.

CENTRAL

A weak baroclinic trough has formed parallel to the coast of southeastern China and is acting as a focal point for moisture and energy in the region, especially for offshore locales. Taiwan and Okinawa will see a good chance for scattered showers through the day, and it will also be a bit cloudy over southern China and northern Indochina as warm early autumn temperatures dominate the region.

SOUTH

Deep moisture remains over the south region helping provide fuel for the afternoon sun to produce numerous showers and thunderstorms, especially over Indochina and the northern Philippines. Residents of the Philippines are keeping a watchful eye to the east, where 96W INVEST continues to slowly strengthen and get better organized. Southern locales in the region will also see a chance for scattered showers and thunderstorms, although to a lesser degree than locations to the north.

TROPICS

All attention in the tropics is fixed on the developments with 96W INVEST, as it slowly gets better organized south of Guam.

TAAG, 22 SEP

96W INVEST continues to slowly organize while drifting mostly westward south of Guam. The low-level structure is slowly improving and it could very likely be our next named system, “MEGI”, by the end of the day. J.M.A. has already upgraded the system to a tropical depression, and the J.T.W.C. (Joint Typhoon Warning Center) issued a T.C.F.A. (Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert) yesterday for this system. Current forecasts based on computer models are starting to diverge a bit from the overall solution, but in general, this system is expected to become a typhoon-strength system as it passes through the Luzon Strait and towards Taiwan in the coming days.

96W full, 22 SEP

The remainder of the tropics will see a fair chance for showers and thunderstorms, with eastern Micronesia getting a break as 96W pulls away with the moisture.

Have a thrilling Thursday!

Courtesy: CIMSS, Tropical Tidbits, JMA, JTWC, Intellicast, WUnderground.com, N.R.L., RAMMB-NOAA

==================================================================

Disclaimer:

By making use of any information on this website, you agree to the following:

NO WARRANTIES: All of the information provided on this website is provided “AS-IS” and with NO WARRANTIES. No express or implied warranties of any type are made with respect to the information, or any use of the information, on this site. Westernpacificweather.com makes no representations and extends no warranties of any type as to the accuracy or completeness of any information or content on this website.

DISCLAIMER OF LIABILITY: Westernpacificweather.com specifically DISCLAIMS LIABILITY FOR INCIDENTAL OR CONSEQUENTIAL DAMAGES and assumes no responsibility or liability for any loss or damage suffered by any person as a result of the use or misuse of any of the information or content on this website. Westernpacificweather.com assumes or undertakes NO LIABILITY for any loss or damage suffered as a result of the use, misuse or reliance on the information and content on this website.

USE AT YOUR OWN RISK: This website is for informational purposes only. The opinions expressed within this website are the opinions of each contributor. Westernpacificweather.com urges you to consult with OFFICIAL sources for information whenever you feel a threat is impending.

All rights reserved. © 2016 Westernpacificweather.com