Daily weather brief – Thursday, September 22, 2016

NWPAC outlook, 22 SEP

NWPAC outlook, 22 SEP

NORTH

A rather dry and mild frontal system is sweeping quickly through the north region today, lowering humidity and temperatures just a bit. Lingering moisture will combine with the frontal system to bring a good chance of rainfall to mush of japan through the day, while the remainder of the region enjoys the autumnal equinox under partly cloudy skies.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Ulaanbaatar

18

8 64 46

Mostly fair

Vladivostok

20

14 68 57

Partly cloudy

Beijing

27

16 81 61

Mostly fair

Seoul

26

13 79 55

Partly cloudy

Tokyo

22

21 72 70

Periods of rain

Xi’an

29

17 84 63

Mostly fair

Shanghai

27

19 81 66

Mostly fair

 

CENTRAL

A weak baroclinic trough has formed parallel to the coast of southeastern China and is acting as a focal point for moisture and energy in the region, especially for offshore locales. Taiwan and Okinawa will see a good chance for scattered showers through the day, and it will also be a bit cloudy over southern China and northern Indochina as warm early autumn temperatures dominate the region.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Kunming

21

12 70 54

Mostly cloudy

Hong Kong

30

26 86 79

Partly cloudy

Taipei

29

24 84 75

Scattered showers likely

Naha

28

26 82 79

Scattered showers likely

Hanoi

32

25 82 77

Mostly cloudy

 

SOUTH

Deep moisture remains over the south region helping provide fuel for the afternoon sun to produce numerous showers and thunderstorms, especially over Indochina and the northern Philippines. Residents of the Philippines are keeping a watchful eye to the east, where 96W INVEST continues to slowly strengthen and get better organized. Southern locales in the region will also see a chance for scattered showers and thunderstorms, although to a lesser degree than locations to the north.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Siem Reap

32

24 90 75

Thunderstorms likely

Ho Chi Minh

31

24 88 75

Thunderstorms likely

Manila

32

26 90 79

Thunderstorms likely

Davao City

33

24 91 75

Scattered thunderstorms likely

Brunei

32

24 91 75

Scattered thunderstorms likely

Singapore

32

25 90 77

Scattered thunderstorms likely

 

TROPICS

All attention in the tropics is fixed on the developments with 96W INVEST, as it slowly gets better organized south of Guam.

TAAG, 22 SEP

TAAG, 22 SEP

96W INVEST continues to slowly organize while drifting mostly westward south of Guam. The low-level structure is slowly improving and it could very likely be our next named system, “MEGI”, by the end of the day. J.M.A. has already upgraded the system to a tropical depression, and the J.T.W.C. (Joint Typhoon Warning Center) issued a T.C.F.A. (Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert) yesterday for this system. Current forecasts based on computer models are starting to diverge a bit from the overall solution, but in general, this system is expected to become a typhoon-strength system as it passes through the Luzon Strait and towards Taiwan in the coming days.

96W full, 22 SEP

96W full, 22 SEP

The remainder of the tropics will see a fair chance for showers and thunderstorms, with eastern Micronesia getting a break as 96W pulls away with the moisture.

City

High/Low

C

High/Low

F

Conditions

Guam

31

26 88 79

Thunderstorms likely

Yap

31

26 88 79

Scattered thunderstorms likely

Palau

29

27 84 81

Scattered thunderstorms likely

Chuuk

31

27 88 81

Partly cloudy

Pohnpei

32

23 90 73

Partly cloudy

Majuro

28

27 82 81

Scattered thunderstorms likely

Wake

30

26 86 79

Scattered thunderstorms likely

 

Have a thrilling Thursday!

Courtesy: CIMSS, Tropical Tidbits, JMA, JTWC, Intellicast, WUnderground.com, N.R.L., RAMMB-NOAA

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