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NORTH

As we roll into the first weekend of October, cooler changes are on the horizon for the north region. A bit of cooler and drier air has ushered in the feel of autumn over much of the region, but a stalled cold front draped over central Japan and extending westward into Korea and eastern China will keep things damp at times this weekend. Japan is keeping a close eye on tropical storm 21W CHABA, as forecasts take the system near Okinawa, and into the mainland islands of Japan next week.

City	Sat High C        F		Sun High C       F		Conditions Sat                         Sun
Ulaanbaatar	11	52	10	50	Partly cloudy	Partly cloudy
Vladivostok	20	68	21	70	Mostly fair	Mostly fair
Beijing	26	79	28	82	Partly cloudy	Mostly fair
Seoul	26	79	19	66	Partly cloudy	Periods of rain
Tokyo	21	70	27	81	Periods of rain	Mostly fair
Xi’an	29	84	31	88	Partly cloudy	Mostly fair
Shanghai	29	84	30	86	Sctd. t-storms	Sctd. t-storms

 

CENTRAL

The central region will see a mix of weather conditions this weekend, with most of the precipitation falling over the coastal areas of southeastern China. Temperatures will be seasonably warm across the region, as the cooler air stays to the north for the time being. All in all, it should shape up to be a rather pleasant weekend over the region. Looking ahead, residents of Okinawa are preparing for the onslaught of tropical storm 21W CHABA, which is expected to be a strong typhoon as it passes near the island late on Monday. More details on CHABA are available in the ‘tropics’ section of this update.

City	Sat High C       F		Sun High C       F		Conditions Sat                         Sun
Kunming	18	64	24	75	Thunderstorms	Mostly fair
Hong Kong	30	86	31	88	Sctd. t-storms	Sctd. t-storms
Taipei	32	90	33	91	Partly cloudy	Mostly fair
Naha	31	88	31	88	Mostly fair	Partly cloudy
Hanoi	32	90	33	91	Mostly fair	Partly cloudy

 

SOUTH

Autumn has not even given an inkling that it is headed to the south region, as deep tropical moisture combines with a daily dose of sunshine to bring showers and thunderstorms to much of the region. A recent monsoonal surge has been making things difficult over western provinces of Luzon in the Philippines, with flooding rainfall occurring the past two days. A weak low pressure area over northern Indochina will ramp up rain chances across northern Vietnam, Laos, and Cambodia through tomorrow. The remainder of the region will see more of the same, but not enough to dampen spirits on the first weekend of October.

City	Sat High C       F		Sun High C       F		Conditions Sat                         Sun
Siem Reap	31	88	32	90	Thunderstorms	Thunderstorms
Ho Chi Minh	32	90	32	90	Sctd. t-storms	Sctd. t-storms
Manila	31	88	31	88	Thunderstorms	Sctd. t-storms
Davao City	33	91	32	90	Thunderstorms	Sctd. t-storms
Brunei	32	90	33	91	Sctd. t-storms	Sctd. t-storms
Singapore	32	90	32	90	Thunderstorms	Thunderstorms

 

TROPICS

The tropics are ripe and churning out plenty of energy as we get into the latter part of the season. Things are a bit quiet now, but attention is clearly focused on tropical storm 21W CHABA.

Severe tropical storm 21W CHABA continues to slowly strengthen as the path shifts a bit more to the NW now. Current forecasts continue to fall in better alignment, taking the system VERY close to Okinawa Monday and Tuesday as a relatively strong typhoon. Of course, with a typhoon, it’s all about location, so residents in Okinawa are watching this storm closely, and hoping it passes to the east, rather than directly overhead or west of the island. For more details on this developing situation, please see the full report by Meteorologist Robert Speta here.

Another weak area of disturbed weather is being watched as 99W INVEST continues to track slowly westward. Current computer models are in pretty good agreement on this system, showing a weak storm approaching the northern Philippines and Luzon Strait late next week.

The remainder of the region will see a good chance for showers and thunderstorms over the weekend, with the best weather being found in eastern Micronesia and Wake Island.

City	Sat High C       F		Sun High C       F		Conditions Sat                        Sun
Guam	31	88	29	84	Sctd. t-storms	Thunderstorms
Yap	30	86	30	86	Thunderstorms	Thunderstorms
Palau	29	84	29	84	Sctd. t-storms	Thunderstorms
Chuuk	29	84	30	86	Sctd. t-storms	Partly cloudy
Pohnpei	32	90	29	84	Partly cloudy	Sctd. t-storms
Majuro	29	84	28	82	Sctd. t-storms	Sctd. t-storms
Wake	31	88	30	86	Partly cloudy	Sctd. t-storms

 

Have a wonderful weekend!

Courtesy: CIMSS, Tropical Tidbits, Intellicast, WUnderground.com, NRL, JMA, JTWC

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